"GREAT news day": (1) Hospitalizations dropped again, from 289 to 281 (7th lowest EVER), (2) % positive notched down from 2.8 to 2.5%, & (3) the % vaccinated (updated Mon/Thurs) is 36.3%(+0.3) - 32.5%(+0.4) of whom have had 2 vaccinations.
(2/4)
Since 2/2, LA has been below 5% positive for 126/129 (or 98% of) days. And since Jan 13, hospitalizations have dropped/stayed flat 107 of the last 149 days, or 72% of the time.
(3/4)
With the "Freedom Fest" of Memorial Day being just over a week and a half ago, any associated case spikes/increased hospitalizations would have been occurring right about now. The data, fortunately, shows this hasn't happened.
(4/4)
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First, a regurgitation of the basics while we wait for the polls to close in 21 minutes. This is a district that is located in the Westbank and contains parts of three parishes:
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It once had a Republican state senator who was a party switcher, and when he retired in 1992, white Democrats represented the district until 2016. This district which was a quarter century ago 38% black and voted Clinton 60-35% and Landrieu 59-41% is now
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Ill be watching the race tonight, and have calculated what it takes for the race to be finished tonight vs going into a runoff
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This once GOP district was held by white Dems 1992-2016. When Bill Clinton was re-elected in 1996, SD 7 had a 38% black electorate and supported Clinton 60-35% and Landrieu 59-41%. Last year, the voting electorate was 55% black, and Biden carried it 70-28%
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What has the trajectory been of those completing their vaccinations across our country, and how long will it take for 50% vaccination? On a weekly basis, I use data from the US Vaccine Tracker(@USVaccineCount) to "do the math."
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My interpretation of the data: (1) The % age of those completing their vaccinations, while slowing down to a crawl, has stabilized (2) The rate of increase peaked just before the J and J news in mid April.
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Depending on what you assume is the weekly rate of vacc completions moving forward (i.e., either the current weighted average of 2.1%/week, or last week's 1.4%), we're currently looking at 50% vaccination somewhere between 7/5 (+3 days since last wk) & 7/17 (-7 days).
(3/)
"Good news day": (1) Hospitalizations notched up a bit, from 281 to 285, (2) % positive dropped from 2.5 to 1.6% (4th lowest EVER, and lowest since 4/27), & (3) the % vaccinated (updated Mon/Thurs) is 36.3% - 32.5% of whom have had 2 vaccinations.
(2/4)
Since 2/2, LA has been below 5% positive for 127/130 (or 98% of) days. And since Jan 13, hospitalizations have dropped/stayed flat 107 of the last 150 days, or 71% of the time.
SD7 is situated in the West Bank, and includes parts of three parishes (Jefferson, Orleans, and Plaquemines). It's demographic changes have mirrored demographic changes in the Westbank as a whole
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This district once elected a Republican who had switched from the Democratic Party. (White) Democrats recaptured the district in 1991, and in 2015, it elected black Democrat Troy Carter, who is now a US Congressman
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