Today sees the first meeting of the TCA's Partnership Council, as well as the WA's Jt Cte: worth noting their distinct remits, powers and the different dispute settlement mechanisms they have access to
And just so you have them, more info on those dispute settlement mechanisms

In both cases we're still right at the start of these, but they both contain significant scope for penalties for infringement of treaty obligations
And here's a couple of graphics about options on the Protocol

Tl;dr here is that it might be problematic, but it's a lot less problematic than the alternatives
And just so we don't do a repeat of the sausage thing, here are all the other grace periods, negotiations and reviews that both sides have signed up to


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More from @Usherwood

8 Jun
Coming back to this, a couple of thoughts about how to get what you want

The general formula is that - ceteris paribus - if you're looking for the other party in an agreement to help you out, you're more likely to get that if you've demonstrated that you've tried to make the agt work

So, in a non-random example, if you agreed a 6 month grace period on chilled meat products accessing the other party and you said you'd use that time to adjust, then if you didn't try to adjust then you're less likely to be cut any slack

Read 7 tweets
8 Jun
So what might a less 'purist' approach look like?

Maybe letting UK say it wanted 6 mths to make the necessary changes to chilled meats perhaps? And then agreeing to that?

Something on those lines, I'd imagine
as @pholmes8 rightly notes, the extension was written by the UK as a unilateral statement, so can't even blame this on haggling over text

Read 5 tweets
28 May
Some thoughts on the crossover between the Swiss and UK relations with the EU

Tl;dr you can't avoid having a relationship, so finding a modus vivendi makes sense

Swiss relations with EU look messy mainly because of failure to convert historic relations at time of EEA (early 1990s): switch from many, narrow, separate agts to a single framework ran into domestic CH opposition

Far enough

Subsequent history has been about trying to work that model work, with varying levels of success

Yes, lots of upgrades over time, but also assorted setbacks

Read 12 tweets
12 May
There are only 3 options here:
- try to make the NIP work
- try to negotiate an alternative
- try to walk away from any negotiated system

All are very problematic for the UK (and only a bit less so for the EU)

Making NIP work as it stands needs UK to either make big advances on implementation, or to fall back on dispute settlement mechanisms to test whether its more 'flexible' interpretation is viable (spoiler: almost certainly not)

Finding an alternative sounds great, but it's not as if no one has been looking for such a thing for several years now.

NIP isn't great, but that doesn't mean it's not the least worst option.

And that's even before Q of whether either side want more negotiating fun

Read 5 tweets
11 May
Let's fisk the explanatory notes to the #QueensSpeech on Brexit, shall we?

You can find the text here:…

tl;dr for something that was to be so transformative, there's not actually much immediate change coming

We can start by observing that what was the central question of British politics for the past 5 or more years finds itself shunted behind Covid (and various other things) to page 48 of the document

Potentially the most important part of of the section is this, given its nebulous objectives and scope for longer-run change.

Note the focus on removing barriers (and, possibly, apostrophes), but also the lack of outputs so far, suggesting there aren't many easy wins

Read 12 tweets
4 May
As part of the entry in full force of the TCA, I've been refreshing all my graphics with the new numbering

Numbering guide here (now with annexes):

We start with the governance arrangements for TCA & WA

then a reminder about all the exit clauses in the TCA: plenty to choose from

Read 9 tweets

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