Bennett to meet his Yamina party members tomorrow at 10am. Expected to inform them he’s joining a government with Lapid. If most of them, especially Shaked stick with him, Netanyahu could be out of office by the end of the week.
Careful with those champagne corks. Even if Bennett, as expected, announces tomorrow, with Shaked by his side, that he’s joining a government with Lapid, there’s plenty still that can go wrong and Netanyahu is working very hard to exploit every single crack, of which they’re many
Lapid has deals so far with Labour, Meretz and Lieberman. Assuming Bennett already knows what he’s getting, there’s still Sa’ar, who needs to show gains for the right-wing. And then there’s Gantz, who by signing on will also be signing away his last hope to become PM in November>
And then there’s Mansour Abbas, whose votes are crucial for the new government (Joint List won’t support a Bennett-led government though some of its MKs may help by abstaining). The deal with Ra’am will be the first of it’s kind in Israeli politics and is fraught with problems.
At least 7 coalition agreements need to be presented before a Bennett-Lapid government can be sworn-in and Likud’s lawyers will be looking for anything they can challenge in the High Court and Likud’s Knesset Speaker will do everything to obstruct the process (he may be replaced)
There’s also a procedural question. If Lapid is the one who notifies the president (before his mandate ends on Wednesday) that he’s capable of forming a government, does that allow someone else (Bennett) to lead that government? It will go to the High Court. I’ts a minefield.
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