A lot of people ask: how do you find companies to invest in? very good question.
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. π
1. screener.in
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
"Market Capitalization > 50
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
In this screener, i am looking for
smallcaps with a min mcap,
which have a bare minimum average ROCE & valuation accordance to the unit economics
which are also growing topline
and where operating cash flows are also increasing, on an average basis
List looks something like this as of today:
This is of course not the end of the research, only the beginning. But now, an idea has been generated. We will come to the research part later on.
Note that in this screener i was looking for consistent growing, profitable undervalued smallcaps.
One first needs to have a thought about what one is looking for, then one can codify it in screener. Another type of cos i look for are turn-arounds.
(short term roce growth > 4 OR medium term roce growth > 4)
AND
(short term sales growth > 7 OR medium term sales growth > 7)
AND
(short term opm growth > 10 OR medium term opm growth > 10)
AND
Market Capitalization < 2000
AND
medium term ocf profit ratio > 0.3
AND
ROIC > 12
That's one 'quant' way to generate ideas. 2. looking through PF of & tracking super-investors.
For funds/people with sizable PF sizes like @LuckyInvest_AK sir & @SunilBSinghania sir
I track trendlyne portfolios to generate ideas.
@LuckyInvest_AK@SunilBSinghania 3. Some amazing upcoming super investors are not yet visible in AUM size but active on (valuepickr.com). Since VP is completely open, one can easily track what cos anyone (including me) are writing about & considering. This creates another place to generate ideas
@LuckyInvest_AK@SunilBSinghania Once ideas have been generated, its the standard hard work of: 1. Study valuepickr.com thread for the company 2. Study company's conference calls, investor presentations 3. Study industry structure through industry reports, webinars on YT 4. Study company's annual report
@LuckyInvest_AK@SunilBSinghania 5. Do channel checks/scuttlebutt by talking to people about the company's products 6. Estimate future growth rates for industry and company's competitive positioning 7. Assign a fair value range for the company
@LuckyInvest_AK@SunilBSinghania 8. Buy if:
(i) there is significant discount to fair value
& (ii) significant sales & profit growth visibility & triggers
& (iii) Sources of durable competitive advantages which act as the 'moat' around the profit growth and market shares.
PS:
Thanks to someone who wrote to me today morning & prompted me to create this thread :)
PPS: I'm sorry that I cant reply to everyone, but i read all your messages carefully & if it something which is within reasonable limits, i'll do my best to help. π
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#Idfc first bank is something else entirely.
They reduced savings account rate to 4% around April 30 & yet the casa money continues to flow! Understandably some of it would have converted to TD (not given in current press release) but while several large banks casa has contracted
Idfc first casa has grown. Even average casa ratio has grown.
Look at hdfc bank casa as an example.
Disc: this is not a buy or sell reco, I am biased and invested
Wonderful #racl geartech concall. I loved it. Key takeaways below: 1. RACL is EV ready
In b/w lines: EV require higher precision gears. Very few cos can make. Much higher gross margin.
Already doing tech investment in capex to be EV ready. Investment requirement in tech is much higher for EV gears. EV components will be 3-4% of topline in FY22.
2. Working with ZF on a BLW series 7 car for next year launch. Working on e-scooter or european company
In b/w lines:
1st marks RACL foray into premium luxury passenger vehicle transmission gears. 2nd is 1st time they designed entire drive train or kinematics.
On popular demand and @LuckyInvest_AK sirβs guidance, here is the thread to understand the business of #mastek
If you find it useful, please retweet _/\_ so that other investors can also benefit.
@LuckyInvest_AK Before mastek, let us understand the industry it operates in. Broadly speaking, the IT industry is an enabler for all businesses, automating those business tasks for them which are somewhat incidental to the core business. As an example, consider #ITC & their ITC store.
@LuckyInvest_AK ITC has its own ecommerce store from which products are ordered. Building out this IT product: the backend & the app, are incidental to the core business (FMCG brands) of ITC. Some companies choose to build and maintain in-house IT teams. Others, outsource it to IT companies.
#SequentScientific πΆπ±π¦π¦π¦π¦ π
Q4 results. My key takeaways: 1. Medium term guidance of mid teen growth and no margin expansion.
Reading b/w the lines:
Co is investing heavily in upgrading and upskilling people, processes, creating capacities all with a focus on changing the terminal value of the business. Trading off Short term pain for long term gain: necessary characteristic for both co & investors.
2. Sequent 2.0 vision: Being executed under guidance of advisory board.
In b/w lines:
Co is upgrading itself from a branded generics player to a specialty branded generics player. Think of a Pikachu to Raichu Evolution.
Evolution takes effort, up front investments.
Watched this recent interview of @SamitVartak sir with @PMS_AIF_World. Brilliant interview. Always learn so much from Samit sirs public sharing. My key takeaways:
1. When Samit sir was in US, he spent a lot of time advising manufacturing businesses on how to have a good operating structure limit costs and maximize profits. So his edge is business understanding.
My thoughts:
This is one of the key things I've learned from Samit sir and other fellow investors, it is most important to understand the business and focus on compouding that knowledge by incrementally understanding more businesses rather than get bogged down by valuations.