Thread by @charles_gaba

📣 BREAKING: @CMSGov announces over 2.1 million #ACA exchange enrollments nationally via SEP; you can still #GetCovered thru 8/15!
acasignups.net/21/07/14/break…

The press release says 2 million, but the details indicate that it's over 2.1 million:
--1,522,283 via HealthCare.Gov
--an additional 600,000 via the 15 state-based exchanges

--As @xpostfactoid and I have pointed out repeatedly, the biggest factor re. how much SEP enrollment is up over the pre-COVID era is whether a state has expanded Medicaid or not:

--Expansion states: up 2.4x over 2019
--Non-Expansion states: up 4.0x over 2019

As for the other 600,000 via the 15 state-based exchanges, I can account for at least 366,000 of them in CA, CO, CT, DC, ID, MD, MN, NV, NY, PA & WA...but those are all partial, and I have no data at all for MA, NJ, RI & VT.

Also: If you add up the actual QHP selections for each month, the total from 2/15 - 6/30 is 1,746,000. That means roughly 224K people, or 13% of the total, never actually went on to pay their first premium *or* only enrolled for a couple of months before dropping out.

This is higher than I would have expected (but SEPs are weird, & if a chunk of those folks got jobs w/coverage back it makes sense). It's actually a GOOD thing that CMS is "purging" these numbers from the total; it means they're keeping the data as accurate as possible.