I can’t get over how egregiously wrong this NYT article is

Vulnerability to weather extremes is currently lower than it has ever been - in rich and poor countries — ever!

This is one of the most significant science, technology & policy success stories of the past century👍
But what about flood vulnerability in Europe?
Sharply down over the past 150 years

Does that mean no floods? No tragic loss of life and damage?
No of course not

Reducing vulnerability is never completed but the trends are remarkable & that’s good news

nature.com/articles/s4146…
The idea that “no one is safe” (NYT)
Is as much misinformation as anti-vaccine propaganda

People around the world have never in all of history been more safe in the face of weather and climate extremes

Is there still vulnerability, exposure & loss?
You bet

More work to do?
Yes
My 2 cents ⤵️

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More from @RogerPielkeJr

18 Jul
Sport is still rife with doping
Between 10% and 40% of athletes in Tokyo might be cheating
economist.com/science-and-te…
From The Edge
See the EPO?
Pielke, R. (2018). Assessing doping prevalence is possible. So what are we waiting for?. Sports medicine, 48(1), 207-209.

@TheEconomist notes the results of a 2011 WADA/IAAF study of doping prevalence

WADA/IAAF tried to prevent its publication
Details⬇️
Read 7 tweets
17 Jul
My piece in the WSJ today on the importance of climate adaptation
My discussion of Mike Hulme’s “climate reductionism” didn’t survive the edit, but it is a really important piece for understanding the incredible flattening of knowledge on climate

d1wqtxts1xzle7.cloudfront.net/52603703/2011_…
“In this new mood of climate-driven destiny the human hand, as the cause of climate change, has replaced the divine hand of God as being responsible for the collapse of civilizations, for visitations of extreme weather & for determining the new 21st-century wealth of nations”
Read 6 tweets
13 Jul
🚨New pub🚨

How Climate Scenarios Lost Touch With Reality
A failure of self-correction in science has compromised climate science’s ability to provide plausible views of our collective future
by me & @jritch
@ISSUESinST (online 7/26)

Read it here now: drive.google.com/file/d/11UMwQ7…
This is a tl;dr update of this 21k-word paper:

Pielke Jr, R., & Ritchie, J. (2021). Distorting the view of our climate future: The misuse and abuse of climate pathways and scenarios. Energy Research & Social Science.
doi.org/10.1016/j.erss…

Plz email or DM for a PDF
We view the "stubborn commitment to error" in the continued use of outdated climate scenarios "as one of the most significant failures of scientific integrity in the twenty-first century thus far"

And that's because climate change is real & important
Read 5 tweets
13 Jul
A short 🧵 with a preliminary update of my annual analysis of @bp_plc Statistical Review of World Energy

Data: bp.com/en/global/corp…
The 2020 global proportion of carbon-free energy consumption hit a record 16.9% of total energy consumption (up from 15.7% in 2019)

A linear increase of ~1.1%/yr reaches net zero CO2 from FF at ~2100
The pandemic resulted in a big drop in FF consumption

Even so, the challenge of replacing all FF consumption remains pretty much unchanged -- deployment of equivalent of 1 nuclear power plant-eq of C-free energy every day while retiring equal amount of FF

A huge challenge
Read 6 tweets
10 Jul
This is 🔥🔥🔥 Image
In contrast, this probably over the top ... collectively bargained contracts of pro leagues are not going to let WADA in the door ... ever Image
Read 4 tweets
10 Jul
Excellent analysis:

Science Doesn’t Support Idea That Marijuana Aids Athletes’ Performance nytimes.com/2021/07/09/spo…
In addition to the ample evidence of dodgy science in anti-doping, this quote from @wada_ama spokesman @JamesFitz501 is key: “the U.S. has been consistent in its strongly held position that WADA should keep cannabis on the List”
The US government took credit for getting marijuana on the (then) IOC prohibited list as a matter of national anti-drug policy despite greater concern of athletes and officials on actual performance-enhancing drugs

ojp.gov/pdffiles1/Digi… Image
Read 19 tweets

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