32367 cases on a Saturday brings the centre-averaged doubling time down to slightly to 18 days. UK hospitalizations continue the expected exponential trend.
It's been previously discussed that Delta's effectiveness is by and large not through any clever immune-evasion tricks,...
It's been previously discussed that Delta's effectiveness is by and large not through any clever immune-evasion tricks,...
... but rather largely through simply being a more "fit" virus due a higher binding affinity for ACE2. New research continues to show how fit it is:
virological.org/t/viral-infect…
Over the course of the pandemic, the mean time between exposure and PCR-detectable levels of ...
virological.org/t/viral-infect…
Over the course of the pandemic, the mean time between exposure and PCR-detectable levels of ...
... virus has fallen from 6 to 4 days. More concerningly however, the detectable levels of the virus were 1260 times (not percent... times) higher at the first detection than early in the pandemic. Delta, quite simply, surges to high viral loads extremely quickly.
Even in our...
Even in our...
partially vaccinated landscape, Delta, quite simply, likes building vertical walls of case loads.
America, too, seems keen to get in on the game, with a strong reversal from case declines to growth as Delta has finally become dominant. In the face of this, the US has been...
America, too, seems keen to get in on the game, with a strong reversal from case declines to growth as Delta has finally become dominant. In the face of this, the US has been...
forced to grapple with how to safely reopen schools for the fall term. An analysis of the pros, cons, and practicalities of their recommended approach is discussed here:
yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/cdc-says-sch…
It remains to be seen however how state governments will react to their respective..
yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/cdc-says-sch…
It remains to be seen however how state governments will react to their respective..
case surges, and whether they'll focus on maximizing vaccination (which is still trending up in the US, albeit ~0,1% fully/day), or take the UK's approach of just infecting everyone.
Concerning that approach, WHO's COVID-19 technical lead has spoken up:
Concerning that approach, WHO's COVID-19 technical lead has spoken up:
https://twitter.com/mvankerkhove/status/1413589414907981829
The rising case load in the UK is a double hit, as NHS staff are also getting infected or being exposed, causing them to have to self-isolate. Up 1/5th of the NHS staff is expected to be isolated in three weeks:
theguardian.com/uk-news/live/2…
The government is considering whether...
theguardian.com/uk-news/live/2…
The government is considering whether...
... to have COVID-exposed staffers continue to work their jobs, as a result.
theguardian.com/world/2021/jul…
Most of Europe however continues to take the opposite approach. Malta, for example, is now requiring all tourists over the age of 12 who visit to...
theguardian.com/world/2021/jul…
Most of Europe however continues to take the opposite approach. Malta, for example, is now requiring all tourists over the age of 12 who visit to...
Meanwhile in England:
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