C Pita Profile picture
14 Jul, 16 tweets, 5 min read
For those following this HEPA filter thread – this is a really important acknowledgement. It’s clear from the thread, and this particular tweet, that many Infectious Disease experts still doubt that aerosol transmission is an important/mitigable transmission route for SARS2🧵 1/
While they acknowledge aerosol transmission can occur, they believe it is a rare event occurring in special circumstances, and is therefor not worth the $ to mitigate.
Eg. re HEPAs: "We need to resource by best impact", "Changes need rigorous justification and business case".
2/
See my pinned tweet for a thread summarizing the overwhelming evidence that Aerosol Transmission is an important and mitigable route. At the end, I provided a reference list and posed a question to the ID holdouts - no responses yet.
3/

Once aerosols are acknowledged - physics, models, tests and engineering judgement tell us that HEPA filters and N95 masks will reduce the inhalation of infectious aerosols – this is a well studied field based on physical principles with many experts (eg. Occ Hygienists, IAQ).

4/
The use of HEPAs and N95s is not debatable for other Airborne pathogens (eg. Measles, TB, AGPs) – thus it’s clear the sticking point here is whether Aerosol Transmission of SARS2 is an important transmission route, and whether it's worth the $ of mitigating.

5/
It is implied in this exchange that the *importance of aerosol transmission itself* is still up for debate within the ID community. The implication is ID docs have ceded the public ground, but that they remain unconvinced and unwilling to argue their position on the merits.
6/
This is really problematic. Any ID expert that still doubts Aerosol transmission is a key route – needs to put their cards on the table. The ID field holds the bully pulpit on this issue, influencing PH and IPAC guidelines, and literally holding the keys to the N95 cupboards.
7/
It’s not OK for these experts to sit by silently, watching and waiting for their unreasonably high burden of evidence to be met, all while blocking the deployment of effective Respiratory PPE and engineering controls (N95s, HEPAs).
8/
Even in this thread, the linked paper suggests we need a HEPA filter RCT, before we can recommend them for deployment. That would mean purposely installing a defective HEPA filter in an office or classroom, and then waiting to see if more people got infected. That's absurd.
9/
This is not how engineering controls work – engineers design critical safety systems every day. We use first principles, models, safety factors and redundancies to achieve a safe design. We don’t use RCTs, and we don't ignore lower probability, yet catastrophic, events.
10/
We cannot afford anymore debate or indecisiveness on this topic – we need action. We are at a critical turning point in this Pandemic; opening up with new variants circulating. We urgently need to upgrade or shared indoor spaces to mitigate against aerosol transmission.
11/
This means:

#Ventilation
#Filtration (including HEPAs)
✅CO2 monitoring (as a proxy for ventilation)

We also need to start consulting the air experts – there are more Canadian experts in IAQ and HVAC than there are Infectious Disease doctors. We need to unleash them.
12/
Engineers are pragmatic problem solvers - operating under difficult technical, schedule and budget constraints. And yet, Safety is #1. It’s engrained into our psyche, it's why we wear the iron ring, as a reminder of our ethical obligations to society.
13/
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Ring
I suggest Infectious Disease doctors look into starting a similar tradition to the iron ring, it’s clearly needed.

#ReleaseTheN95s
#UnleashTheEngineers
#UnleashTheOccHygienists

/end
Footnote...

Exhibit A for why this intransigence needs to stop:

Here's the (now deleted) tweet:

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More from @CPita3

14 Apr
During Friday's debate with @kprather88 and @DFisman, Dr. Conly raised a fairly common counter-point for why he thinks COVID is NOT Airborne: the relatively low Secondary Attack Rate (SAR) and Reproduction Rate (R0).

Let's unpack this flawed argument in a 🧵

1/
Dr. Conly states the SAR is 3 to 10%, with a household mean of 18%.

He then correctly points out that there is significant heterogeneity within the data, which means some people transmit to no contacts, while others transmit to everyone.

2/
After admitting to the heterogeneity, he cautions we "have to be careful not to draw conclusions" from these superspreaders... eg. Chalet (73% SAR), Choir (53%), and Diamond Princess (58.9%). He suggests there were "extenuating circumstances", and seems to dismiss them. 🧐

3/
Read 17 tweets
11 Apr
Is Airborne transmission an important and mitigable aspect of the COVID-19 Pandemic?

✅ YES - here's a 🧵 summarizing the evidence from @kprather88's presentation.

1/

events.ucalgary.ca/obrien/#!view/…
As Dr. Conly reminded us on Friday, when considering Airborne Transmission, "it's very important to take into consideration the very very complex environment".... "direction of airflow, the number of air changes, temperature, relative humidity... its veeery very complex"

2/
This is actually NOT "complex" for Aerosol scientists, mechanical engineers, building scientists, and other experts in fluid mechanics. Due to the Pandemic, these experts have diverted their brainpower to this problem. See summary of studies below.

3/
Read 15 tweets
10 Apr
Let's unpack Dr. Conly on the Precautionary Principle.

Q: Why weren't HCW provided N95s, given the advanced warning that SARS2 might be Airborne?

Conly: "I need to see a much higher level of evidence..."
(🤔 That's not how the Precautionary Principle works)

🧵 1/
He then makes a pretty bold claim:

"certainly from our experience in Alberta, in Phase 1" the HCWs wore "gowns, gloves, medical masks"... and "not a single HCW transmission"... despite "highly infectious, hot viral patients"

*Phase 1* is defined here: MARCH-APRIL 2020

2/
So why the "Phase 1" qualifier? Why is he using evidence from a 1 to 2 month period that was over a year ago, and extrapolating out to "8 months of continuous contact time", rather than just telling us what happened during the past year?

Oh... crap..

3/

calgaryherald.com/news/staff-at-…
Read 11 tweets
9 Apr
The acne is getting the most laughs (including from me), but the others are legit anti-masker talking points.

This is a crisis folks.. we have anti-maskers in charge at WHO.
This isn't an exaggeration.. just read through this 🔥🗑. Written on behalf of the WHO IPAC committee, and Dr. Conly defended these points today.

aricjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…
Read 4 tweets
9 Apr
Great thread for those asking "why is this even a debate?" or "isn't this just semantics?"
Re. "Is this really a debate?". Watch this video for yourself...

While this is from July 2020... so far there has been no public movement from Dr. Conly or the WHO IPAC committee on this issue. If anything they have dug-in their heels further.

Read 4 tweets
30 Jan
Just want to clarify that it's likely the Mother was the Index case. Child tested negative at the hospital. Mother was asymptomatic but developed symptoms 2 days after discharge, tested positive on day 4. Child tested positive on day 6.
Another key quote:

"As some of the report's authors were taking part in the medical round and got infected, we can declare there was full compliance with PPE guidelines."
Read 6 tweets

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