I am reminded of a wonderful fable I read few months ago in am investing book (forgot which one). It goes something like this:
5 friends are walking in a desert. They end up meeting god ny chance and God tells them that they will satisfy one wish for each of them.
Person 1 asks for a camel. They get it. They are very very happy.
Person 2 looks at person 1 like they are a fool. Person 2 thinks what a fool to have asked for such a small thing. Person 2 asks god for 10 camels and 10 kg of gold. They get it and are very very happy.
Person 3 looks at person 2 like they are the biggest fool on earth and ask God to make them the ruler of the kingdom they come from along with a huge castle and untold riches. GOD MAKES IT SO.
Person 4 looks at person 3 funny like they're extremely stupid and ask God to make them the emperor of the planet earth with all of humankind their subjects. God makes it so.
Looking at this person 5 laugh to themselves at the combined stupidity of all their 4 companions and askes god to make them God.
In a second, person 5 drops dead.
The moral of the fable per the book is the following:
If one asks for little from life they get little. If they ask a lot, they get a lot. But if one asks toooo much from life Then they get a big fat nothing.
Stay safe, and look to compound wealth at 20% or thereabouts.
As an investor, I would never chase after a loss making company priced at 30x sales with no tangible unit economics in sight. Better to not ask too much from life imo. 😅
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First thing worth mentioning is that I am only describing my own process. Others can follow a different process which could work for them.
Opposite of a good idea can also be a good idea
Before understanding the process itself, it is important to understand the problems the process is being designed to solve for. What are the key hurdles or troubles I have faced in designing my PF.
Had a look at #cleanscienceipo
My key takeaways: 1. Really specialty chemicals. Many cos operate under the guise of specialty but this one is the real deal. They did not file patents to protect their process IP.
2. Margins and unit economics top notch. Even china imports from this Co. Wow. Invested in backward integration recently to increase gross margins. Only depend on commodity chemicals as starting materials now.
3. While last 3 years profit CAGR was 42%, i don't think next 3 years will see repeat.
(i) topline growing at 14% in an industry growing at 8-11%.
(ii) some operating leverage and favorable product mix can take profit CAGR to 18-20% IMO.
(iii) I Won't pay PEG of 2.5 for any biz
A lot of people ask: how do you find companies to invest in? very good question.
How did you find RACL, Pix?
Creating this ad-hoc thread to share my process.
if you like it, please RT to benefit maximum investors. 🙏
1. screener.in
Imagine what you want in a company, codify it in the form of filters, create a screen. Example below:
"Market Capitalization > 50
AND
Market Capitalization < 3000
AND
((Average return on capital employed 5Years > 25 AND
Price to Earning < 20) OR
(Average return on capital employed 5Years > 15 AND
Price to Earning < 10))
AND
Sales growth 5Years > 10
AND
...
#Idfc first bank is something else entirely.
They reduced savings account rate to 4% around April 30 & yet the casa money continues to flow! Understandably some of it would have converted to TD (not given in current press release) but while several large banks casa has contracted
Idfc first casa has grown. Even average casa ratio has grown.
Look at hdfc bank casa as an example.
Disc: this is not a buy or sell reco, I am biased and invested
Wonderful #racl geartech concall. I loved it. Key takeaways below: 1. RACL is EV ready
In b/w lines: EV require higher precision gears. Very few cos can make. Much higher gross margin.
Already doing tech investment in capex to be EV ready. Investment requirement in tech is much higher for EV gears. EV components will be 3-4% of topline in FY22.
2. Working with ZF on a BLW series 7 car for next year launch. Working on e-scooter or european company
In b/w lines:
1st marks RACL foray into premium luxury passenger vehicle transmission gears. 2nd is 1st time they designed entire drive train or kinematics.