Thread by @john_actuary

The latest #infection survey from @ONS shows a dramatic increase in S, with increases also in W and E and a small fall in NI.

E 🔼from 0.19% to 0.22% (1 in 440)
W 🔼from 0.07% to 0.12% (1 in 830)
NI 🔽from 0.16% to 0.14% (1 in 720)
S 🔼🔼🔼from 0.17% to 0.46% (1 in 220)

1/

Here's the data, along with the Confidence Intervals.
It's clear that whilst the CI's are much wider for W/S/NI, the S increase is still very significant.

W has bounced around recently but seems to be on an upward trend too, as is E. NI appears more stable.

2/

Regionally, the NW and NE are still on the increase, whereas elsewhere it's a mixed picture. Albeit at lower levels the SW and East are rising too, others appear stable or even possibly falling.

3/

By age, the stand-out group is the Yr 12 to age 24 which is rising rapidly at around 40% each week currently.

Immediately above it's a different picture though, with a fall in the 25 to 34 age group. Older ages remain at much lower levels.

4/

The variant analysis shows how Delta is driving the increase in Scotland we're seeing. Elsewhere the numbers/increase in Delta appear flatter, but that's only because the scale has been extended to allow for the S figures and upper confidence interval.

5/

Survey results here.
The data is to 19th June, so does cover the first few days of the Euros, for anyone looking for a link between that tournament and increased social mixing in E/W/S.

6/6
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…