Thread by @DoomsdayDebunks

The BBC tell us
1. exit wave is inevitable - FALSE
2. COVID is seasonal - during huge summer surge!
4. opening up now relieves pressure on the NHS in winter -higher estimates for summer hospitalization surge similar to H1N1 peak!

A mass of logical absurdities.

We are 50% unvaccinated. We need to finish that vaccination and also vaccinate down to adolescents - that's an extra 2 days for each year group at 400,000 doses a day. That gives far better immunity than natural infection and we are better prepared for the winter.

That's 2 days per age group for first dose then the same again 3 weeks later. Then we have masks, test trace isolate, physical distancing, ventilation, #DOITALL in ways that have no impact on economy as we open up carefully. Meanwhile by autumn we have vaccines that target delta.

And finally for below 12 we improve the schools, ventilation, class size, spacing, permit parents to keep kids at home if they wish to and by the end of 2021 then Pfizer likely has authorization for emergency use down to 6 months

Just slowly open up safely making sure cases keep going down and vaccinate the people who would otherwise be infected and do surge testing of local outbreaks and enhanced contact tracing, which Bolton already showed can suppress delta outbreaks effectively.

My point here is, why doesn't the BBC provide more of a platform for the many experts who say what I just said (I'm no expert, just a voluntary fact checker and science blogger).

What these experts say is not refuted by the government or responded to. It is just ignored.

H1N1 graph from: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
The 1,300 to 4,800 is from SAGE document here:
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
About the letter from medics and scientists to UK Gov: debunkingdoomsday.quora.com/Medics-and-Sci…

Professor @chrischirp of @IndependentSage :

"It's not inevitable that you're going to have an exit wave... it's only inevitable if we're not going to do anything about it,"

reuters.com/world/uk/freed…

The UK already has approval of vaccines for kids down to 12 but hasn't yet started vaccinating them.

bbc.com/news/health-57…

Pfizer could get emergency approval in the US for kids aged
5 - 11 in September.
2 - 5 soon after
6 months to 2 later in autumn or even next year.
edition.cnn.com/2021/07/15/hea…

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