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Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

2 Jul, 9 tweets, 3 min read

So some really fascinating misinformation today - we've had a huge 'jump' in newly reported cases! Nearly TRIPLED! Everybody panic!! And they're nearly all confirmed cases! Double panic!
Must be that new Delta variant, right?
Or maybe the brand new 4th of July variant?

But the media tells us it must be bad!
(vindy.com/.../daily-covi…)

Well, interestingly enough, our new probable cases added in the last 14 days is only 19 more than yesterday's (71 vs 53) and the total new confirmed cases increased by just 1 from yesterday to today (139 to 140).

It also happens to be one of those magical days when there are more probable cases assigned to the last 14 days than there were reported. But hey, it's Ohio, we love our 'special math.'

So what gives? There are 579 newly 'reported' cases, but there are only 221 of them being reported in the last 14 days (which is in line with the last month's numbers) - where are the rest you may ask?

WELL! Funny you should ask - in the third attached image, please find the distribution of cases added and removed from different days all the way back to 1/2/20.

And yes, there was a 'new' case added yesterday that was assigned to 1/20/20. From that graph we can see that most of the remaining 'new' cases actually occurred between October of 2020 through March of 2021.

As for our case numbers, we're actually still declining, we are now down to 164 total cases per day for the whole state, or 1.86 cases per county per day.

⭐️We are down to just 94 confirmed cases per day for the whole state over the last 7 days, which comes out to 1.07 cases per county per day.

#InThisTogetherOhio

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More from @ohio_data

Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

@ohio_data

2 Jul

We've recently heard about how it's the unV'd that are now testing positive in the hospital, with a scary % given to us. But what does it mean? How many are there in the hospital? And how do we get a good perspective on it?

Well, good news, I've become a data hoarder.

Attached, please find direct comparisons of how many COVID+ patients are/were in the hospital, how many non-COVID patients and how many empty beds there were for each of the eight regions (map showing what each region is is also attached).

The top graph is from 12/28/20 and includes the absolute height of COVID+ hospital occupancy. The lower graph is from yesterday, June 30th.

Read 11 tweets

Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

@ohio_data

1 Jul

Sliding downwards to 165 total cases per day for the whole state over the last 14 days.

1.87 total cases per county per day.

We are now at 96 confirmed cases per day over the last 7 days, just 1.09 cases per county per day.

Can I just point out how silly this is? Are we really masking so much harder (my eyes tell me that even in the eastern suburbs of Cleveland that there are fewer and fewer masks around).

Read 5 tweets

Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

@ohio_data

30 Jun

Tuesday's new reported data again shows a bump in the near term probables. Right on time with the beginning of the work week. Purely coincidental, I'm sure.

We are now down to just 167 total cases per day for the whole state, just 1.90 total cases per county per day.

Confirmed cases in the last 7 days have also dropped to their lowest point, with just 98 confirmed cases per day.

⭐️ That's 1.11 cases per county per day.

Our new V-starts keep following the dropping trend - no wonder Gov. DeWine no longer wants to talk about COVID - there's nothing scary to report, and no good news about the Big V either.

Read 6 tweets

Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

@ohio_data

29 Jun

14 day cases continue to be down and we've switched back to day over day decreases in the 7 day case numbers, though we haven't returned to our lowest numbers again.

We are now looking at 170 total cases in the entire state per day, which equates to 1.93 cases per county per day over the last 2 weeks

Our confirmed cases over the last 7 days has dropped again to 104 cases per day for the entire state and 1.18 confirmed cases per county per day for the last 7 days.

Read 7 tweets

Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

@ohio_data

18 Jun

We are now down to 225 total cases per day over 14 days, or just 2.56 cases per county per day.

When we get down to confirmed cases over a week's span, we're down to just 119 cases per day, or 1.35 cases per county per day.

Our V-starts also look like they have returned close to baseline declines after the opening of the Big V to 12-15 year olds.

Read 5 tweets

Beyond the Data, with Kathryn Huwig.

@ohio_data

18 Jun

Apologies upfront for the complexity of this post today, but the delaying of the 'emergency' meeting regarding myocarditis in younger individuals is beyond shocking and irresponsible.

In this post I have attached my commentary directly to each of these images, please read each and consider them carefully.

This article details cases of myocarditis in younger men, in particular, following mRNA accines. Note the relative specificity of timing - usually within 4 days after the second dose.
Note the very high rate for individuals between 16-30 years of age.
Also note the date - 4/27/21

Read 21 tweets

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