⚠️ Arkansas has taken the new COVID case lead over Missouri. Here's their county-level vaccination rate (left) vs. new case rates (right):
⚠️ Missouri is still on fire, however. County-level vaxx rate on the left, new case rate on the right:
⚠️ Florida has switched to only releasing county-level data once per week, so these are already out of date, but the Sunshine state has leapt into 3rd place nationally.
⚠️ Louisiana.
⚠️ And no, it's not just red states: Nevada is in the top five as well, and there it's being driven almost entirely by Clark County.
⚠️ Texas by request. Note the R^2 is lower than I had it last week because I've switched *all* states to *fully* vaccinated only for consistency (previously TX, CA and a few other states were based on total doses administered):

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More from @charles_gaba

18 Jul
A question for @cyrusshahpar46 re. Massachusetts vaccination data. CDC has Dukes & Nantucket down as just 3.2% & 1.1%, which makes little sense.

However, the @WCVB tracker has Nantucket at 95% vaxxed and most of the Dukes towns/villages down as ~95%:
wcvb.com/article/massac…
I'm assuming this is due to the nature of both of them--resorts/vacation homes? Are only the caretakers considered permanent residents, while the other ~28,000 listed by the Census Bureau as living in Dukes/Nantucket actually live elsewhere most of the year or something? Thanks.
Until I hear otherwise I'm assuming the local town/village-level data is accurate and that Dukes/Nantucket are both at least 90%+ vaccinated. If I'm wrong please clarify, thanks!
Read 4 tweets
15 Jul
📣📣 UPDATED COUNTY-LEVEL VAXX THREAD (last one for a month as vaxx rates have slowed to the point these aren't changing much anymore):

ALABAMA:
ALASKA (as always, they're all over the map, literally):
ARIZONA:
(R^2: 0.7016)
Read 55 tweets
14 Jul
"Enhancements to ACA, Medicare and closing the Medicaid gap."

Sounds like it boils down to:
1. Making ARP subsidies permanent
2. Dental/Vision/Hearing for Medicare
3. Warnock/Ossoff/Baldwin Gap bill?

Wildcard: @SenatorSheehan's #S499 #SilverToGold, which could SAVE money!
The @UrbanInstitute recently estimated #S499 as costing around $350 billion net over a decade...but that *included* making the #AmRescuePlan's subsidies permanent, which are apparently already baked into the #AmFamiliesPlan regardless at an estimated cost of $163B. 1/
The rest of #SilverToGold would presumably cost ~$187 billion...but a more limited version might not end up costing anything net (instead of going to 85/90/95 AV, the upgrade might go to 90/95 only, with everyone over 300% FPL still getting a Gold 80 AV plan, for instance).
Read 4 tweets
14 Jul
📣 BREAKING: @CMSGov announces over 2.1 million #ACA exchange enrollments nationally via SEP; you can still #GetCovered thru 8/15!
acasignups.net/21/07/14/break…
The press release says 2 million, but the details indicate that it's over 2.1 million:
--1,522,283 via HealthCare.Gov
--an additional 600,000 via the 15 state-based exchanges
--As @xpostfactoid and I have pointed out repeatedly, the biggest factor re. how much SEP enrollment is up over the pre-COVID era is whether a state has expanded Medicaid or not:

--Expansion states: up 2.4x over 2019
--Non-Expansion states: up 4.0x over 2019
Read 6 tweets
14 Jul
📣 Heads up...SEP enrollment update developing...
--@SecBecerra & @BrooksLaSureCMS announced over 2.0 million SEP enrollments in #ACA exchange plans to date *nationally*
--1.5 Million via HC.gov; ~500K via state-based exchanges
--1.2 million of them have a plan costing <$10/month

--CMS is announcing exchange *and* Medicaid/CHIP numbers together

--As of February 2021, Medicaid/CHIP enrollment was 81 million
Read 6 tweets

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