@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 2/ examine original documents. We do not shrug when documents are redacted, but, using deep knowledge of the subject matter and ingenuity, interpolate and interpret the documents so that their story is revealed and not concealed.
@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 3/ instead of advocating for secrecy and suppression of documents and concealing identity of fabricators like Danchenko and Steele, we believe in transparency and cleansing power of sunshine. Definitely not NYT "journalism", which whinged about identification of Danchenko
@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 5/ Meier's term "internet sleuths", intentionally or unintentionally, conflates the vast universe of commentators on social media, most of which is noisy and uninformed, with the work of "our corner of twitter", where a few exceptionally talented researchers have done unique work
@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 6/ the four of us are all very well educated and experienced researchers. Our academic qualifications and accomplishments, individually and collectively, would probably exceed those of the "journalists" who Meier holds in such reverence.
@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 7/ Meier accused us of having an untrustworthy "political agenda", but, to borrow a phrase from journalists, "without evidence". Our primary motivation has been puzzle solving. I've never discussed, for example, medicare with the others, but would guess that Hans and I have
@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 8/ have opposite views than FN and Walkafyre, but that's just a guess - we haven't discussed such politics. I loathe Pompeo; I'd be surprised if FN shares my loathing. Maybe he does, but I've never asked.
@BarryMeier@tafrank@praddenkeefe@HansMahncke@FOOL_NELSON@walkafyre 10/ another way of characterizing our work is a statement by UK Royal Society about one of us: "some ask tough and illuminating questions, exposing important errors and elisions". That's what we've done with Russiagate. Unlike NYT and WaPo "journalists". Nor what Meier described.
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A new thread on Curveball and how he was eventually exposed as a fabricator.
In theory, source validation (as even FBI James Baker claimed) attempts to validate whether source was in location of supposed meeting or made alleged telephone call, or, as here, presence at accident
2/ a few analysts were suspicious of Curveball prior to Powell's notorious speech to UN and subsequent Iraq invastion, but suspicions ignored. After invasion, none of the project designers named by Curveball knew who he was, contradicting narrative that Curveball part of program
3/ in Sept 2003, inconsistencies began to accumulate. Curveball had claimed to be part of bioweapon program that began in 1995, but it turned out that Curveball had been fired in 1995 and could not have been part of any supposed program.
the report of the WMD Commission in March 2005 is important to read (or re-read) in light of our present knowledge that Danchenko/Steele fabricated Steele dossier. fas.org/irp/offdocs/wm…
2/ perhaps their most important concern was that CIA intelligence officials "failed to convey to policymakers new information casting serious doubt on the reliability of a human intelligence
source known as Curveball", whose information was relied on in intel assessment.
3/ the WMD Commission regretted that "once again", the intel community "failed to give policymakers a full understanding of the frailties of the intelligence on which they were relying."
one of the big mistakes by everyone in connection with Steele dossier is to think in terms of LeCarre's Cold War epics, when the reality is LeCarre's Tailor of Panama. Read this excerpt.
2/ Danchenko corresponds to Harry, the Tailor of Panama, who is recruited by Osnard, an ambitious and greedy idiot in UK spy agency. Harry needed money. Like Danchenko. Harry had no sources, so he made them up. Transforming nobodies into "sources", then making up stories.
3/ the plot line of Tailor of Panama is a re-make of Graham Greene's 1959 novella Our Man in Havana, another "spy" recruited by UK spy agency who had no sources, so he made everything up.
@KeillerDon I looked at the 700 million year ago Snowball Earth theory about 15 years ago and it seemed very sketchy to me. Some Canadian geologists (who are very experienced in glacial geology) argued that formations more likely to be flood related than glacier related.
@KeillerDon 2/ a key proponent of Snowball Earth theory was Mann's friend, Richard Alley. I didn't try to parse relative merits of two theories, but, if I had to choose, would pick the Canadian geologists. If geological formations can be explained without glaciers,
@KeillerDon 3/ then physics problem of trying to explain entry into and exit from Proterozoic Snowball Earth become moot.
remember Mueller's famous "not in my purview" answers re Steele dossier (among others)?
Extraordinary to re-read transcripts of stonewalling in 2017 and 2018 where DOJ/RBI lawyers prevented witness questioning on Steele dossier because it was under investigation by Mueller
2/ here's one example (Many others.) Trisha Anderson (FBI deputy general counsel) attended "meetings with McCabe" about Steele reports and what FBI had "learned about facts
that might bear on his credibility as a source".
3/ one of the three FBI lawyers from Office of General Counsel stopped Anderson from answering, first to consult, then to refuse because "questions pertain to matters that are being looked at by the special counsel". (Side question: Why cloak senior FBI lawyers in redactions?)
The recent decision pointed to a split in circuit courts on broadness of Computer Fraud Act.
3/ in my 2019 commentary on Manning and Assange cases, I had noted that the same inconsistency between circuit courts was critical to Assange extradition: