Rape Review, govt action plan
- Increase no. of rape cases reaching court to 2016 levels (2,102 prosecutions 2019/20. 5,190 in 2016/17)
Criminal justice system to be rated to try to improve peformance
No victim left w/out phone for over 24 hrs
*Can’t see more funding in plan*
Rape review CONTEXT
- 55,130 rapes recorded but 2,102 prosecutions, 1,439 convictions in Eng & Wales 2019/20 (41,616 rapes - ⅓ less - 5,190 prosecutions, 2,991 convictions 2016/17).
CPS prosecuted & convicted fewer people in 2019/20 than in any other year where data exists 2/
HM Crown Prosecution service warned (Dec '19) gov cuts could be driving down rape prosecutions after leaving criminal justice system “close to breaking point”. HMCPSI said stretched police forces were taking mths to investigate allegations & referring fewer for potential charges
MoJ has experienced cuts to its departmental budget under austerity. In 2017, IFS calculated that in decade since 2010-11, the MoJ’s budget was to be cut by c40%. Spending plans since revised upwards. But in 2019-20, total MoJ budget was around 25% lower than in 2010-11 4/
.@RobertBuckland: “Too many victims of rape and sexual violence have been denied the justice they deserve as a result of systemic failings. We are deeply sorry for this & will not rest until real improvements are made..." 5/
.@RobertBuckland .."From transforming support given to victims, to ensuring cases are investigated fully and prosecuted robustly… Action plan "will drive the wholesale change needed to tackle this horrific crime and restore faith in the criminal justice system.” 6/
Labour’s @jessphillips says review a “missed opportunity” & recommendations “do not go anywhere near far enough”
- “Not a single penny offered in extra support services”
- Offers progress in how rape victims cross examined but only pilot for few areas (+ only 3 courts added)7/
.@jessphillips "After waiting over 2 years for this to be published by govt, the review and its recommendations do not go anywhere near far enough. Rape prosecutions are at a record low, that means rapists and sexual predators are left on our streets..... 8/
.@jessphillips "Despite the sorry tone of review in which the govt admits to its shame it falls short of recognising that that it has failed victims of rape on every front by pushing justice system to the brink of collapse thru a decade of cuts to police, courts & the CPS…9/
.@jessphillips: "There's not single penny offered in extra support services, merely a hope that they will exist. This is the triumph of hope over experience. The review has offered nothing more, no sustainable funding or additional support 10/ We'll have more on @skynews tmrw
Just to add to my stats on reported rapes (55k) to prosecutions (2,102) in yr to March 2020.
There are an estimated 128k victims of rape ( incl attempts) a year. So only half ever reported &, in year to March 2020, only 1,439 convicted
It's just astonishing. And beyond awful
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NEW Sky News/Opinium polling
- Seat projections: SNP on for outright majority with 67 seats. Con on 29, Lab on 20
- Scots tied 50-50 on support for indy referendum
- 28% want #indyref within 2 yrs (SNP pledged to hold ref by end 2024)
Via @SamCoatesSky news.sky.com/story/election…
Outright SNP majority nightmare for UK govt. Despite Tory assertions #indyref would be "illegal" without Westminster's consent, govt insiders concede more complicated than that - UK govt WOULD have to challenge Scot Gov down in Supreme Court, can't just ignore 1/
UK govt clear UK's constitution reserved for Westminster. But govt insiders concede UK govt little option but to go to block #indyref if the Scottish government passes legislation for a referendum. 2/
What’s to come if SNP take Holyrood. Sturgeon throws down gauntlet to PM: If UK govt doesn’t challenge the Scot govt in court, referendum wld be legal. Govt insiders concede there’s no choice but to fight in court, with all the political danger that brings news.sky.com/story/nicola-s…
ANALYSIS: For Johnson, an outright SNP victory is nothing short of a nightmare. It puts future of the 300-year Union into play. It is a fight that the PM can neither ignore nor afford to lose: Is there a worse legacy than being the PM who lost the Union? news.sky.com/story/scottish…
Cummings on chatty rat/lockdown leak: If Newman is confirmed as the leaker then I will have to fire him, and this will cause some very serious probs with Carrie as they’re best friends”
Cummings on the lockdown leak. Says PM tried to block inquiry: “I told him that he could not possibly cancel an inquiry about a leak that affected millions of people, just because it might implicate his girlfriend’s friends”
Adds PM “knows that I was not the source of the leak”
And on the flat refurbishment: “I told him I thought his plans to have donors secretly pay for the renovation were unethical, foolish, possibly illegal and almost certainly broke the rules on proper disclosure”
So much drama in No 10 this week, all happening as Brexit reaches endgame. Frost was deeply unhappy over Cain’s resignation but did not resign (after I’m told the PM called him Weds night). But talks stalled last week, pushing back deadline EU/EU Parl had set for deal (Nov 16) 1/
What next for Brexit?
EU source says talks ‘went badly’ last wk & ‘no progress’ Brussels view is UK going to try to run down clock & try to square circle on final issues at eleventh hour to see what they can get. Deadline reset to Nov 19 but told cld slip further to Nov 23 2/
State of talks 1/ UK want EU to go further on LPF. EU cld concede more on Fin Servs. Work being done still on state aid 2/ Fishing. Talks ongoing on what rights EU boats have to UK waters/quotas. Working up 5-7 yr framework. 1st 3 yrs more quota to UK/better access to EU waters
Why is the Cain resignation so fascinating? Because it speaks to wider question of the changing of guard within No 10. Has PM now come to end of road with his Vote Leave team? 1/
A senior govt figure told me tonight on the Q of whether Cummings might decide too to go with his close ally Cain: “We can live without Dom” > this is the view of course of many many of Johnson’s MPs and senior ministers 2/
I’m also told by a senior govt figure that the PM wanted to change the mood within a No 10 and govt growing evermore in opposition to his party. Allegra Stratton appointment as press secretary (made by PM directly) spoke to that - and was not welcomed by Cain 3/