It’s coming—#DeltaVariant is now >96% dominant in 3 major counties (UK, Russia, Portugal). It is surging exponentially in the US at now 31% of all cases, up from ~10% just a week ago. The #COVID19 rise & divergence hidden by fast dropping #AlphaVariant. 🧵
on.ft.com/3xzeFpZ ImageImage
2) Notice the strong divergence of #DeltaVariant vs #Alphavariant. This was why the rise of Delta was hidden so long underneath total case counts dropping and plateauing Image
3) this was hospitalization in the UK one week earlier. Very different than before #DeltaVariant domination. ~30% of deaths even among those fully 2 dose vaccinated, according to PHE (England’s CDC). This is the Delta.
4) let this sink in - #DeltaVariant is still penetrating for vaccine breakthroughs that 10% of all hospitalized #COVID19 cases in last week was among those with 2 dose + 14 days fully vaccinated (2/3rd of UK is AstraZeneca vaccinated)
5) One dose of the vaccine is insufficient now. Two doses much more protection, but even then there is an 8% attenuation. Also this is the average of AZ+Pfizer… the actual 2 dose AstraZeneca efficacy according to PHE is only 60%. Image
6) here is the relative growth rate of #DeltaVariant versus all other major variants in the past. Delta #B16172 is leaps and bounds faster than any other variant of #SARSCoV2 to date. Image
7) France is doing no better “While in the UK about 46 per cent of the population has been fully immunised, vaccination rates in most countries in mainland Europe are hovering at between 20 per cent and 30 per cent. About 26% of the population in France has been fully vaccinated.
8) “French authorities are currently trying to contain an outbreak in the Landes region, near the Spanish border, where 125 cases of the Delta variant have been confirmed by genetic sequencing & another 130 are suspected, representing about 30% of recent infections in the area.”
9) “Clusters of the Delta variant have also been identified in recent weeks in the southern suburbs of Paris and an art school in Strasbourg. “
10) there are now #DeltaVariant outbreaks popping up everywhere — even in the most heavily vaccinated country in the world — Israel. Let that sink in!! And Israel is mostly Pfizer (88% efficacy for #Delta in one study), not even AZ
11) The reason #DeltaVariant is quickly dominating all over the world (from India 🇮🇳 to UK 🇬🇧 and countless countries), is because it is by far the fastest and most contagious variant to date. Faster by leaps and bounds.
12) UK hospitalizations soaring. So how did UK miss the damn #DeltaVariant sneak up up on them without reacting? Politics aside, it was ignoring the data because the deceptive drop in Alpha mixed with rise of #DeltaVariant - to create temporary appearance of flattening— see video
14) Notably, it was this phenomenon with dropping #AlphaVariant and rising #DeltaVariant that lulled a lot of naive govt leaders into complacency - because “so what, I don’t see cases rising” is how most uneducated leaders naively react—to their peril.

Figure by @VickiGSP Image
15) It is high time CDC takes decisive action. That’s why @endCOVID19 & @CovidActionGrp are petitioning CDC to “reinstate mask-wearing indoors regardless of vaccine status, guidance for vaccination verification, & resume breakthrough case identification.”
endcoronavirus.org/blog/cdc-unive… Image
16) Thus, please share this link— and ask friends and family to petition the CDC for urgent action. Nobody is asking for lockdowns right now — but we want urgent action so that we can **avoid** any damn lockdowns. Vaccinate 2 doses and mask indoors again.
endcoronavirus.org/blog/cdc-unive…
17) please sign the petition to CDC for urgent #DeltaVariant action. It is by @endCOVID19 & @CovidActionGrp and a “coalition of scientists, public health officials, epidemiologists, health care workers, educators, advocates, parents, & concerned citizens:
change.org/p/centers-for-…
18) Just how is #DeltaVariant spreading so much faster than any #SARSCoV2 seen before? Because it spread even via “fleeting” contact. This was not just documented once, but *twice*, and confirmed via 🧬 genomic sequencing and even with security cameras
19) US is now at 31% #DeltaVariant. Aside from New England, most of the US is not higher in fully vaccinated than UK 🇬🇧. And the Deep South and certain Mountain zone states very low vaccination rate. This bodes poorly for when #DeltaVariant surges more. And it will. Image
20) As result of likely low vaccination, we are seeing both positivity and cases in Missouri. The South needs to vaccinate much much more. And fast. The window is closing while #DeltaVariant spreads further. google.com/amp/s/amp.kans…
21) Did the #DeltaVariant really surge from ~10% a week ago to 31% now that fast? Yes. 6 days ago: Former Biden adviser @ASlavitt: “The delta variant is about 10% of all the cases in U.S. and at some point, it’s going to become the majority.” #vaccinate
22) why else be vigilant, More than 350 doctors and medical workers in Indonesia who received SinoVac’s #COVID19 vaccine have tested positive. Most are asymptomatic but dozens hospitalized with a high fever and other symptoms. Which variant? #DeltaVariant.
webmd.com/vaccines/covid…
23) US has about 1 month before it hits UK 🇬🇧 #DeltaVariant levels… let’s don’t do UK complacency and ignore the rise of Delta until too late.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Eric Feigl-Ding

Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DrEricDing

17 Sep
📌Florida is #1 in nursing home resident & staff #COVID19 deaths in August.

📌Florida is 2nd worst for nursing home staff vaccinations—only 48%.

📌Florida is #1 in new staff cases—94% of nursing homes had staff infected in August.

So @GovRonDeSantis?
tampabay.com/news/health/20… Image
2) BUT—“It’s hard to assess the current toll of the virus on people living and working inside long-term care facilities, as Florida stopped sharing this data with the public in May.” ⚠️
3) “Federal data used in the AARP report lags by about two weeks, and does not include information about the situation inside Florida’s assisted living facilities, which are not required to report to the national government.”
Read 4 tweets
16 Sep
💡AMAZING BOOSTER DATA—New study shows 3rd shot has 91% efficacy (11x ⬇️lower risk) against #DeltaVariant infection versus 2 shots (>=5 months earlier) among age 60+. Plus, 3rd shot has ~95% efficacy (19.5x ⬇️lower risk) against severe disease!🧵 #COVID19 nejm.org/doi/full/10.10… Image
2) moreover. The enhanced booster effects begin being apparent after day 12, increasing higher effects starting even day 10 after the shot perhaps.
3) most were not that elderly either 60-69. I’m also glad to see they enrolled 14% Arab population. The bulk were vaccinated in early February. Thinking of all the people who got vaccines before March that could benefit from this. Image
Read 5 tweets
14 Sep
📍NOT ENOUGH TO STOP VARIANTS—U.S. population immunity against #COVID19 still insufficient to resume pre-pandemic social behavior—still not enough #vaccination / natural immunity—need more masks & ventilation on top to prevent additional waves of variants. acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M2…
2) “The mean overall population immunity was 62.0% (CrI, 58.4% to 66.4%). Adults aged 65 years or older were estimated to have the highest immunity level (77.2% [CrI, 76.2% to 78.6%])…”
3) HOWEVER- “children younger than 12 years had the lowest immunity level (17.9% [CrI, 14.4% to 21.9%])” acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M2…
Read 4 tweets
14 Sep
⚠️HOLY CRAP—11% of Israeli kids who got #SARSCoV2 now suffer from #LongCovid, says study of parents of 13,864 #COVID19-infected kids ages 3-18. ➡️Worse, they also found #LongCovidKids even among 3.5% of the kids who were **asymptomatic**👀—that’s serious!
timesofisrael.com/more-than-10-o…
2) More than 200,000 children under 18 have tested positive in Israel, with about half of them asymptomatic, the survey said.
“The meaning of this is that there are currently thousands of children in Israel suffering from long-term effects,” the statement said.
3) “these findings are in themselves distressing and call for further investigations into the effects of the coronavirus period on the cognitive/mental health situation of children in Israel,” the study said.
Read 7 tweets
13 Sep
📌Fake #COVID19 tests likely used by over 150 people to board flights home after a pilgrimage—Israeli police investigating.
Offenders could be charged with fraud, forgery and spreading disease—criminal offenses that can lead to 5 year prison sentences.🧵
nytimes.com/2021/09/12/wor…
2) About 25,000 to 30,000 Israelis, most of them male Hasidic Jews, traveled to celebrate the Jewish New Year. Israel’s Health Ministry found that dozens of them had arrived back in 🇮🇱 infected with the virus despite carrying documents indicating that they had tested negative.
3) Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s office said in a statement that it “views with utmost gravity” the entry of people with forged documents, “willfully spreading a disease,” adding that severe action would be taken against offenders.
Read 10 tweets
13 Sep
Heartbreaking—5 kids are now orphaned after both mom+dad (age 37/39) dies of #COVID19 weeks apart. The baby was born by C-section while mom was on a ventilator, doesn’t even have a name yet.😢 Grandparents haven’t told the kids parents died yet. #vaccinate latimes.com/california/sto…
2) this story truly truly broke me. “The couple and their four children all contracted the coronavirus after a trip to Big Sur in July, which included a stop on the way back at an indoor water park in Orange County, Serey said. Davy was seven months pregnant when she got sick.”
3) Ironically sad— “Davy was a labor and **delivery nurse** at Kaiser Permanente Fontana Medical Center. Daniel taught **math** at Jehue Middle School in the Rialto Unified School District.”
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(