📣 BREAKING: @CMSGov announces over 2.1 million #ACA exchange enrollments nationally via SEP; you can still #GetCovered thru 8/15!
acasignups.net/21/07/14/break…
The press release says 2 million, but the details indicate that it's over 2.1 million:
--1,522,283 via HealthCare.Gov
--an additional 600,000 via the 15 state-based exchanges
--As @xpostfactoid and I have pointed out repeatedly, the biggest factor re. how much SEP enrollment is up over the pre-COVID era is whether a state has expanded Medicaid or not:

--Expansion states: up 2.4x over 2019
--Non-Expansion states: up 4.0x over 2019
As for the other 600,000 via the 15 state-based exchanges, I can account for at least 366,000 of them in CA, CO, CT, DC, ID, MD, MN, NV, NY, PA & WA...but those are all partial, and I have no data at all for MA, NJ, RI & VT.
Also: If you add up the actual QHP selections for each month, the total from 2/15 - 6/30 is 1,746,000. That means roughly 224K people, or 13% of the total, never actually went on to pay their first premium *or* only enrolled for a couple of months before dropping out.
This is higher than I would have expected (but SEPs are weird, & if a chunk of those folks got jobs w/coverage back it makes sense). It's actually a GOOD thing that CMS is "purging" these numbers from the total; it means they're keeping the data as accurate as possible.

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More from @charles_gaba

15 Jul
📣📣 UPDATED COUNTY-LEVEL VAXX THREAD (last one for a month as vaxx rates have slowed to the point these aren't changing much anymore):

ALABAMA: Image
ALASKA (as always, they're all over the map, literally): Image
ARIZONA:
(R^2: 0.7016) Image
Read 55 tweets
14 Jul
"Enhancements to ACA, Medicare and closing the Medicaid gap."

Sounds like it boils down to:
1. Making ARP subsidies permanent
2. Dental/Vision/Hearing for Medicare
3. Warnock/Ossoff/Baldwin Gap bill?

Wildcard: @SenatorSheehan's #S499 #SilverToGold, which could SAVE money!
The @UrbanInstitute recently estimated #S499 as costing around $350 billion net over a decade...but that *included* making the #AmRescuePlan's subsidies permanent, which are apparently already baked into the #AmFamiliesPlan regardless at an estimated cost of $163B. 1/
The rest of #SilverToGold would presumably cost ~$187 billion...but a more limited version might not end up costing anything net (instead of going to 85/90/95 AV, the upgrade might go to 90/95 only, with everyone over 300% FPL still getting a Gold 80 AV plan, for instance).
Read 4 tweets
14 Jul
📣 Heads up...SEP enrollment update developing...
--@SecBecerra & @BrooksLaSureCMS announced over 2.0 million SEP enrollments in #ACA exchange plans to date *nationally*
--1.5 Million via HC.gov; ~500K via state-based exchanges
--1.2 million of them have a plan costing <$10/month

--CMS is announcing exchange *and* Medicaid/CHIP numbers together

--As of February 2021, Medicaid/CHIP enrollment was 81 million
Read 6 tweets
1 Jul
ONCE AGAIN: I raised $6 million DIRECTLY for Dem candidates last cycle. I didn’t take a dime of it. And I don’t expect them to kiss my ass or even give me the time of day. All I expect them to do is vote for good policy and save democracy. That’s it.
Read 5 tweets
30 Jun
📣 It's been a few weeks since I ran the county-level plots so I figure it's time to update them.

NOTE: I've expanded the Y-axis from 70% out to 90% of the entire population, which is the highest you could conceivably get to if limited to ages 12+.

CALIFORNIA. R^2: 0.7581.
ALABAMA.
Vaccination rates only range from 14 - 41%.
KANSAS.
Anyone know if there's anything special about Graham County (pop. 2,500)?
Read 33 tweets
29 Jun
📣📣 HUGE! @CMSGov OFFICIALLY launches $0-Premium #SecretPlatinum eligibility for those on unemployment in 2021! #GetCovered
acasignups.net/21/06/29/cms-o…
Thanks to the #AmRescuePlan, #ACA enrollees earning less than 150% are eligible for $0-premium "CSR 94 Silver" plans in most states...which have extremely low deductibles/co-pays to the point that they're effectively the same as Platinum plans! 1/
ALSO thanks to the #AmRescuePlan, if you're receiving unemployment benefits OR IF YOU DID EARLIER THIS YEAR, you're ALSO now likely eligible for a $0-Premium #SecretPlatinum plan as well!

Some states went live with this already; HealthCare.Gov goes live July 1st!
Read 4 tweets

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