📍SLOW ACTION ENDANGERS HEALTH & ECONOMY—Why does an epidemic take hold? #DeltaVariant surging—but what if the CDC had warned or acted earlier? Epidemiologists say we can likely prevent a big outbreak if just a cases, but harder if hundreds or 1000’s of cases… thread 🧵 #COVID19
2) And early fast action buys us precious time for vaccinations if we acted fast. Even if spread was inevitable, we could prevent the worst of it if we bought ourselves more time to fully vaccinate and prepare for the #delt
3) In terms of travel restrictions, we all acted much too late— epidemiologists and experts were warning about India in early April already. Yet govts didn’t act until mostly late April. One major country’s CDC didn’t act until May. 👀
4) Also let this sink in— the @WHO declared #DeltaVariant a “VARIANT OF CONCERN” on **May 11th 2021**. @PHE_uk declared it a VOC as well on May 7th.

But when did US @CDCgov declare it a VOC? **June 15th 2021***. Come on, there is little to no excuse for being that late.
5) many people complained about it days earlier. But we shouldn’t need to — the risks of the #DeltaVariant were clear as night and day. Hence why even the WHO acted on it over a month before the CDC (let that sink in).
6) Many experts warned #DeltaVariant was highly transmissible in April and May. Now it’s further confirmed by a WHO study of 64 countries that #B16172 is the fastest transmission variant known to date. 2x faster than ~original. Much much faster than #B177 Alpha that once reigned.
7) Also, declaring a VOC status doesn’t = fast action. UK 🇬🇧 declared #DeltaVariant a VOC early but it was incredibly late with other mitigation measures.

@BBCRosAtkins explains - always love his videos.

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More from @DrEricDing

20 Jun
10% of all #COVID19 hospitalizations last week were among fully vaccinated, despite >50% adults fully vaccinated in the UK— ➡️ this is the #DeltaVariant, which is 99% of all 🇬🇧 cases. I’m a big 2-dose vaccine advocate—but we still need strong precaution.🧵news.sky.com/story/covid-19… Image
2) Please take #DeltaVariant seriously — it’s the fastest transmission variant known to date. Much much faster. And it has somewhat vaccine evasion, especially 1 dose, and it is much more severe (higher risk of hospitalization)
3) Because #DeltaVariant is roughly 2x more contagious — ie 2x the R0 of the original virus, the R0 of Delta is likely 6-7. Let’s assume 6, and someday hit 70% *2-dose* with 90% efficacy (but AZ is ~60%), only then can we stop it… but no country is there yet.
HT @GosiaGasperoPhD Image
Read 9 tweets
19 Jun
📍Serious—Biden warns #DeltaVariant “will leave unvaccinated people even more vulnerable. It is more easily transmissible, potentially deadlier & particularly dangerous for young people. if you have 1 shot, get 2nd shot as soon as you can” #COVID19
cnbc.com/2021/06/18/bid…
2) #DeltaVariant is the most serious worrisome variant known to date— its leaps and bounds faster transmission than other variants. See new study thread 🧵
3) just this week, CDC (at last) declared and upgraded the warning level of #DeltaVariant a “variant of concern”
Read 4 tweets
19 Jun
Untold heroes who defeated polio—to prove his vaccine, Jonas Salk needed 400,000 glass tubes🧪 w/ temperature sensitive “Henrietta Lacks cells” (from a Black woman)—cultivated by Black scientists at Tuskegee, who made 10,000 vials/week.

By @ainissaramirez scientificamerican.com/article/hidden…
2) researchers needed special “HeLa cells”, the living line of cells that were taken without permission from a Black patient named Henrietta Lacks decades earlier. After blood draw from vaccinated patient, it was placed in a glass dish along with HeLa cells & small dose of polio.
3) “With those items, a microscopic—and deadly—battle commenced. In the dish, the poliovirus tried to attack the HeLa cells. If there were enough of the proper antibodies in the patient’s blood, however, they blocked the virus from causing any harm.
Read 17 tweets
18 Jun
I cry for South America—Paraguay, Suriname, Argentina, Uruguay, Colombia, Brazil & Peru are suffering a silent decimation by #COVID19 unlike anywhere else. Even in 7th-placed Peru, deaths per million is 9.12–more than 3x India. Countless families lost. 😢
theguardian.com/global-develop…
2) “There’s really so little support from the government – it’s a disaster. They should have prepared for all this from the start of the pandemic.”
As she spoke, two women collapsed in the hospital’s entrance, uncontrollable tears announcing another coronavirus death in Paraguay.
3) “We needed intensive care yesterday for my dad and there wasn’t any. There just isn’t any.”
On Wednesday this week, Paraguay registered 18.09 deaths per million, compared with 2.71 in India, 2.2 in South Africa, 1.01 in the US, and 0.14 in the UK.
Read 5 tweets
18 Jun
Not good—a #COVID19 outbreak kills 2 staffers in @ManateeGov Florida & hospitalized 3 others, forcing closure of building. 1 of 4 hospitalized staff died. 1 other died at home just 1 day after doctor visit. All were “non-elderly” staff.🧵
bradenton.com/news/coronavir…
2) Unclear vaccination status — “One staffer in the department who worked closely with the other five and didn’t contract the coronavirus was vaccinated. All five who contracted the virus had a sore throat as their initial primary complaint.”
3) “Both staffers who have died, a man and a woman, were in their 50’s. Those who were hospitalized were as young as their late 30’s, according to Hopes, causing him concern that we could be seeing one of the stronger variants in these cases.”
Read 9 tweets
18 Jun
Over 350 medical workers have caught #COVID19 in Java, Indonesia 🇮🇩despite being vaccinated with Sinovac’s CoronaVac—dozens of HCW even hospitalized, officials say, as concerns grow on vaccine efficacy versus #DeltaVariant, believed to be driving cases.🧵
reuters.com/world/asia-pac…
2) Most of the workers were asymptomatic and self-isolating at home, said Badai Ismoyo, head of the health office in the district of Kudus in central Java, but dozens were in hospital with high fevers and falling oxygen-saturation levels.
3) Kudus, which has about 5,000 healthcare workers, is battling an outbreak believed to be driven by the more transmissible Delta variant, which has raised its bed occupancy rates above 90%.
Read 11 tweets

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