Weekly French vaccination thread.
France will hit its 15 June target of 30m 1st doses today – 3 days early. Another record was set this week with an average of 580,000 doses a day. For the 2nd week in succession, France vaxxed at a higher daily rate than the UK (450,826). 1/12
France will hit its 15 June target of 30m 1st doses today – 3 days early. Another record was set this week with an average of 580,000 doses a day. For the 2nd week in succession, France vaxxed at a higher daily rate than the UK (450,826). 1/12
By last night, France had given 29,831,488 1st jabs since 27 Dec – 169,000 short of the 15 June target. However, the rate of 1st doses has fallen a little. This is partly because zillions of 2nd doses are due. There has also been a slowing of demand. 2/12
Doctolib, the booking site, reports a 44% fall in appointments from the mid-May peak. This may reflect the fact that loads of older people are already vaxxed. Some of the remainder are vax-lazy, shy or resistant. The retreat of the pandemic has eroded the sense of urgency. 3/12
I wrote in The Local that France was on the way to over-80% vax coverage. I still believe that’s the case. But the slowing of demand for 1st jabs is a warning. Beware of the “bof” factor – complacency, selfishness and vax-anxiety joining forces. 4/12
thelocal.fr/20210610/opini…
thelocal.fr/20210610/opini…
Will France be able to give another 10m 1st jabs by mid-July, as planned? There are plenty of doses available, despite widespread resistance to AstraZeneca. First jabs are running at 335,000 a day (compared to 355,000 last week) – more than enough to hit the 15 July target.
5/12
5/12
The stats for coverage by tranches of age are also, in my view, very encouraging.
See the Le Parisien @Nicolasberrod chart below. (Please follow Nicolas if you want real crunchy detail on France and Covid). 6/12
See the Le Parisien @Nicolasberrod chart below. (Please follow Nicolas if you want real crunchy detail on France and Covid). 6/12
All these % creep upwards daily and will now be even higher than those shown in the chart. On 8 June 87.6% of 75-79 yr olds in Fr had been 1st-jabbed – approaching the highest herd-immunity requirements. For 70-74 yr olds (incl me) it’s 85.9%. BUT note 80-pluses only 77.5%. 7/12
Will younger people come forward in such numbers? A new poll suggests 77% of French are willing to be vaxxed, compared to 49% in Dec.
I predict adult coverage – already 56.8% for 1st jabs and 29.6% for full coverage – will eventually reach the low to mid-80’s. On verra. 8/12
I predict adult coverage – already 56.8% for 1st jabs and 29.6% for full coverage – will eventually reach the low to mid-80’s. On verra. 8/12
A word on AstraZeneca. 3.8m of 9.5m doses received by Fr. are unused. What will become of them? Almost no AZ 1st doses are being given. Officials say 1.5m will be donated to the Covax scheme for the 3rd world. The rest will go on 2nd doses. That leaves many unaccounted for. 9/12
A glance at the pandemic in France. It’s falling away rapidly but the Indian/Delta variant in GB remains a threat. The avge number of cases daily in Fr is now below 5,000 for the first time since Aug but the UK is going in the other direction and has over 6,500 cases a day 10/12
In the last week another 31 Delta cases were identified in France, bringing the total to circa 150. This is not an explosion (yet) but experts warn that it may become the dominant variant here in a month or two. By which time many more people will be vaxxed…We hope. 11/12 .
Fingers still crossed for a good summer…
12/12
12/12
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