One thing that I non-ironically appreciate about the cryptocurrency community is that the transparency ethos from those projects that are not outright frauds will provide an unprecedented amount of historical content into e.g. collapse of financial institutions.
Years of Congressional inquiries, books, etc later, most people (even very interested people) have a very poor mental model of what happened during the global financial crisis.
Meanwhile in crypto you can literally see the warroom chat logs as they're losing tens of millions of dollars of depositor's money and trying frantically to stop it.
(I feel torn between "Don't kick technologists when they're down" and "It is really important that we be honest about the consequences for project failure here, rather than just saying Financial Freedom Happened Very Rapidly In An Other Than Planned Fashion.")
Yep, bank runs are unfun, and during them there will be an inevitable suspension of redemption of bank deposits.

Example:
Since these particular bank deposits trade 24/7 on unregulated markets, people aware there is a bank run and aware they do not hold sufficient assets to satisfy depositors are currently attempting to stampede to liquidity providers.
(Sometimes I wonder whether if the yield farming crowd signing up to be liquidity providers for automated marketmaking understands what happens to market makers who do not cancel bids very quickly when news breaks that the security is probably worth much less than consensus.)
("Hmm almost like there could possibly be a reason why traditional finance has most liquidity provided by specialized firms with armies of PhDs doing risk analysis. Whatever could it be. Probably just FUD for the HFTs to keep screwing over retail with payment for order flow.")
Less than a month ago, they published this document bragging (I believe that is a fair characterization) that they maintained the peg during a market downturn.

Pegs: they break. That’s why they’re pegs. If they couldn’t break they wouldn’t be a peg.

docs.iron.finance/price-stabilit…
I originally said this very archly, implying that *of course* the yield farming crowd mostly does not understand what will happen, and while a quick perusal of related Twitter threads suggests that is accurate for many the individual stories are often quite sympathy inducing.
I continue to believe that the tech community has a degree of complicity in creating rails that are being used by predation machines to soak people who most in tech would not feel comfortable directly defrauding or inducing to engage in risky behavior w/on understanding.
This is a common critique thrown at the tech community, but most of the time it is applied to something which has overwhelming positive use but a seedy underbelly.

Years of close study of the crypto economy may eventually discover an underbelly of legitimate commerce.

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More from @patio11

18 Jun
In honor of someone’s bad bug today, I will retell a story of my worst bug:

Once upon a time I was the CEO and entire engineering team of a company which sent appointment reminders.

Each reminder was sent by a cron job draining a queue. That queue was filled by another cron job
Reminders could fail but the queue draining job had always been bulletproof and had never failed to execute or take more than a few seconds to complete. It ran every 5 minute.

So I had never noticed the queue *filling* job wasn’t idempotent.
Idempotent is a $10 word for a simple concept: an operation where you get the same result no matter how many times you run it.

Adding 2 + 2 is idempotent. Creating a new record in your database may not be; the number of rows in the DB goes up each time.
Read 19 tweets
17 Jun
We’ve been putting a lot of effort into APAC recently. For a detailed discussion of why and how it is bearing fruit, see this talk, which is now live.
A few anecdotes from here in Japan:

The most recent hiring class in Japan is larger than the entire Japan team from the day I joined.

We have our first product (which I’ll elide mentioning) where the ratio in usage between US and Japan is commensurate with economic size.
We’ve recently released convenience store (konbini) payments in Japan. Early users are loving it.

Our experience in many markets has been that users get jaw-dropping conversion lifts for letting customers pay in the way they want, versus standardizing on cards only worldwide.
Read 9 tweets
16 Jun
File this under “Tweets I wish I had read much earlier in life”, as someone who has little interest in fashion per se.
A metacomment: This is not a unique insight about fashion, but it being phrased in terms of Searle’s Chinese Room would have given undergraduate me *permission to understand it.*

This effect creates ~infinite demand for teaching (and repackaging teaching).
People often wonder whether the market for teaching (or advice, or commentary, or...) is saturated, and it is remarkably underserved, both along the axis of which topics are covered and on ways-of-seeing-the-world they’re presented in.
Read 8 tweets
16 Jun
Good nuts-and-bolts discussion of fundraising generally, and specifically a snapshot in time during the coronavirus epidemic.

freshpaint.io/blog/anatomy-o…

(I particularly like the bit about how a $5k angel punched waaaaay above their weight due to introductions.)
Would like to underscore, as someone who did fundraising for the first time this year and has done high-volume prospecting before in e.g. hiring and sales: you will absolutely die if you do not have A System and in fundraising that probably means a spreadsheet.
You might think you have a good working memory. I have a good working memory. I am not capable of remembering which of 76 people lit up particularly when given the A anecdote or whether there are outstanding document requests from Prospect 37.
Read 7 tweets
15 Jun
It was once observed to me that there are some communities where people who know each other only as avatars would quote take a bullet for endquote each other, and while that is probably a level one does not need to model for an API response, allowing high-trust spaces is powerful
In some ways the future is here but not evenly distributed; you can model, for example, companies as being notably high mutual trust islands in a sea of (presumably!) lower mutual trust relationships.

Which implies something about e.g. their Slack channels.
And on that spectrum / within that dimensional space there are likely forms of trust which exist but which we can’t conveniently see or reason about right now, and who knows, perhaps forms of trust that do not yet exist but should.
Read 11 tweets
15 Jun
The trouble with pegs is that they don’t stay pegged. If they stayed pegged they wouldn’t be pegs.
“What do we do with this dollar substitute?”
“Is it a dollar?”
“No. It is critically not a dollar.”
“So what is it?”
“I hope it is as close to a dollar as anything in the world can be without being a dollar.”
“So it is worth a dollar in all circumstances?”
“No. Not that dumb.”
“So when is it worth a dollar?”
“Almost all of the time.”
“Can you drill into *almost* a bit?”
“I’d prefer not to.”
“Have you considered the thing you think is not a dollar may in fact be similar to most members of the set ‘Things that are not a dollar.’”
“Not ideal.”
“And?”
Read 4 tweets

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