Eric Feigl-Ding Profile picture
Jun 20, 2021 22 tweets 15 min read Read on X
It’s coming—#DeltaVariant is now >96% dominant in 3 major counties (UK, Russia, Portugal). It is surging exponentially in the US at now 31% of all cases, up from ~10% just a week ago. The #COVID19 rise & divergence hidden by fast dropping #AlphaVariant. 🧵
on.ft.com/3xzeFpZ ImageImage
2) Notice the strong divergence of #DeltaVariant vs #Alphavariant. This was why the rise of Delta was hidden so long underneath total case counts dropping and plateauing Image
3) this was hospitalization in the UK one week earlier. Very different than before #DeltaVariant domination. ~30% of deaths even among those fully 2 dose vaccinated, according to PHE (England’s CDC). This is the Delta.
4) let this sink in - #DeltaVariant is still penetrating for vaccine breakthroughs that 10% of all hospitalized #COVID19 cases in last week was among those with 2 dose + 14 days fully vaccinated (2/3rd of UK is AstraZeneca vaccinated)
5) One dose of the vaccine is insufficient now. Two doses much more protection, but even then there is an 8% attenuation. Also this is the average of AZ+Pfizer… the actual 2 dose AstraZeneca efficacy according to PHE is only 60%. Image
6) here is the relative growth rate of #DeltaVariant versus all other major variants in the past. Delta #B16172 is leaps and bounds faster than any other variant of #SARSCoV2 to date. Image
7) France is doing no better “While in the UK about 46 per cent of the population has been fully immunised, vaccination rates in most countries in mainland Europe are hovering at between 20 per cent and 30 per cent. About 26% of the population in France has been fully vaccinated.
8) “French authorities are currently trying to contain an outbreak in the Landes region, near the Spanish border, where 125 cases of the Delta variant have been confirmed by genetic sequencing & another 130 are suspected, representing about 30% of recent infections in the area.”
9) “Clusters of the Delta variant have also been identified in recent weeks in the southern suburbs of Paris and an art school in Strasbourg. “
10) there are now #DeltaVariant outbreaks popping up everywhere — even in the most heavily vaccinated country in the world — Israel. Let that sink in!! And Israel is mostly Pfizer (88% efficacy for #Delta in one study), not even AZ
11) The reason #DeltaVariant is quickly dominating all over the world (from India 🇮🇳 to UK 🇬🇧 and countless countries), is because it is by far the fastest and most contagious variant to date. Faster by leaps and bounds.
12) UK hospitalizations soaring. So how did UK miss the damn #DeltaVariant sneak up up on them without reacting? Politics aside, it was ignoring the data because the deceptive drop in Alpha mixed with rise of #DeltaVariant - to create temporary appearance of flattening— see video
14) Notably, it was this phenomenon with dropping #AlphaVariant and rising #DeltaVariant that lulled a lot of naive govt leaders into complacency - because “so what, I don’t see cases rising” is how most uneducated leaders naively react—to their peril.

Figure by @VickiGSP Image
15) It is high time CDC takes decisive action. That’s why @endCOVID19 & @CovidActionGrp are petitioning CDC to “reinstate mask-wearing indoors regardless of vaccine status, guidance for vaccination verification, & resume breakthrough case identification.”
endcoronavirus.org/blog/cdc-unive… Image
16) Thus, please share this link— and ask friends and family to petition the CDC for urgent action. Nobody is asking for lockdowns right now — but we want urgent action so that we can **avoid** any damn lockdowns. Vaccinate 2 doses and mask indoors again.
endcoronavirus.org/blog/cdc-unive…
17) please sign the petition to CDC for urgent #DeltaVariant action. It is by @endCOVID19 & @CovidActionGrp and a “coalition of scientists, public health officials, epidemiologists, health care workers, educators, advocates, parents, & concerned citizens:
change.org/p/centers-for-…
18) Just how is #DeltaVariant spreading so much faster than any #SARSCoV2 seen before? Because it spread even via “fleeting” contact. This was not just documented once, but *twice*, and confirmed via 🧬 genomic sequencing and even with security cameras
19) US is now at 31% #DeltaVariant. Aside from New England, most of the US is not higher in fully vaccinated than UK 🇬🇧. And the Deep South and certain Mountain zone states very low vaccination rate. This bodes poorly for when #DeltaVariant surges more. And it will. Image
20) As result of likely low vaccination, we are seeing both positivity and cases in Missouri. The South needs to vaccinate much much more. And fast. The window is closing while #DeltaVariant spreads further. google.com/amp/s/amp.kans…
21) Did the #DeltaVariant really surge from ~10% a week ago to 31% now that fast? Yes. 6 days ago: Former Biden adviser @ASlavitt: “The delta variant is about 10% of all the cases in U.S. and at some point, it’s going to become the majority.” #vaccinate
22) why else be vigilant, More than 350 doctors and medical workers in Indonesia who received SinoVac’s #COVID19 vaccine have tested positive. Most are asymptomatic but dozens hospitalized with a high fever and other symptoms. Which variant? #DeltaVariant.
webmd.com/vaccines/covid…
23) US has about 1 month before it hits UK 🇬🇧 #DeltaVariant levels… let’s don’t do UK complacency and ignore the rise of Delta until too late.

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More from @DrEricDing

Nov 13
⚠️BREAKING—ICU Hospitalized human bird flu case in Canada now officially confirmed as H5N1. Worse, it is the same 2.3.4.4b virus clade (variant group) as the one found in BC🇨🇦 poultry and in Washington state🇺🇸! The hospitalized teenager (with no pre existing conditions) had no animal contact, does not live on farm, had “deterioration quite rapid” and now critical in ICU with ARDS. Canada officials says infectious period is 2 days **prior to symptoms** (ie asymptomatic transmission) and infectious up to 10 days.Image
2) Public Health Agency of Canada's National Microbiology Laboratory (NML) in Winnipeg confirmed that the individual has avian influenza H5N1
canada.ca/en/public-heal…
3) details…

⚠️BAD UPDATE—BIRD FLU HOSPITALIZATION IN CANADIAN TEEN

Summary 🧵 of the live press conference with Canada’s British Columbia health officer.

📌The teen is in intensive care.
📌Condition is ARDS
📌Teen was healthy prior; no underlying conditions

bsky.app/profile/dreric…
Read 4 tweets
Nov 13
Trump’s incoming SECRETARY OF DEFENSE who doesn’t wash his hands and doesn’t believe in germs. Image
2) Trump’s new SECDEF is also in favor of committing war crimes. businessinsider.com/pete-hegseth-a…
3) Trump’s SECDEF pick is a wild character. And loves hawking merch.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 9
My god—Google Search for “what is a tariff” sudden spikes the DAY AFTER ELECTION DAY. 🤦🏻‍♂️ Image
2) many folks simply don’t understand what a tariff is — unless you explain it several times to them with analogies. Even then, it’s hard for many to grasp. Eg 👇
3) Ah shit… it’s now gotten worse. Why do so many people do their hw late??,
Read 6 tweets
Nov 6
📍HARRIS IS STILL AHEAD IN PA—in terms of votes yet to be counted. She’s still +2 of what is needed to win PA, given the outstanding votes still remaining in PA cities, according to @CBSNews @NorahODonnell Image
Image
Image
Harris has enough remaining in PA Philly suburbs to still win. Image
3) folks. The NYT needle is not reliable.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 31
Plastic cookware should not be used. Period. Especially BLACK PLASTIC cookware, that often mixes in toxic recycled electronic waste materials. DISPOSE OF ALL PLASTIC COOKWARE, especially if black colored plastic ones. Pass it on to your family.

Gift🎁🔗
theatlantic.com/health/archive…Image
2) Because optical sensors in recycling facilities can’t detect them, black-colored plastics are largely rejected from domestic-waste streams, resulting in a shortage of black base material for recycled plastic. So the demand for black plastic appears to be met “in no insignificant part” via recycled e-waste, according to Turner’s research. TV and computer casings, like the majority of the world’s plastic waste, tend to be recycled in informal waste economies with few regulations and end up remolded into consumer products, including ones, such as spatulas and slotted spoons, that come into contact with food.
3) You simply do not want flame retardants anywhere near your stir-fry. Flame retardants are typically not bound to the polymers to which they are added, making them a particular flight risk: They dislodge easily and make their way into the surrounding environment. And, indeed, another paper from 2018 found that flame retardants in black kitchen utensils readily migrate into hot cooking oil. The health concerns associated with those chemicals are well established: Some flame retardants are endocrine disruptors, which can interfere with the body’s hormonal system, and scientific literature suggests that they may be associated with a range of ailments, including thyroid disease, diabetes, and cancer. People with the highest blood levels of PBDEs, a class of flame retardants found in black plastic, had about a 300 percent increase in their risk of dying from cancer compared with people who had the lowest levels, according to a study released this year. In a separate study, published in a peer-reviewed journal this month, researchers from the advocacy group Toxic-Free Future and from Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam found that, out of all of the consumer products they tested, kitchen utensils had some of the highest levels of flame retardants.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 29
⚠️MASK MANDATE RETURNING TO ALL NIH PATIENT CLINICS—Effective November 4, 2024, masking will be required in all patient care & waiting rooms. Furthermore, testing for COVID, flu A, flu B, and RSV will be required for all inpatients & rooming-in visitors.
cc.nih.gov/patient-servic…Image
Image
2) This means wearing a mask will be REQUIRED in all patient care areas, including waiting rooms. ➡️This change is due to an anticipated increase in COVID-19 and other respiratory virus activity in the community. 😷
3) I think people should stock up on COVID tests again. The Cheapest COVID test on the U.S. market is now as low as $1.50 with special promo code “COV20”… expiring Jan or March 2025.

store.pharmalynk.com/products/advin…Image
Read 6 tweets

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