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29 Jun, 6 tweets, 3 min read
While yesterday's numbers were boosted by underreporting the previous day, today's 20479 are not. Doubling time drops even further, to 7,2 days. UK hospitalization and death counts for recent days have also been revised (upwards).

While I have not been putting a particular... Image
emphasis on Scotland, they've already surpassed their all-time peak daily case rate.



Week-over-week case growth in European countries of meaningful size is now UK +68%, Finland +49%, Belgium +29%, Portugal +25%, Spain +22%, and Irelaland +0,4%. Norway...
... dips slightly off the list at -0,1%.

How well is past infection with earlier COVID strains protecting against Delta? The data is still preliminary and needs followup, but thusfar the answer appears to be "poorly".

A number of infectious disease experts who previously got.. Image
the Janssen / J&J vaccine have since sought out a mRNA booster for themselves, out of concerns that they were insufficiently protected from Delta with the vaccine due to the low efficacy of single doses of other vaccines.

reuters.com/business/healt…

Lastly, the CDC appears to...
be inching towards reversing their mask guidance, in the direction of lining up with WHO's guidance for continued mask wearing and distancing for fully-vaccinated people. CDC's new guidance only applies to people who work with the homeless, however:

Image
ED: the above was supposed to be a link to this tweet:

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Nafnlaus Profile picture
1 Jul
27989 cases today ticks the doubling time slightly back up to 10,2 days; however, this only delays hitting the previous peak by a few hours. England hospitalization growth accelerates, as would be expected. Image
Across Europe, more countries keep swinging back into growth. Image
Vaccination is trending up in many of them, but not all; the UK in particular is seeing a significant and sustained dropoff in vaccination rates. Israel is finally starting to see some meaningful (although still low) vaccination rates again. Image
Read 11 tweets
Nafnlaus Profile picture
28 Jun
@reisada @Louisbotelho17 @TSLAFanMtl #1: "no antibody test on the control group"

The odds of any control having had COVID would be small to begin with, but the odds are made even smaller by the fact that they bare minimum never had any symptoms worth getting checked out.
@reisada @Louisbotelho17 @TSLAFanMtl #2: "brain changes are seen in chronic rhinosinusitis"

It's a legitimate criticism (separating cause and effect), but she's taking this Biobank study in isolation, but it's not at all in isolation; it's just the latest of a long series of studies. Take this one, for example:
@reisada @Louisbotelho17 @TSLAFanMtl thelancet.com/journals/lanps…

TL/DR: "Our study provides evidence for substantial neurological and psychiatric morbidity in the 6 months after COVID-19 infection." Compared to controls and to other respiratory illnesses.

It can also be pointed out that some *causes* of chronic...
Read 10 tweets
Nafnlaus Profile picture
6 May
@SwingTraderCO @garnettca @Mista3rdEye @GovofCO This is wrong in so many ways.

First off, "the flu" is caused by influenzavirus. "Colds" can be caused by a wide range of viruses, a minority of them including coronaviruses, but none involving this branch (sarbecoviruses), which have a very different mode of action.

The...
@SwingTraderCO @garnettca @Mista3rdEye @GovofCO reason why it's proven so hard to develop herd immunity to the flu and colds is specifically because they're so incredibly diverse. They've been evolving alongside humans since time immemorial, though new ones periodically transfer in from wild animals and certain random...
@SwingTraderCO @garnettca @Mista3rdEye @GovofCO strains prove unable to overcome herd immunity over time and die out. Any vaccine for one strain will only affect that strain.

The general pattern for seasonal influenza and seasonal colds is that herd immunity tends to develop in northern climates in the northern winter...
Read 10 tweets
Nafnlaus Profile picture
17 Apr
@BoringPrufrock I've always thought that Adelanto is the perfect setup to a stoner movie ;) Picture the scene:

It's midday and Elon is giving a press conference unveiling TBC's latest TBM - a (exaggerated for the sake of the movie) fully automated, battery-powered, compressed-earth-casing,...
@BoringPrufrock super-fast-tunneling beast. Meanwhile, two stoners in a nearby high school decide to escape detention. Nearly caught in the yard, they duck down into an old well, only to discover that it leads down into a tunnel where the TBM sits abandoned. Their curiosity gets the better of...
@BoringPrufrock them and they unintentionally start it up, blocking the tunnel with spoil behind them.

Realizing the potential of what they sitting on, they scheme to break into Shangra La, a local medical marijuana company that's been rumoured to have engineered the most potent cannabis...
Read 8 tweets
Nafnlaus Profile picture
12 Apr
@AukeHoekstra @truth_tesla Huh? Corrosion is one of molten salt's *biggest* problems. And thorium does nothing with respect to corrosion (it's also very immature and has a lot of problems).

But that's just the start of problems.

First off is the fact that you're dealing with toxic materials. And not...
@AukeHoekstra @truth_tesla toxic in the normal sense, but *insanely* toxic, where even vanishingly small amounts of many radioisotopes, quantities you wouldn't give a rat's arse about in any other industry, are too unacceptably toxic for release.

Nuclear produces a broad spectrum of all sorts of these...
@AukeHoekstra @truth_tesla insanely toxic compounds, and each has its own physical and chemical properties. It can be a solid, a liquid, a gas, mobile or immobile in salt, mobile or immoble in water, compatible with steel but not alumium, compatible with alumium but not steel, compatible with this alloy...
Read 15 tweets
Nafnlaus Profile picture
10 Apr
THREAD: For everyone who is making an argument akin to, "If Elon says it, then Karpathy must agree, and it must be true", let's take a look at just a tiny bit of the past five years of statements from Elon about FSD.
Remember back in early 2018 when you gained the ability to summon your car from NY to LA?

Okay okay, maybe that didn't happen, but remember when Tesla did it for real in 2019?

Read 9 tweets

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