I came across this (by Sarah Miller HT @dwallacewells) which I think well summarizes challenges to discussing extremes
“I realize I could cite some data to support this but I’m not going to look anything up because I don’t want to know the truth. I’m comfortable with “It’s bad””
The WADA committee recommending THC inclusion on prohibited list for reasons of morality includes people who also played a role in banning Caster Semenya — another moral crusade
Mostly white men from US/UK/Australia, elite sport vests too much power in a small subset of people
How Climate Scenarios Lost Touch With Reality
A failure of self-correction in science has compromised climate science’s ability to provide plausible views of our collective future
I'll post as soon as out of production ...
Our new paper is a tl;dr summary for a broad readership of our recent 21,000-word piece in ERSS on how climate scenarios got off track doi.org/10.1016/j.erss…
If you are not one of the 7 people who read that magnum opus, then our new paper is for you
When published, I'll also post an accompanying bibliography of our work over the past 20 years on the use/misuse of predictions and projections in climate research and policy
This hearing today reflects a wild mix of deeply flawed science
RCP8.5 & Billion-dollar disasters
Addressing Climate as a Systemic Risk: The Need to Build Resilience within Our Banking and Financial System | Financial Services Committee financialservices.house.gov/calendar/event…
The hearing is on legislation that would, among other things, create a powerful new technical committee composed of 5 climate scientists and 5 economists that would create scenarios with huge impact on US finance policies -- this is all sorts of problematic
The legislation also mandates the content of the scenarios: 2 policy scenarios, one NDC and one a conventional BAU
Remarkable statements 1. Under China biosafety regulations apparently novel viruses assumed to be relatively safe (BSL-2) until proven risky 2. US funded research follows laws of host country and not US biosafety regulations ... would seem to create poor incentives for scientists
My position is that regulation is the only approach consistent with human dignity as expressed in IOC policies, international law and the values expressed by the Olympic Movement.
I’d welcome hearing the law and policy-based case for an outright ban
Yes I’ve heard ad nausem the case made based solely on science, but not on law and policy
While reasonable people can disagree on this issue, it is unethical in my opinion for academics (in particular) to focus obsessively on individual athletes following the rules or seek to inflame the intensity of what already is a debate full of vitriol
I have just read Preventable by @ASlavitt
My review to come
for me, the most remarkable thread through the book details the work of a "shadow science advisory network" that in effect replaced functions that the derelict Trump admin should have been doing
Slavitt explains how his network communicated both behind the scenes (in open channels to Kushner, Birx etc) & out in public, including these 2 USA Today columns
Slavitt details how Trump administration officials, governors, members of Congress and others were in constant contact with him & his network for expert guidance on pandemic response
As well, Slavitt had access to federal agency leaders, WHO, international leaders, etc.