- was unrealistic to expect India wld get a big chunk
- India has vaccine manufacturing & purchasing capacity; no. of others don't
- possible US-supplied doses to COVAX will help tide over the COVAX gaps SII/GoI export constraints left (was esp a source of concern in Africa)
2/ It's also unclear what/how much GoI asked for in terms of these excess US doses.

(keep in mind this is different from getting vaccines directly from Pfizer, Moderna, J&J, for which negotiations are ongoing & not through USG)

Finally, this is info re only 25 mn of 80 mn doses
3/ Speaking of that vaccine production capacity that India has, this will help... (how fast might depend on where SII stands in the queue)
4/ Jeff Zients/WH: "confident in our supply of our authorized vaccines" & so lifting DPA ratings for AstraZeneca, Novavax, Sanofi "will allow US-based cos. that supply these vaccine manufacturers to make their own decisions on which orders to fulfil first"
5/ NSA @JakeSullivan46: "President made a commitment to ensure that India received doses & giving them an allocation not just under the regional portion of this thru COVAX but an add'l allocation from our discretionary portion...was sthg he wanted to do"
6/ NSA @JakeSullivan46 re judgment on where to send doses based on combo of where there's urgency & where partner countries are facing crisis. As an example, mentions surge in India "where we've seen gripping images coming from"

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More from @tanvi_madan

29 Apr
🇮🇳🇺🇸 1st tranche of US emergency assistance for India: supplies
- 1100 oxygen cylinders (+CDC ones)
- 1700 O2 concentrators
- multiple O2 generation units
- 15mn N95 masks
- re-directed manufacturing supplies for 20 mn doses of AZ vaccine
- 1mn rapid diagnostic tests
1/
2/ 🇮🇳🇺🇸
- US delivering $100mn+ worth of supplies
- add'l state, cos., NGOs, indv help
- USG assistance flights will start arriving April 29
whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…
Read 9 tweets
23 Apr
1/ I'm going to elaborate a bit on this & why the relative @WHNSC @StateDept @jakejsullivan @SecBlinken silence on this publicly cld matter & potentially affect the Biden admin's other goals w/ India.

[FONOPgate - esp in comparison - was a storm in a teacup]
2/ USG (& GoI) can say the raw materials export situation is complex, & SII left a misleading impressing abt its impact before it clarified.

Regardless, what Indians will think is "we're dying & US is preventing our ability to get vaccinated"
3/ USG can say it's US job to take care of Americans first, & every country incl India has or has had export restrictions.

But Indians - & even Americans - wld hv found that more understandable a few months ago than today when US is much better off
Read 19 tweets
20 Apr
US export restrictions aren't cause of India's COVID crisis & not clear if lifting them will solve immed prob (cuz affects Novavax prod). But they will hv an adverse effect down the line on global vaccination efforts & they're already being blamed – in some cases, instrumentally. ImageImage
2/ For those who've asked re impact of US export restrictions on vaccine production, couple of articles that might be helpful
- bbc.com/news/world-asi…
- indianexpress.com/article/explai…
3/ This US export restrictions issue & India has come up in pressers. On March 12, separately NSA Jake Sullivan & FonSec Shringla were asked about it. It also came up in the WH press briefing yesterday.

Not many details other than GoI noting it'd been taken up bilaterally. ImageImageImageImage
Read 14 tweets
20 Mar
🧵 Tweeps: after bringing you "US-China relations, Mean Girls edition," I present to you....

"The Quad & China, Pride and Prejudice Edition" 1/
2/ The Quad summit did not suddenly happen. The grouping and the countries' deepening ties have developed over time...
3/ Inspiration for Quad 1.0 in 2007 came from the coordinated response to the tsunami in 2004-05. They seemed like-minded at the time...
Read 20 tweets
20 Mar
1/ Cuz of Quad, been some debate abt the extent of 🇦🇺🇮🇳🇯🇵🇺🇸 coop in 2004/Tsunami Core Group.

2005, Jt Secy (AMS) S. Jaishankar:
- TCG coordinated int'l reax
- daily 📞, 🇮🇳: FS
- initially 🇦🇺🇮🇳🇯🇵🇺🇸, then + 🇨🇦🇳🇱🇺🇳
- US-IND coord re Sri Lanka
- Indian liaisons in Thailand, PACOM
2/ I've covered Quad 1.0's origins in the Tsunami Core Group in my WOTR piece bit.ly/31062Xh

I'd also recommend reading @nilanthis et al's "Improving U.S.-India HA/DR Coordination in the Indian Ocean" cna.org/cna_files/pdf/…
3/ This was then Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran, the Indian lead on the Tsunami Core Group, on the group at a press briefing on Jan. 5, 2005 (worth reading in full for the broader response effort) mea.gov.in/media-briefing…
Read 4 tweets
19 Mar
Indian readout of PM Modi-@SecDef Austin meeting
pib.gov.in/PressReleseDet…
2/ US readout of day 1 of SecDef's visit to India
defense.gov/Newsroom/Relea…
3/ Indian defence minister Rajnath Singh's statement
pib.gov.in/PressReleasePa…
Read 4 tweets

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