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Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
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21 Jul, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Should Michael Gove now resign?

My analysis of Lord Frost’s statement about the Northern Ireland Protocol

In full: news.sky.com/story/boris-jo… ImageImage
Here is Michael Gove looking happy at the November deal
gov.uk/government/spe…

And here is Michael Gove calling it the “best of both worlds”

Watch:
And this is Michael Gove saying he’d solve the sausage border and Maros Sefcovic is the sausage king
This is what Michael Gove said in December (not November) when he published the protocol implementation plan he negotiated with Maros Sefcovic - an agreement in principle that meets all UK commitments Image

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More from @SamCoatesSky

Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
21 Jul
Lord Frost statement on the NI Protocol

- NIP risking the UK union and stability and “we cannot go on as we are”
- But now not the right time to trigger Article 16 even tho UK believes it would be justified
- Wants a “new balance” with goods meeting both EU and UK standards
- Says he wants to rip up elements of Protocol negotiated by EU meaning end to ECJ oversight
- Meaning “significant change” needed to the NIP agreed by Michael Gove …. In other words another renegotiation ….
- Even tho Angela Merkel and others have ruled that out
So the big question is what happens if EU don’t agree to renegotiate.

Do they do this side of summer of early Autumn?

And UK doesn’t implement checks?

Ultimately the EU will have to decide if and when they take action - or whether a stalemate ultimately suits all sides more
Read 4 tweets
Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
21 Jul
Five Tory MPs who wrote to judges to intervene in Charlie Elphicke case found guilty of “egregious behaviour is corrosive to the rule of law and, if allowed to continue unchecked, could undermine public trust in the independence of judges” & 3/5 MPs should be suspended for a day
Findings by the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards
Conclusions
Read 4 tweets
Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
20 Jul
Tomorrow Lord Frost will set out changes to operation of NI protocol (NIP)

It could:

1. Threaten to activate Article 16

2. Activate Article 16 (a mechanism in NIP)

3. Rip up NIP entirely

EU won’t like rhetoric - but important to maintain perspective if UK goes for option 1
Many expect of these three options, Frost will go for option 1 rather than option 2 or 3

FT tonight thinks so as well: on.ft.com/3hQUa36

But following the US demarche and the need for their cooperation over COP26, some believe UK gvt have rowed back from going further
I’d expect the UK to say that the EU interpretation of the protocol is completely j acceptable

Their changes may imply a need for a change to the text, but they may well not ask for one

But unless they say text of the protocol must be rewritten, this is a less dramatic option
Read 11 tweets
Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
16 Jul
So there's a live discussion in gvt about whether France should go on the red list - requiring £££ hotel quarantine from those who come back.

As per @breeallegretti and @HarryYorke1

Some health figures in favour, but it's a massive call requiring ministerial agreement

1/
I'm told Whitehall believe there is a short window to make a decision on France - possibly just days

France is the second biggest holiday destination after Spain. Most state schools break up next Friday. There's a belief a decision needs to be made before then.

2/
Why? If a decision is made after next Friday, then too many people will already be abroad and there wont be enough hotel rooms to quarantine all those coming back.

But will they?

3/
Read 8 tweets
Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
8 Jul
I understand there is concern in Whitehall over what to do about the sheer number of people expected to be told to isolate in the coming days.

This could be a big problem over next 5 weeks after Sajid Javid announced 10 day quarantine for double jabbed wont end until Aug 16
The Department for Health privately confirmed to others in Whitehall it is looking at the scheme

Chancellor Rishi Sunak confirmed one plan this morning: to make the Covid app bluetooth function less sensitive. There were 356,036 app alerts in England in week to June 30 - up 62%
But some in Whitehall want Sajid Javid to go further

Look at the stats

In the week to June 30, 135,685 people tested positive

and

281,500 people who had come into contact with Covid patients were identified via NHS Test and Trace and told to isolate

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Read 6 tweets
Sam Coates Sky Profile picture
18 Jun
Why the Tories should be worried by the Chesham and Amersham by-election

6 key lessons
news.sky.com/story/why-the-…
Takeaway 1

Westminster conventional logic - that the Tories would win - wrong *again*
Takeaway 2 - The Lib Dems live!
Read 7 tweets

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