Say you're the Chief of an anti-corruption agency. You're trusted with broad decision-making authority.

Your agency has a large budget, staff, career ladder, pension plan, union, &c

One day, a scientist shows you a button that will end corruption forever.

Do you press it?🧵
This thought experiment shows a number of things at the heart of our current civilizational predicament.

On some naive level, you'd expect the Chief of an anti-corruption agency not only to press such a button immediately, but to have been desperately seeking it already.
The fact that it seems intuitively obvious that the Chief would be motivated to find a reason not to press the button, even if it was someone deeply honest and caring, shows you how our system is structured in such a way to force good people to do bad things.
Core is that the agency's structure contains an assumption of perpetuity. By hiring, creating a career path and structures that imply the problem will never be truly solved, we both discourage the staff from looking to find a solution and motivate them to prevent the solution.
But even worse, by calling it the Anti-Corruption Agency, we prevent others from trying, giving the impression the problem is under control. And if someone has an idea, they'd be told to take it to the anti-corruption people. Surely they know how to put good ideas to use, right?
Instead what you're likely to see is the Anti-Corruption Agency having its own 10-year or 20-year plans and seemingly-plausible ideas that hit all the politically-savvy talking points, that sound great but never work.
And if another idea takes hold in the public, the Chief of the Agency will be expected to take a public stance against "pseudo-scientific approaches to the problem that come from non-domain experts and interfere with the much-needed work of the Anti-Corruption Agency"
So we have a paradox: The very existence of an Anti-Corruption Agency not only doesn't weed out corruption, it actually ensures that corruption will continue, and any good ideas to combat it will be murdered in their crib.

We do this today for every large-scale problem.

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More from @alexandrosM

3 Jul
A🧵on athletes reporting illness at the Military World Games in Wuhan, October 18-27

<epistemic status: gathering datapoints, not drawing conclusions>

Sources:
[1]@BillyBostickson's thread:
[2]My thread:
[3]research from @Iseravi1
Mathieu Brulet, 🇫🇷 runner. Got bronze at Wuhan, but says he was ill.
[1] lechorepublicain.fr/chartres-28000…
[2] fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathieu_B…
[3] intensite.net/2009/actu2019/…
Elodie Clouvel, 🇫🇷, pentathlete
[1]dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8…
Read 23 tweets
2 Jul
When you have a truly new idea, you *will* get pushback solely because the idea is new or different. While you should heed other feedback, you should immediately discard this kind. It exists only to stop you. It is so predictable I can list it without even knowing the idea: 🧵
"if it's so good, why isn't everyone doing it already?"

This implies that everyone is looking for great ideas and adopting them as fast as possible. But if everyone assumes it of everyone else, and treats absence of adoption as evidence of fatal flaws, who will do any adopting?
"We've been doing things this way for ever. Why change?"

Because leaving improvement on the table is creating ever expanding vacuum for a competitor to step into and crush you. And because on some level if you're doing worse than what's possible, you're failing your customers.
Read 16 tweets
1 Jul
I was holding off on doing a🧵on Dr. Maxmen, as she seemed to back off after trying to gaslight everyone into doubting their own eyes. Given her self-admitted memory issues, I'd expect far more caution. Instead, she's back to bullying, and the memory issues are worse than ever.
On the memory issues, here's a thread describing the incident, and her response underneath. Of course as the person replying to her says, the photo should have jogged her memory before the accused others of doctoring.

Now for those technical pieces.
Here is Dr. Maxmen bullying @R_H_Ebright, among many other honors, recipient of the "American Society for Biochemistry and Molecular Biology/Schering-Plough Research Achievement Award" by calling him a "chemist": twitter.com/search?q=chemi…
Read 20 tweets
29 Jun
I want to write a few things about Dr. W. Ian Lipkin or as we call him in my household, *Dr Lynchpin*. He is the in the middle of many networks in virology, but at the same time he is somewhat of a maverick. Plays the game, but eventually finds his way to doing the right thing.🧵
Lipkin, early in the pandemic, was *everywhere*. Just between Jan 20 and Jan 30, he was quoted on 18 different articles, some times 3 articles in the same day! This continued up until March, when the infamous "The Proximal Origin of SARS-CoV-2" came out, with him as one author.
Lipkin was one of the few that George Gao, the head of the Chinese CDC, called on New Year's Eve 2020 to give him the down-low on the new virus. He also is one of only two scientists to claim he knew something was up before the last days of December 2019:
Read 21 tweets
29 Jun
Widespread daisy-chaining will change hardware forever. Most peripherals connect back to a mainboard that must know the number of peripherals in advance, and everything must travel back all the way. Daisychaining fixes that.

🧵of daisychainable protocols:
Quick review in case you think daisy-chain is something to do with flowers: The daisychaining pattern is to connect many devices together not by connecting each to a central hub, but by connecting each to the previous one, somewhat like the links in a chain.
First and foremost: power. This one is easy, but also easy to forget. You can power any number of devices in the same line. So long as they use the same voltage, and you have enough amperage, daisychaining power is the way to go. What for you ask? I'm glad you did.
Read 17 tweets
29 Jun
... aaaaand @ComicDaveSmith jumps the shark. Dave, you're doing great with your work with Mises caucus. And in principle objections to lockdowns are understandable. But *do not* tell people the delta variant is not more dangerous. At the very least the science is not clear yet.
If your philosophy is that lockdowns or restrictions are unacceptable that's totally up to you, or if it's that the government can't be trusted to implement them, again fine. It's irresponsible to say the data is somehow exaggerated. We don't yet know, it's too new.
Protect your reputation, we need voices that are sane and not be tarred with strong positions that are risky to take unless you really know what you are talking about. The doctors I watch are very concerned, and trust me they are not in Fauci's pocket, so it doesn't seem as clear
Read 7 tweets

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