3. Let me add the caveat, as Gil does, that such data are updated over time, so very recent unicorns may not be included, and also than unicorns - given the size and stature - are a retrospective measure of which likely underplay emerging hubs.
4. Nonetheless the data are striking and suggest LITTLE change in the geography of leading tech hubs up until now.
5. Have a gander at this graph:
6. The San Francisco Bay Area leads with a whopping 69 of 227 all new unicorns - 30% of those created in the last 8 months. Yowza.
7. In second place, eh hem, NYC, with 30. No other city breaks into double digits ...
8. Then we have London and LA with 8 each.
Chicago, Tel Aviv & Bengaluru with 7 each.
Boston with 6.
Paris & Berlin 5.
TORONTO with 4.
And, Seattle, AUSTIN, DC & Philly with 3 each.
9. Interesting that of the much ballyhooed rising tech hubs, Miami does not make the list, & Austin logs in with just 3. Though that of course may change in coming years as the new investment in these hubs develops.
10. Even more interesting is the absence of Chinese cities - especially Shanghai & Beijing on this list.
11. Europe looks to have several significant tech hubs - London, Paris, Berlin.
12. Now look at this chart. This is the top unicorn cities by market cap.
13.The list changes somewhat.
But the Bay Area remains on top.
NYC is now 3rd & London 4th.
Chinese cites move up the list: Beijing is 2nd, Shanghai 5th & Shenzen 8th.
Of US cities: Boston is 7th, Detroit & the Research Triangle tie for 13th & Chicago 15th.
No Austin or Miami.
14. This is the unicorn count for US cities. Again, strikingly familiar. Biggest take away for me is the position of NYC & LA in 2nd and 3rd behind the Bay Area.
15. This is the ranking by unicorn market cap for US cities. Note two things: Detroit in 5th place, and Jacksonville in 10th.
16. Now again, unicorns are a retrospective-looking metric. Things are likely to change. But right now the geography looks more stable than shifting.
17. My own take on this is that the geography of innovation, startups & tech hubs is much more stable than we think. it will remain quite spiky & concentrated.
18. What is most likely to change is the positioning of 2nd and 3rd tier hub - that is the most likely place we are likely to see movement, with new hubs emerging & older hubs fading.
1. So what will life, and work, be like after the pandemic? What trends are fleeting, which are more likely to stick around? A quick thread on a new study just out in @PNASNews: pnas.org/content/118/27…
2. The study by a large team of researchers at @ArizonaState & @UofILSystem is based on a survey 7500+ Americans betweenJuly-October 2020.
3. The study looked at reported changes in the way people work, commute, shop, & how & where they live. (One caveat which the study notes: surveys are contextual and temporally bounded so patterns & behaviors may change as we pass through the pandemic with time).
1. We arrived in Toronto last week from visiting family in Michigan. Here is the process for crossing the border into Canada & dealing with COVID restrictions.
2. We were the only car in the border line in Sarnia, while trucks were back up for miles on both sides of the border.
3. We are fully vaccinated with 2 doses of Pfizer. Our 2 kids ages 4 and 5 are not.
1. This is a very important paper which traces long distances moves for different classes of people. The big conclusion is that the moves of more affluent higher income people are away from more restrictive or stringent place to less restrictive ones. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
2. "We find 10-20% of moves between April 2020-February 2021 were influenced by COVID-19, with a significant shift in migration towards smaller cities, lower cost of living locations, and locations with fewer
pandemic-related restrictions."
3. "We find very different patterns across higher-income and lower-income migrants with higher income households moving out of more populous cities at greater rates, and moving more for lifestyle reasons and much less for work-related reasons compared to the pre-pandemic period."
1. I have no doubt superstar cities will be fine in the long run. But I think this fall and winter will be a critical time for the short to medium term prospects of places like New York, San Francisco, Chicago, Boston, and Toronto.
2. I think one reason people - particularly risk seeking entrepreneurs, venture capitalists & finance types - have been flocking to places like Miami and Austin, is the ability to go about their lives and business freeway. In a word personal liberty.
3. If all goes well this fall and winter up north, I think many. will return, and many more will stay put...
1. I am an American who lives in Canada. And I spend considerable time in both countries. During this COVID crisis, I have come to see a troubling divide in how the US treats Canadians versus how Canada treats Americans (and its own citizens who travel to America).
2. As of now, much of the US welcomes Canadians into the country with a PCR test. It imposes no quarantine & no restrictions.
3. US states & cities readily vaccinate Canadians in the US. not just residents but travellers & visitors. I personally know dozens upon dozens of Canadians who have been vaccinated in the US.