In order to hit the 70% target for all U.S. adults getting their 1st shot by the 4th of July, we'll need to average 591,000 per day for the next 31 days.
Remember, that's 591K *1st* doses, not 2nd, though the 2nd shots are important as well.
A week ago I said it'd be tight but doable.
After the huge holiday weekend drop-off, though, it's gonna be REALLY tough.
#GetVaccinated #WearAMaskUntilFullyVaxxed
HOWEVER, if we come up slightly short of 70% of adults by 7/04 that doesn't mean the world ends or that the vaccination project pulls up stakes. It's just a target. An ambitious one, but still just a target.
Besides, as @PeterHotez noted yesterday, we likely actually need more like 75-80% of EVERYONE (not just adults) to be vaccinated in order to actually hit herd immunity anyway.

So, yeah: #GetVaxxed.

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More from @charles_gaba

3 Jun
📣 DAILY UPDATE:
--Vermont has vaccinated 63.3% of their *entire* population
--17 states +DC have vaccinated >50% of their *entire* populations
--Mississippi is no longer the least-vaccinated state! They've bypassed Alabama. Image
--Massachusetts & DC should break 60% of their *total* populations vaccinated in the next few days
--Delaware & Minnesota should break 50% in the next few days
--Missouri & Indiana should break 40% in the next few days
--Idaho & Louisiana should break 35% in the next few days Image
Here's all 50 states +DC broken out by education (% of population over 25 with a bachelor's degree or higher). Strong correlation but not as strong as the partisan chart: Image
Read 4 tweets
3 Jun
Say it with me: SEVERE PAIN IS AN EMERGENCY WHETHER THE CAUSE ITSELF TURNS OUT TO BE LIFE-THREATENING OR NOT.
A few years back I was rushed by my wife to the ER with agonizing pain at 4am. I feared it was appendicitis. It turned out to just be a nasty kidney stone...but how the hell was I supposed to know that at the time???
When the bill showed up, it was $600 thanks to my being insured. "Official" price was $6,000.
Read 4 tweets
3 Jun
Good morning. The Supreme Court is once again issuing opinions on one or more cases starting at 10am.
This is like the 10th or 12th time they’ve issued opinions this spring. Every time there’s been the possibility that they’d rule on the GOP lawsuit to strike down the ACA. Every time they haven’t done so...so far.
At this point it’s very likely they won’t do so until the end of June, which is when the current session generally ends. That’s when the last two major ACA decisions were announced. But...they might do so earlier.
Read 9 tweets
3 Jun
There have been so many false alarms from SCOTUS re. announcing their #TexasFoldEm #ACA lawsuit decision that I’m not even linking to my explainer this time. But...yeah, they’re supposed to announce more opinions tomorrow morning.
There’s apparently 24 more cases to decide on in the next 28 days, so theoretically they could announce like 1-2 per day and still hold off until June 30th for the ACA case.
For those wondering about the timeline in a worst-case scenario, it’s not pretty. This is from last fall: acasignups.net/21/02/19/if-ac…
Read 6 tweets
2 Jun
📣 VIRGINIA: OK, does someone more familiar with Virginia demographics/politics want to take a look at this for me? VA doesn't seem to make ANY sense...not only is there no obvious partisan pattern, but there's no pattern along population size either:
acasignups.net/21/06/02/virgi…
Virginia's data is missing for 9 counties, but all of them are pretty small and they range across the partisan spectrum so I don't think that explains it. There's also an unusually high % of "county unknown" but it's not THAT high (9.6%).

Possible data error?
OK this has GOT to be a data error...according to the CDC data, there's like 30 counties in Virginia which haven't even broken 10% fully vaxxed yet. I can't fathom that.
Read 7 tweets
2 Jun
Have any think pieces been written about the ethical implications of Aquaman forcing dolphins to do his bidding? When the Giant Eagles were sent in by Gandalf to rescue Frodo & Sam, they only did so because they *agreed* to do so.
As an aside, that also answers the question of "Why didn't they just have the eagles fly the entire Fellowship to Mordor in the first place?"

It was an incredibly dangerous journey and they would've been sitting ducks...er, eagles.
They only agreed to swoop in for a couple of quick rescue missions (Gandalf, then later Frodo/Sam)...in & out, they wouldn't get bogged down in combat, etc.
Read 4 tweets

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