- 105 total cases
- 74 of those in the unvaccinated pop (3,835,144 people) = 1.93 cases per 100k.
- 3 in partially vaccinated (342,620) = 0.88 per 100k.
- 28 in fully* vaccinated (5,113,236) = 0.55 per 100k.
*14d post 2nd
short🧵
* In Israel still extremely low COVID numbers without no evidence of resurgence; contrasts with UK data
* No restrictions - everything is open. Most people not masking indoors
* UK & Israel both with very high vaccination rates, so why are we seeing different disease dynamics?
I'm sure there are better theories about this, but here are a few possibilities: 1. Mounting evidence of importance of 2nd vax vs. variants (60%🇮🇱 / 42%🇬🇧) 2. Stricter border policy in Israel - mandatory PCR testing on arrival, no entry from "red" countries 3. No one really knows
and also: 4. mRNA vaccines exclusively in Israel, vs. a mix of both mRNA and viral-vector based in UK 5. Perhaps a higher level of natural immunity in Israel, due to higher cumulative infection numbers
💉Israel #COVID19 update for week ending April 17th:
- 993 total cases
- 812 of those in the unvaccinated pop (3,947,127 people) = 20.57 cases per 100k.
- 50 in partially vaccinated (520,743) = 9.6 per 100k.
- 131 in fully* vaccinated (4,823,130) = 2.7 per 100k.
*14d post 2nd
Schools, restaurants, bars, etc all open.
Masks only in indoor public settings
Excited to see our paper published by @CDCMMWR!
Great collaboration with the amazing @EhudR4 🙏
We showed the population-level effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in preventing severe disease requiring mechanical ventilation.
Short explainer👇 1/n bit.ly/MMWR22621
We analysed the publicly available COVID-19 vaccination and cases data from Israel, and compared the daily number of ventilated patients in the highly vaccinated >70 age group with the under-50 age group (low vaccine coverage).
2/n
The ratio of COVID-19 patients over 70 years old to patients under 50 years old requiring mechanical ventilation decreased by 67% as compared with rates before the vaccination program.
3/n
#COVID in Israel, thread with some possible explanations.
Within the last 4wks: 1. Massive vaccination campaign, with ~80% of the >60 population vaccinated. 2. A third national lockdown declared. 3. Huge surge in cases and deaths. @EricTopol and others ask "what is going on?" 1/5
The question being, why have we yet to see a positive effect of both these dramatic measures?
Here are some important points to consider in this regard. 1. The vaccine campaign (correctly) targeted at-risk individuals, mainly the over-60 population.
2/5
2. Yet the drivers of the infection wave are the younger population, who have not been vaccinated up till now (rollout for younger people starting this week!). 3. The vaccination campaign is a success. But vacc % are low in some high-morbidity communities. See plot: 3/5