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Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
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31 May, 10 tweets, 5 min read
📍3rd WAVE “HAS BEGUN”—UK 🇬🇧 might scrap lifting #COVID19 restrictions for June, as a senior government adviser said the country was in the early stages of a third wave amid “exponential growth” in #B16172 variant accounting for 3/4 of cases.
theguardian.com/world/2021/may…
2) “Prof Ravi Gupta, a member of the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (Nervtag), told BBC Radio 4’s Today there had been “exponential growth” in #B16172.

Asked if the third wave had begun, Gupta replied: “Yes.”
3) “He added: “Of course, the numbers of cases are relatively low at the moment – all waves start with low numbers of cases that grumble in the background and then become explosive – so the key here is that what we are seeing here is the signs of an early wave.
4) ““It will probably take longer than earlier waves to emerge because of the fact that we do have quite high levels of vaccination in the population, so there may be a false sense of security for some time, and that’s our concern.”
5) Here is how UK’s #B16172 surge is going badly… see thread 🧵
6) Not just a few experts, many experts growing increasingly concerned… here is a leading UK expert as well who is very worried. ?
7) Latest UK report shows hospitalizations and deaths continuing to rise, even on a weekend (usually a lull). Deaths up 42% in 7 days according to @JoePajak.
8) there is no universe in which this type of rapid #B16172 surge can be good news for UK 🇬🇧 or the world.
9) Is the #B16172 surge isolated? No! It’s across the whole of England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

This is pretty bad. Keep in mind that for #B16172, one needs 2 shots for adequate protection. One shot isn’t enough.
10) What matters in this new 3rd wave crisis the most is what we can do now… good thread 🧵 by @dgurdasani1. Please read ⬇️

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More from @DrEricDing

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
2 Jun
BREAKING—Victoria🇦🇺 extends lockdown. Worse, Chief health officer Brett Sutton says cases now infected in ways “not seen before”. 📌One person infected at an indoor space “2 hours after infectious case had left” &📌another case in outdoor dining.🧵#COVID19
news.com.au/national/victo… Image
2) “(It) was therefore a substantial period of time but they had left two hours before the next exposed individual came in who has become a case.”
“That’s in the kind of measles category of infectiousness.” ⚠️
3) “It may be on surfaces but it could absolutely be through airborne transmission as well because of that indoor setting.”
Read 11 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
1 Jun
Agonizing decisions for pregnant moms Brazil 🇧🇷 maternity wards as #COVID19 is killing hundreds of moms and babies—no exaggeration. “Remove baby too early and you risk them dying outside the womb, remove them too late & they die from a lack of oxygen.”😢🧵
wsj.com/articles/covid… Image
2) “doctors forced to deliver her baby son who was pressing up against her disease-ridden lungs.
It was too late. Ms. Souza, an otherwise healthy 30-year-old, died three weeks after the caesarean section.”
3) “She didn’t get to hold her newborn, who was whisked away for fear she would infect him, or say goodbye to her 4-year-old son.
“She was so young, I can’t make sense of it,” said her husband. “Our sons will have to grow up without the affection and protection of a mother.”
Read 10 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
31 May
KIDS TRANSMIT, damnit.

All those who said— “Kids are practically immune; Kids are “already basically a vaccinated adult”—are dead wrong.

Kids are just as likely to transmit as adults and daycare staff, even the youngest kids, with #B117 variant. Pretty solid study ⬇️. #COVID19
2) Another strong study of 3 million people in Denmark found that the more kids in a household, the higher the risk of #COVID19 in adults. And the trend seems clearly a linear trend for more kids, more risk. Another study supporting kids transmission.
3) And like the study described above by @DrZoeHyde, the Danish study found both older kids and young kids increasing risks similarly.
Read 4 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
31 May
💡8 BILLION DOSES IN ONE YEAR—it is possible! Here is how to globally produce over 8 billion mRNA #COVID19 vaccine doses by May 2022–enough to cover 80% of 🌍—for $36.6 billion.

➡️8 bil doses for just $4.58 per dose 👀

@Maybarduk @ZoltanKis85 @zainrizvi citizen.org/article/how-to…
2) “First, we describe the production process for mRNA vaccines, noting in particular the significant advantages of cell-free production. Crucially, mRNA production facilities can be smaller, cheaper, and faster to establish….”
3) “Many more manufacturing facilities can also be retrofitted to produce mRNA vaccines, compared to other kinds of vaccines, given both the small scale and “closed” nature of the process.
Read 6 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
30 May
200 cities—Tens of thousands of protesters poured on to the streets of Brazil’s largest cities to demand the impeachment of Jair Bolsonaro over his catastrophic response to the #COVID19 pandemic that has claimed nearly **half a million Brazilian lives** ✊🏼
theguardian.com/world/2021/may…
2) The demonstrators turned out in more than 200 cities and towns for what is the biggest anti-Bolsonaro mobilisation since Brazil’s Covid outbreak began.

“Today is a decisive milestone in the battle to defeat Bolsonaro’s genocidal administration,”
3) Osvaldo Bazani da Silva, a 48-year-old hairdresser who lost his younger brother to Covid-19, said: “We can’t lose any more Brazilian lives. We need to hit the streets every single day until this government falls.”
Read 10 tweets
Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
30 May
NEW—Infections "growing exponentially", professor Sir Tim Gowers warned urging not to repeat the mistake of acting too late. Gowers argument against natural herd immunity helped trigger 🇬🇧‘s first 2020 lockdown says recent increase in #COVID19 "worries me"
news.sky.com/story/covid-19…
2) “They seem to be multiplying by a certain fraction each day - in other words, growing exponentially," he said.

"We're still at a reasonably low base but, on the other hand, we know that there's a lag.
3) "Even if we were to take serious action and more social distancing action, that growth would continue for a while until the effect of that action kicked in."
Read 6 tweets

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