Gosh, this is depressing. What we need to be doing is adapting i.e embracing a more remote first world not trying to push ourselves back into the past. Yes, I know that many miss their status symbols of power, the top floor offices etc ... but this is so flawed in thinking ->
In terms of messaging, in terms of lack of challenge over procurement, in terms of muddled thinking ... I struggle to think of a more hopeless chancellor since ... welll, gosh ... maybe Lawson, that seems an apt comparison.
X : What's wrong with the office?
Me : I've just finished a population study, so I can say with some confidence that the following are the next generation of company behaviours ... however ...
... within the data are contraindications i.e. you can't go down the path of leaderless leadership unless you've embraced guiding principles (see Amazon leadership principles - amazon.jobs/en-gb/principl… as an example ) and remote working ...
... the contraindications also appeared in earlier studies i.e. the organisation structure known as pioneer - settler - town planner doesn't seem to work unless you are run by guiding principles. For reference here is a handy list of useful guiding principles ...
... what we need to be doing in the UK is encouraging our organisations to adapt and not return to the past. This is doubly so because of Brexit which should be viewed as an opportunity to adapt, to create that more global trading nation ...
... instead for reasons which I can only explain due to status symbols (top floor offices etc), short term financial concerns (commericial property) and muddled thinking then our chancellor is sending messages that discourages adaptation. This is hopeless.
What is driving the change is industrialisation in social media, collaboration tools and access to data ... it was always going to happen, it's just covid (and the isolation economy it caused) accelerated this. You can fight it for a time but it will eventually overwhelm ...
... that's the power of supply and demand competition which drives the evolution of things which in turn drives the co-evolution of practice. We should be mindful of this and adapting, not seeking the past.
To put it bluntly and heartlessly ... due to the monumental cockup in our handling of COVID (unlike China), we've been more forced into isolation because of the massive number of unecessary deaths. We should turn this to our advantage by embracing more not less remote work ...
... to kill off 150,000 people due to mismanagement and then try to force the country back into the past is ... well, I don't have words to describe how absurdly stupid this is.
X : Why does science fiction ...
Me : Robert Heilein said all roads would be conveyor belts, Asimov had us living in floating cities by now and Arthur C. Clarke had underwater cities .... it's based upon layers of cause and effect prognostications not population studies ...
Me : The overwhelming majority of science ficton writing is wrong ... we just write so much of it that occassionaly someone, somewhere gets something right.
X : So, the future is remote robots?
Me : We already have a robot planet.
X : Where?
Me : smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/mar…
Me : the best way to "predict" the future is to realise that the future is already here, it's just not evenly distributed. Which is why you use population studies to identify new variants in organisations,

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More from @swardley

8 Jul
I always have the freedom to simply accept a poisonous or unhealthy relationship. If I want freedom from it then I need to deal with it and get rid of it.

Freedom from covid means zero covid and not putting up with covid.
"we consider any strategy that tolerates high levels of infection to be both unethical and illogical" - thelancet.com/journals/lance… ... unethical, illogical and dangerous seems to be the new motto for the Conservatives of late.
X : That's unfair.
Me : No. Cutting £20 per week or £1,000 per year from the poorest people with the greatest needs, pulling another 400,000 children below the poverty line and calling it the "right way to help people" - mirror.co.uk/news/politics/… ... that's unfair.
Read 13 tweets
7 Jul
"the level of death proposed by Boris Johnson would be unacceptable” - theguardian.com/world/2021/jul…

... I asked back in May 2020 whether we could borrow the NZ PM for a bit - - ... is there some official way we can vote to have NZ govern the UK?
I'm thinking of a "power of attorney", a sort of temporary measure until we come to our senses?
I have many friends who have had COVID, all of which were double vaccinated with plenty of time for the immune system to adapt ... I am somewhat surprised to hear people talk about "fully vaccinated" as though that prevents you from becoming infected ... it lessens the impact.
Read 6 tweets
7 Jul
X : You have to re-architect for serverless or the spend and performance are terrible
Me : Of course. The real value is from the practices not the technology i.e. DevOps over cloud (IaaS), but you can't take advantage of the practices without rearchitecting for the technology .
Me : ... unfortunately that need to re-architect gives rise to various attempts to persuade people that you can have the advantages without rearchitecting, a sort of "you can have the future but just like the past. All you need to do is buy the technology!"

It's snake oil ...
Me : ... as in "you can become data driven if you just buy a data lake" or "become cloudy by installing a virtual data centre".

There's a long history of this. Some is well intentioned, it's all wrong though. To compound this, we also have inertia from past practices ...
Read 9 tweets
6 Jul
Two pieces of wisdom in this thread ...

1) Friends, please get vaccinated if you haven't.

2) And please consider still masking after getting your vaccine. We're simply not out of this yet,

Well worth reading ->
People talk about living with COVID. I do understand but if we're going to adapt to living with COVID that means permanent use of masks, continued vaccination against variants, isolation and ongoing distancing. The only path to returning to past "normality" is zero covid.
By not embracing that path at the beginning, we have chosen a path where COVID will become a permanent feature, like the flu, with new variants appearing etc. This was obvious from the beginning and why I expect this to be a continuing issue at the next election.
Read 6 tweets
5 Jul
Loved this. One slide which says it all. Before anyone goes "serverless is the future" ... no, "serverless is the norm" - it's just that so many are yet to realise this. Give it time, another five years or so ->
At which point, between 2024 to 2029, we will be reaching the "Oh f&*k" stage of enterprise adoption of serverless and you won't be able to hire serverless developers because every other company will be scrambling to do the same.
X : What's the future then?
Me : The future is always about practices, the technology is the underlying cause. The practices you should be concerned about today are highlighted in green (the grey is what you should have been concerned about in 2011).
Read 8 tweets
5 Jul
No surprises.

For reference, that particular image I made in 2012, not 2016 - blog.gardeviance.org/2012/07/magic-… ... however, that's splitting hairs on years, the point is still the same. Well done MSFT, a good win for Azure.
I called Open Stack a dead duck in 2012 because the people running it didn't know what they were doing. Sure, it made money but Telcos gambling huge amounts of shareholder money on a "no hope" cause because of executive decree and ego is normal, not a guide to the future.
The only people who seemed to play the game well with OpenStack was VMware ... they used it to buy years, if not a decade of time for their company.

Smart play.
Read 8 tweets

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