The NYC Mayor results we get tonight will only be first round preferences for early + election day votes (NOT absentee).
The Adams/Wiley campaigns estimated 800k-900k total turnout on the Dem side.
87k Dem absentee ballots have been returned so far out of 208k requested.
(1/4)
The Adams/Wiley campaigns estimated 800k-900k total turnout on the Dem side.
87k Dem absentee ballots have been returned so far out of 208k requested.
(1/4)
32% of returned absentee ballots (Democrats) are from Manhattan while 24% are from Brooklyn. The 32% is likely higher than Manhattan's share of the Democratic primary electorate while 24% is likely lower than Brooklyn's share.
vote.nyc/sites/default/…
(2/4)
vote.nyc/sites/default/…
(2/4)
Manhattan will probably be Garcia's strongest borough while Brooklyn will be one of Adams' strongest boroughs.
So based on the absentee ballot data I'd say Garcia is probably the candidate most likely to move up with absentees while Adams is most likely to move down.
(3/4)
So based on the absentee ballot data I'd say Garcia is probably the candidate most likely to move up with absentees while Adams is most likely to move down.
(3/4)
Absentee ballots will move the needle a bit and could absolutely matter in a close race.
At the same time, there won't be a huge differential like we saw last November.
Absentees will be like 10-20% of the total vote.
And it's not like Garcia is gonna win 70% of them.
(4/4)
At the same time, there won't be a huge differential like we saw last November.
Absentees will be like 10-20% of the total vote.
And it's not like Garcia is gonna win 70% of them.
(4/4)
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
