With most restrictions lifted and most students unvaccinated or only fairly recently eligible for their first dose, it's unsurprising that cases have been soaring, predominantly in people in their teens and early twenties in most of these areas.
While young people have a much lower risk of death, the ONS estimates over 100,000 people under the age of 25 are already living with ongoing health issues caused by covid.
A timely reminder that even young, healthy people can be affected by severe long covid after having the virus.
This poor woman has suffered over a year of health problems, including blood clots on the lungs and heart inflammation. She's been largely housebound since March 2020!
Lifting all remaining covid rules when cases are rising rapidly in young people who aren't fully vaccinated yet (and, in the case of children, don't even have the option of being vaccinated yet) means many thousands more will suffer months of serious long term health problems.
The idea that it will all just magically be fine because it's summer and cases were very low last summer is clearly nonsense.
Covid is not seasonal. We've had major waves starting in March, September, December and June.
Cases in July are now as high as they were in December!
If you zoom in, there's a precipitous rise in cases from June 20th - 21st, almost doubling overnight, a week after Scotland's first match of the tournament.
Which is roughly how long you'd expect it to take for people to start showing symptoms and book a test.
I wonder what @QMUL thinks of @profnfenton retweeting a post from an anti-vax conspiracy nut accusing colleague @dgurdasani1 of "misrepresenting the data" on covid deaths amongst vaccinated people?
Particularly ironic given Fenton's own record of mangling data...
Unsurprisingly, Dr Syed's claim that vaccination *increases* your risk of dying if you catch covid by 73% is utter nonsense.
A quick look at the ONS data shows the proportion of covid deaths in the oldest (most vaccinated) age groups has been falling. Exactly as you'd expect.
His whole argument rests on either ignoring the age of people who were vaccinated entirely or (in a later post) assuming that everyone who died was elderly.
Which, as I've just shown above, is far from true.
The latest nonsense from @hartgroup_org members @ClareCraigPath and @profnfenton is that there's no danger from rising cases because they're not real (they are), hospital admissions aren't rising (they are), and asymptomatic testing isn't showing any rise (it is).
Nice to see the government is back to leaking major decisions to the press before they're even supposed to have been made, and 3 days ahead of any official announcement. 🙄
Then they failed to take action in areas where the new variant was spreading and ignored calls to delay the last stage of reopening, letting Delta become dominant across the whole country and case numbers surge.
Meanwhile in Cornwall, the G7 summit is in danger of turning into a super spreader event, in an area that has had the lowest infection rates in England until now.
13 out of 17 staff at a hotel housing media and members of the German delegates' security team have caught covid.
Updated with another day of data. Wednesday 9th June is now up to 85 cases, and still incomplete.
It seems likely that once all the test results are in, Cornwall will have had more cases in one day at some point this week than it had in the whole of May.