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John Bye Profile picture
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21 Jul, 6 tweets, 2 min read
China:
Western Europe:

Siberia:

America:

Canada:

And that's all in the last month!

Doing nothing is a LOT more expensive than acting now.

nytimes.com/2021/04/22/cli…

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More from @_johnbye

John Bye Profile picture
18 Jul
The British Grand Prix is running at full capacity this weekend, supposedly as a "scientific, data-gathering exercise".

I'm there, and it doesn't really look that way to me.

More like a festival where everyone forgot we're still in a pandemic. 😬

theguardian.com/sport/2021/jul…
For starters, anyone who is under 11 or fully vaccinated over 2 weeks ago doesn't have to be tested for covid before, during OR after the event.

Everyone else needs a lateral flow test every 48 hours to maintain their NHS Covid Pass .. but don't have to do any after the event.
It's also not clear how many people who test positive after the race will be linked back to the event.

When PHS did this they identified almost 2,000 Scottish cases related to Euro 2020.

Has anyone seen any data from England games or Wimbledon yet? 🤔

Read 13 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
8 Jul
Honestly, this sounds a bit fishy.

The dashboard data says just over 50% of 18-24 year olds have had the vaccine so far.

But the latest ONS survey reports that about 90% said they were likely to take the vaccine if offered it, or have already had it.
Dashboard data:
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccin…

Take up is 53% for 18-24 year olds, rising to 90%+ in over 60s.

ONS survey:
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

90%+ intention to get vaccinated in 18-25 age groups.

So what's going on? 🤔
Meanwhile the government is denying renewed reports of a shortage of the Pfizer vaccine.

Maybe they aren't being entirely honest? It would certainly explain the slow progress in vaccinating under 40s, as AstraZeneca isn't used in those age groups.

metro.co.uk/2021/07/07/gov…
Read 4 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
6 Jul
A timely reminder that even young, healthy people can be affected by severe long covid after having the virus.

This poor woman has suffered over a year of health problems, including blood clots on the lungs and heart inflammation. She's been largely housebound since March 2020!
Lifting all remaining covid rules when cases are rising rapidly in young people who aren't fully vaccinated yet (and, in the case of children, don't even have the option of being vaccinated yet) means many thousands more will suffer months of serious long term health problems.
The idea that it will all just magically be fine because it's summer and cases were very low last summer is clearly nonsense.

Covid is not seasonal. We've had major waves starting in March, September, December and June.

Cases in July are now as high as they were in December! Image
Read 4 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
4 Jul
It's not just school children who are being left to fend for themselves as the government lets covid rip.

Cases in university towns with large student populations soared as the academic year ended, with some of the highest rates in the country.

Source:
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/intera…
Oxford: Image
Nottingham: Image
Read 10 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
28 Jun
It looks like Euro 2020 might have caused a massive surge in covid cases in young men in Scotland.

Unless someone can think of another reason for this odd pattern?
Daily case numbers in Scotland are now at their highest level of the entire pandemic.

Mostly in young, unvaccinated people. And with far higher rates amongst men than women.

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?… Image
If you zoom in, there's a precipitous rise in cases from June 20th - 21st, almost doubling overnight, a week after Scotland's first match of the tournament.

Which is roughly how long you'd expect it to take for people to start showing symptoms and book a test. Image
Read 7 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
13 Jun
I wonder what @QMUL thinks of @profnfenton retweeting a post from an anti-vax conspiracy nut accusing colleague @dgurdasani1 of "misrepresenting the data" on covid deaths amongst vaccinated people?

Particularly ironic given Fenton's own record of mangling data...
Unsurprisingly, Dr Syed's claim that vaccination *increases* your risk of dying if you catch covid by 73% is utter nonsense.

A quick look at the ONS data shows the proportion of covid deaths in the oldest (most vaccinated) age groups has been falling. Exactly as you'd expect.
His whole argument rests on either ignoring the age of people who were vaccinated entirely or (in a later post) assuming that everyone who died was elderly.

Which, as I've just shown above, is far from true.
Read 10 tweets

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