When you have a truly new idea, you *will* get pushback solely because the idea is new or different. While you should heed other feedback, you should immediately discard this kind. It exists only to stop you. It is so predictable I can list it without even knowing the idea: 🧵
"if it's so good, why isn't everyone doing it already?"

This implies that everyone is looking for great ideas and adopting them as fast as possible. But if everyone assumes it of everyone else, and treats absence of adoption as evidence of fatal flaws, who will do any adopting?
"We've been doing things this way for ever. Why change?"

Because leaving improvement on the table is creating ever expanding vacuum for a competitor to step into and crush you. And because on some level if you're doing worse than what's possible, you're failing your customers.
"The idea will take a long time to get right"

The harder it is to make, the more valuable it is. So instead of whining, get going.
"The idea isn't as full featured or refined as the mature alternatives".

Correct, but the mature alternatives didn't start mature either. It's insane to compare a solution with a ton of room for improvement, with one that's exhausted its potential, other than increments.
"How do you know it will work?"

You don't. But if you're trying ideas that have potential to improve things by 10X, even if one in ten succeeds, you're still far ahead compared to looking for tiny improvements. Also, failures can still teach you things.
"is anyone else interested in this?"

No, because they all ask stupid questions like this.
"if we adopt this approach, we'll need to fire people who will be no longer needed"

Totally acceptable to make stuff more expensive as a jobs program, and with terminal confusion on priorities like this, you'll soon be firing everyone anyway, when a competitor scoops you.
"The idea will require deep reorganization of our company, and certain managers will have to lose resources, which they won't react kindly to. Love your idea but we can't adopt it"

Kodak sends its regards.
"I've asked several experts in the matter and they told me it can't possibly work".

Impossibility claims have an incredibly high bar that almost nobody ever meets. They're probably saying they can't imagine how it might work, which is a different claim.
"Sounds promising but we can't afford to invest in new things right now"

Invest in a casket?
"Sounds promising but we don't have the right skillset to go in that direction"

Now that you know your hiring is also screwed, what are you going to do about it? Nothing? Right.
"Hundreds of years of evolution by the greatest minds of each generation have resulted in an incredibly refined set of practices. You're saying you can do better? Isn't that arrogant?"
"Sounds promising, but while it will make our product better, it won't make a difference on our key metrics"

Invest in a casket.
"Sounds promising, but while it will make our product better, it won't make a difference to our quarterly earnings anytime soon"

And if we keep going that way, by the time it would have made a difference, we'll be out of business so who cares.
"Didn't so and so try this before and it ended up in disaster?"

If only Steve Jobs had applied this genius way of thinking before embarking on building the iPad. Had nobody told him that Bill tried and failed to do a tablet? Such waste of resources. Image

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More from @alexandrosM

3 Jul
A🧵on athletes reporting illness at the Military World Games in Wuhan, October 18-27

<epistemic status: gathering datapoints, not drawing conclusions>

Sources:
[1]@BillyBostickson's thread:
[2]My thread:
[3]research from @Iseravi1
Mathieu Brulet, 🇫🇷 runner. Got bronze at Wuhan, but says he was ill.
[1] lechorepublicain.fr/chartres-28000…
[2] fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathieu_B…
[3] intensite.net/2009/actu2019/…
Elodie Clouvel, 🇫🇷, pentathlete
[1]dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8…
Read 23 tweets
2 Jul
Say you're the Chief of an anti-corruption agency. You're trusted with broad decision-making authority.

Your agency has a large budget, staff, career ladder, pension plan, union, &c

One day, a scientist shows you a button that will end corruption forever.

Do you press it?🧵
This thought experiment shows a number of things at the heart of our current civilizational predicament.

On some naive level, you'd expect the Chief of an anti-corruption agency not only to press such a button immediately, but to have been desperately seeking it already.
The fact that it seems intuitively obvious that the Chief would be motivated to find a reason not to press the button, even if it was someone deeply honest and caring, shows you how our system is structured in such a way to force good people to do bad things.
Read 8 tweets
1 Jul
I was holding off on doing a🧵on Dr. Maxmen, as she seemed to back off after trying to gaslight everyone into doubting their own eyes. Given her self-admitted memory issues, I'd expect far more caution. Instead, she's back to bullying, and the memory issues are worse than ever.
On the memory issues, here's a thread describing the incident, and her response underneath. Of course as the person replying to her says, the photo should have jogged her memory before the accused others of doctoring.

Now for those technical pieces.
Here is Dr. Maxmen bullying @R_H_Ebright, among many other honors, recipient of the "American Society for Biochemistry and Molecular Biology/Schering-Plough Research Achievement Award" by calling him a "chemist": twitter.com/search?q=chemi…
Read 20 tweets
29 Jun
I want to write a few things about Dr. W. Ian Lipkin or as we call him in my household, *Dr Lynchpin*. He is the in the middle of many networks in virology, but at the same time he is somewhat of a maverick. Plays the game, but eventually finds his way to doing the right thing.🧵
Lipkin, early in the pandemic, was *everywhere*. Just between Jan 20 and Jan 30, he was quoted on 18 different articles, some times 3 articles in the same day! This continued up until March, when the infamous "The Proximal Origin of SARS-CoV-2" came out, with him as one author.
Lipkin was one of the few that George Gao, the head of the Chinese CDC, called on New Year's Eve 2020 to give him the down-low on the new virus. He also is one of only two scientists to claim he knew something was up before the last days of December 2019:
Read 21 tweets
29 Jun
Widespread daisy-chaining will change hardware forever. Most peripherals connect back to a mainboard that must know the number of peripherals in advance, and everything must travel back all the way. Daisychaining fixes that.

🧵of daisychainable protocols:
Quick review in case you think daisy-chain is something to do with flowers: The daisychaining pattern is to connect many devices together not by connecting each to a central hub, but by connecting each to the previous one, somewhat like the links in a chain.
First and foremost: power. This one is easy, but also easy to forget. You can power any number of devices in the same line. So long as they use the same voltage, and you have enough amperage, daisychaining power is the way to go. What for you ask? I'm glad you did.
Read 17 tweets
29 Jun
... aaaaand @ComicDaveSmith jumps the shark. Dave, you're doing great with your work with Mises caucus. And in principle objections to lockdowns are understandable. But *do not* tell people the delta variant is not more dangerous. At the very least the science is not clear yet.
If your philosophy is that lockdowns or restrictions are unacceptable that's totally up to you, or if it's that the government can't be trusted to implement them, again fine. It's irresponsible to say the data is somehow exaggerated. We don't yet know, it's too new.
Protect your reputation, we need voices that are sane and not be tarred with strong positions that are risky to take unless you really know what you are talking about. The doctors I watch are very concerned, and trust me they are not in Fauci's pocket, so it doesn't seem as clear
Read 7 tweets

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