In this market environment, I think we all are encountering one simple problem. Breakouts are fizzling out so don't you think that we should have at least one method by which we can handle such fizzled breakouts and trade in the opposite direction

So let's take a deep dive
We all know that from failed moves come faster moves but the problem here is we just see the same happening on screen and are not able to capitalize on the same. See the below-attached image for few seconds I think you will get the tone of further discussion
If you have observed carefully you must have understood that these encircled regions are the 'FAILED BREAKOUTS'. Now you can take out your charts and find out such failed breakouts you will observe that when the price moves out of range

Cont..
And again comes back into range it normally has a tendency to move towards the lower / upper band of range as the case may be.

TRY THIS by opening your charts now and tell me the accuracy.
PS: It will work better in those situations when MARKET finding it hard to TREND
Actually, the concept that I putting forward is nothing but a very famous MARKET PROFILE nuance referred to as 'LOOK ABOVE BALANCE AND FAIL' or 'LOOK BELOW BALANCE AND FAIL'

Search👆you will get many articles on the same
The background scene in such movement is when the price is breaking out of consolidation and trying to catch a trend there will be many who will try to board the train and then there will be big hands who will try to fade the move
Cont..
Now when the price fails to trend higher or lower then these traders who boarded the train will start cutting their positions and also there is pressure from big hands from the upper / lower end. As a result of which prices will move in the opposite direction
If you have gone through my timeline you must have seen a screenshot of the RELIANCE trade. Now observe the RELIANCE chart you will find out that the same has happened

Cont..
Sounds easy right but it's not, if you will try to do this with every such move then you will lose more often. So instead of going BLIND SHORT or LONG just follow these👇
1. Wait for the price to come back to range and face rejection
2. Short on the break of intermediate support
3. Long on the break of the intermediate resistance
4. If you use some MOVING AVERAGE or VWAP or any other indicator then take confirmation from the same and develop your trade
5. Make sure that you are selecting those stocks which have a clean path below or above it
If you found this interesting then feel free to TAG😁, LIKE👍, RT♻

READ - OBSERVE - IMPLEMENT
@ST_PYI
Sir how you deal with such fizzled breakouts?

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with 𝗦𝗶𝗱𝗱𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗵

𝗦𝗶𝗱𝗱𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗵 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @siddharth_2410

24 Jun
Do you want to create GOOGLE SHEET SCREENER which shows those stocks which are BREAKING OUT 20 DAY HIGH and 20 DAY LOW?

The concept propounded by SIR RICHARD DONCHIAN
Let's take a deep dive

If you find this interesting then feel free to TAG😁, LIKE👍 and RT♻
Donchain Channel is a very interesting Trend Following Tool which looks as shown below. The UPPER LINE is called UPPER BOUNDARY and the LOWER LINE is called LOWER BOUNDARY. Trades can be set up in two manners
1. Trend Continuation
2. Trend Fading(Turtle Soup - Ref. Street Smart)
The problem over is not the trading part the main problem is to screen out those stock during the market hour or EOD basis for figuring out those stocks which are breaking out of UB or LB. Google Sheets can do a fair amount of job in screening out those stocks
Read 9 tweets
24 May 20
LEARNING POST
[Refining your ENTRIES based on MARKET STRUCTURE]

In this post I will make an attempt to share a simple but effective way of getting into TRADE with LOW RISK

If you find it interesting feel free to "RT"

So let's get started
Most of the time when we want to trade LONG we generally look for a classical pattern of UPTREND i.e. HIGHER HIGH - HIGHER LOW which is the first confirmation to trade LONGS

(See the image for better understanding) Image
Secondly what we look for is we wait for the price to retrace to the zone where it prior faced RESISTANCE and now it will be acting as SUPPORT and from thereon we will initiate LONG based on the concept of ROLE REVERSAL / CHANGE OF POLARITY

A perfect sauce for "PULLBACK TRADING"
Read 7 tweets
23 May 20
Let's discuss about PRICE ACTION PATTERN which gets repeated again and again but that FEAR OF MISSING OUT (FOMO) over rides and people do wrong trade

In this post I will try to explain about human mindset when PRICE starts moving higher/lower
If you find this interesting
"RT"
See in this image you are able to see that price is moving higher from a zone which is marked with horizontal boundaries and from there price moves up without looking back
Let say in this manner that if this much PRICE ACTION is present in front of you where you will take a trade Image
Accordingly there will be two categories of traders
1. Those who will try to take trade at CMP
2. Those who are waiting for PRICE to retrace back to POINT-A and then take a trade

You know why people will be ready to take trade at CMP because of one simple reason "CONFIDENCE"
Read 14 tweets
10 Apr 20
LEARNING POST:
DEMAND-SUPPLY ZONE

In this is post I will make an attempt to explain DEMAND - SUPPLY ZONE. Before we proceed some basic idea about DEMAND-SUPPLY.

1. DEMAND > SUPPLY: Price will RISE
2. SUPPLY > DEMAND: Price will FALL
3. SUPPLY = DEMAND: Price will CONSOLIDATE
When the price RISES/FALLS there is an IMBALANCE which is created and if in this IMBALANCE DEMAND > SUPPLY then you will see PRICE WILL RISE. On the contrary if in this IMBALANCE SUPPLY > DEMAND then you will see PRICE WILL FALL.
There will a point of time when the MARKET WILL REACH AN EQUILIBRIUM POINT that is the point where DEMAND = SUPPLY and the PRICE starts CONSOLIDATING or the PRICE will start moving in a RANGE

Cont..
Read 20 tweets
1 Apr 20
LEARNING POST! (Refer the image)

Whenever I come across charts I find many traders doing this mistake.
The mistake the do is when the stock starts coming down they start buying when the price comes in ZONE-1 by putting a SL around the region marked with black dotted line .. Image
The price initially bounces but soon it traps and falls below the zone takes of the SL and then the trader puts a question mark on his capabilities to trade. See firstly there is nothing wrong in trading with zones I personally trade with zones but the mistake here is..
If you are seeing ZONE-1 you must have noticed that below it there is presence of liquids/fluids which means these are consecutive green candles and these are like PATH OF LEAST OBSTACLES. So when you are buying at ZONE-1 you are having a very big risk that the price can easily .
Read 6 tweets
16 Sep 19
SOME KEY POINTERS ON OPTION CHAIN:
1. The first and foremost rule is we need to check OPTION CHAIN on DAILY basis. The prime problem with most of us is we wake up one fine morning and start analyzing by using the "STANDARD RULE" and apply the following logic
PRICE ↓ OI ↓ - Long Liquidation
Price ↑ OI ↑ - Long Buildup
Price ↑ OI ↓ - Short Covering
Price ↓ OI ↑ - Short Buildup
In short most of us consider these logic as "RULE OF THUMB" but actually they are not because these STANDARD RULES work when NEW POSITIONS ARE DEVELOPED
So the bottom line of POINT-1
- Make an habit of daily tracking OPTION CHAIN
-Apply STANDARD RULES when NEW POSITIONS ARE DEVELOPED and NOT when OLD/PRIOR POSITIONS are changed or played with
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(