$DOM Excelentes resultados de Global Dominion. La compañía deja atrás el COVID reportando récord semestral creciendo un 31% en beneficios vs el 2019. Estas cifras habrían sido incluso superiores +45% eliminando el efecto de los tipos de cambio (principalmente México y EEUU)
La entrada de un socio minoritario en el segmento de renovables se retrasa ya que consideran que la buena evolución de los proyectos y la obtención de nuevos requieren una revaluación del precio que exigían por el segmento. Siguen con la intención de dar entrada a un socio!
El crecimiento no proviene del M&A. Crecimiento orgánico récord en un entorno poco favorable para segmentos como B2C. Alta generación de caja (>70% EBITDA). La compañía sigue cotizando a precios muy atractivos y prueba de ello son las recompras que están ejecutando.
Batiendo ampliamente el ambicioso plan estratégico de doblar beneficios en 5 años (4 pre-covid). Como españoles, tendemos a infravalorar el management y las compañías españolas frente a las extranjeras cuando en muchos casos las mejores compañías las tenemos en casa.

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More from @gabcasla

20 Jul
$GLNG has reached an agreement to increase the utilisation of Hilli. Golar is very bullish on the LNG prices as shown in the contract structure. Taking into account the current futures, it will add 26M FCF in 2022 and 30M per year from 2023 onwards.
Those news are in line with our model. We expected between 20M and 30M of FCF in 2022. Notice that Golar has upside, for eg, if 2023 LNG prices are like where they are today, Golar makes 62M of FCF per year on 0.4M tonnes. If we add oil at $75, this means $100M+
We are aware Golar isn't happy, but the Hilli FLNG must remain sited there until mid-2026. Hilli is a 2.4M tonnes FLNG, but only 1.6M tonnes will be used by 2023. If Perenco/Gazprom doesn't solve its own issues, GLNG will reallocate Hilli by mid-2026
Read 4 tweets
13 Jul
Presentación de los fondo Sigma Internacional y Gamma Global. Explicamos la filosofía de inversión y las posiciones más relevantes:

En el minuto 1.04 hablamos de la venta de TK. Es verdad que en el fondo de renta variable hemos rotado algunas veces de las filiales a la matriz dependiendo del descuento, pero esta vez hemos cerrado completamente la posición en todos nuestros vehículos entre 3.90 y 4
No significa que no creamos que exista un potencial elevado. Nos sigue gustando, el problema es que los comparables nos gustan más. Mantenemos 1M en nuestros vehículos más defensivos en TGP y tenemos deuda de TK vencimiento 2023 al 6.5%. TK no tendrá ningún problema para refi
Read 5 tweets
17 Jun
Pax Global has released a profit alert announcement after market. Pax expects to record an increase of not less than 30% in net profit in 1H 2021 (compared to >10% guidance and ~18% consensus). The new Android solution and the SaaS platform are being incredibly successful.
You must be aware Pax profit grew 18% last 1H20. Pax is recording an all time profit, it is not only a COVID recovery. However, it is not a surprise as I suggested it in the last video. Pax was delivering enough terminals per month to beat its estimates

Pax Global is a wonderful company in a fantastic and growing sector. IMHO, I might be right if I go against the consensus and narrative saying that Pax Global is not a commodity business.
Ignore the narrative, do your own work!
Read 4 tweets
13 May
Excelentes resultados del grupo $TK. Tesis materializándose en línea con lo esperado. ¿Compartís mi feeling de que siempre que presenta bien TK la bolsa y el oil se hunden y nos termina arrastrando? 👇
$TGP. Resultados mejor de lo esperado. El anterior trimestre habían guiado -4M para Q12021 ($0.57eps) y han reportado +0.5M ($0.61eps). Fijado un barco a 1 año + ejercida opción por parte del cliente en otro + spot market-linked otro = 98% de la flota fija a 2021
La reducción de la deuda y la refinanciación a mejores tipos hace que el net income mejore la evolución del EBITDA. Aún así, la deuda total desciende únicamente 42M este trimestre. Esto es temporal y revertirá a lo largo del año: -39M "other operating assets and liabilities".
Read 7 tweets
21 Apr
I can't be more excited after having talked three times with different Golar managers this year. I feel new FLNG projects are coming very soon. The market doesn't understand the fantastic and disruptive technology Golar has
We understand market's doubts as Golar hasn’t signed new deals since late 2018, however, the environment wasn't appropriate. Asia LNG was trading between $2 and $6 MMBtu. Despite Golar has the lowest cost solution, I estimate the customer needs LNG above $5 to make good returns
The environment has changed. AsiaLNG is trading above $8 and we are not even in the strong seasonal period. Berstein expects the world to enter into a supply deficit that will grow to 74MTPA which needs to be supplied by new projects that have yet to FID over the next 4-5 years
Read 4 tweets
5 Apr
Amazing presentation from Pax Global on its FY 2020 earnings and fantastic Chairman's speech sharing his ambitious goal. Call transcript avaiable in the following link:

slideshare.net/GabrielCastroC…
The company is beating the most optimistic estimates. Management is excellent. They left China avoiding the commoditization and price war before nobody predicted it and switched to geographies where they add real value. Their moat is growing day by day and the best is yet to come
The management is aware of the shareholders' needs. They know the stock is really cheap and will continue to unlock value through increasing shareholder reward
Read 5 tweets

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