Thread by @drvyom

Lockdown with couple of cases- this is delta life. It’s obvious now- tracing alone can’t RELIABLY control outbreaks. If we somehow avoid permanent seeding of Covid, there’s one way to avoid future lockdowns.

Bolster the shit out of quarantine chain till Aus is highly vaccinated.

https://twitter.com/CaseyBriggs/status/1417289162202386451

Mandate, enforce, audit airborne precautions and vaccination for workers.
Incentivise contacts of quarantine chain workers to get vaccinated with Pfizer. Their families. Their mates.
Big difference between making people eligible, vs actually reaching out and getting it done.

The travel cap has been cut in half and that may help. In the meantime ventilation should be audited regularly with air purifiers to be used widely.
spending a few hundred million means nothing when we are trying to save many lives and billions of dollars per week.

What do I mean by ‘highly vaccinated’? What’s the magic number? I don’t know. The very least enough so if we lifted lockdowns we would not overwhelm hospitals, and also suppress transmission enough to make Delta strain sufficiently easy to contact trace.

People often think I’m a bit too optimistic about vaccinations but I truly believe that they are coming, and we will vaccinate fairly fast. But it’s going to be a dicey few months.

As I’ve said in the past it’s possible that we may have permanently seeded Covid. But if we manage to eliminate it again, we cannot squander the opportunity. Difficult to imagine what compliance we would get with a new set of lockdowns.
End.

Shouldn’t just vaccinate quarantine workers we should RING vaccinate them. Actual end.

I just want to stress something - this isn’t rocket science. This isn’t composing a song. Ie It’s not hard - the reasoning required to come to these conclusions is so dead obvious, that the only hard part is trying to understand why we HAVEN’T done this.

E.N.D.