Thread by @mac_puck

@rjbarfield1 Big question is how many Pfizer / Moderna jabs we have available?

I am finding it very hard to track down this information.

This article suggests we have 40M doses (20M people) of Pfizer and 60M coming in Autumn

pharmatimes.com/news/uk_buys_a…

So how many have we used?

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@rjbarfield1 This website suggests it was 19.1M first doses as of 30th June

Which implies we are down to our last 0.9M until the Autumn deliveries start arriving.

gov.uk/government/pub…

@rjbarfield1 I used the way back machine to trace how many jabs of each type of vaccine were administered each week.

It looks like AZ 1st shots started dropping off in last week Mar / 1st week April, around the time the clots issue went official.

And Pfizer 1st shots accelerated in..
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@rjbarfield1 mid-May, when vaccination opened for under-40's ( who shouldn't have AZ, because of clot risk ).

If we really do only have 20M first doses it looks like we will hit a ceiling around now. Maybe already.

I also noticed some thing interesting about the overall 1st Shots graph

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@rjbarfield1 The slope makes an abrupt change at the end of March / start of April (the time of the clotting issue). If it was down to vaccine hesitancy you would think it would be a gradual drop-off not an abrupt change of pace., don't you think?

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@rjbarfield1 I genuinely believe the wheels have come off the Government vaccine rollout, but its perceived success is so intrinsic to their popularity, they will do anything to conceal the fact. Including fanning the flames of a 3rd wave that will (a) make vaccine rollout moot and (b)

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@rjbarfield1 be the smilodon of dead cats.

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