Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
@orwell2022
Jul 23, 2021 • 14 tweets • 12 min read • Read on X
1/ #Myocarditis/#Pericarditis rates after #vaccination.

#CDC #VAERS US data (June) versus German #PEI (July).

I start with the result graph. For details and source see below. Conclusion: the US and German data are very comparable. Image
2/ Sources.

CDC USA report: June 23, 2021, Tom Shimabukuro

Paul Ehrlich (PEI) Germany report, July 15, 2021
3/ Data preparation:

1) The CDC report is very well done and properly normalized. No further calculations are needed. All is done and ready.

2) The German report is poor. No normalization by doses, nor by sex. In General the report is of a very low quality.
4/ So for the German PEI report, some calculations and estimations were needed. The administered dose per age group are also not published and need to be estimated.

Approach: use German 2019 population pyramid and multiply by vaccination rate (estimated). Here the result. Image
5/ Remarks. Germany hasn't given a general recommendation for vaccinating children below 18.

Thanks to the #STIKO, they didn’t follow the unethical example of CDC.

That’s why the German curve begins at 18 only. The data below 18 is fortunately not available. Image
6/ The general quality of the German PEI reports are of low quality (lacking dose/age normalization etc.).

The comparison with the high quality report by CDC shows this very clearly. But judge for yourself.

@RWMaloneMD @waukema @AlexBerenson @Lareb_NL @CDCgov @rki_de
7/ Many thanks again to #STIKO and Prof. Dr. Thomas Mertens who resists the unethical pressure by @Karl_Lauterbach and other #zerocovid members.



@BrinkmannLab @ViolaPriesemann @jensspahn @hugodejonge @maybritillner
8/




9/ Bonus round: why vaccinating children is unethical:
Using the same type of normalization as decribed above, I estimated the age dependant vaccine CFR from the German PEI report and compared it with the C19 IFR for healthy. IFR source below here:
Image
10/ All safety features have fallen. This here is unprecedented. Politics make medical decisions now and ignore #STIKO. The kids must be vaccinated at all costs it looks like. And rumors say that STIKO will change it’s recommendation. Based on new data? No.
11/ Risk - Benefit the wrong way around. It’s absolutely “heartbreaking” (sorry for the sarcasm).

Unfortunately my little thread will grow bigger. There is a new PEI report available. I’ll update my graphs.

#STIKO #FDA #PEI #CDC shame on you.
12/ Interesting. Canadian data. Significant higher rates are seen, more in line with the the Israel data.
13/ Here is a graphical comparison: Canada vs. Israel (claimed source is a FOI request: )

Clearly CDC US and PEI DE have an underreporting issue while Canada and Israel show similar (higher) numbers.

What about @Lareb_NL ? Nothing to report? Silence? Image
14/ The potential root cause for the age curve has been discussed by @bringsmileback here: a combination of testosteron and stronger Th1 inflammatory response in young boys compared to older men:

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Orwell2024🏒

Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @orwell2022

Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Feb 13
This account has "uncovered" urban heat in megacities and WMO Cat5 stations.

In Dublin (@connolly_s), a mere 10km walk separates one city 🟥 showing doom of global warming, from the airport 🟩that isn't showing it.

Such are the marvels of climate 'science'. Image
H/t @Dodders75 for ecad link. Why isn't all data for Valentia displayed? It's one of the best rural time series.

From raw data (@MetEireann) on top, and below, the subpar tool graph. We see a classic: develop SW tools nobody uses 👉 get low/no quality.

Image
@Dodders75 @MetEireann Next: UHI effect in Uppsala (big city 🟩) vs. Linköping (small town 🟥). Uppsala's fewer frost days reflect its urban growth. While UHI—locally beneficial as it reduces frost—isn't climate change, it distorts data at 99% of global stations. Image
Read 6 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Feb 7
1/ Let's check real measurements. GHCNv4 stations that continuously operated 1900JAN-2025JAN.

ERA5 (weather model) shows warming were least stations can constrain it. Warming doesn't like places with real stations? Avoiding measurements? We have noticed this previously. Image
2/ The ERA5 model's +1.75°C anomaly aligns with megacity 'BU' levels—the top curve. Absurd and exposing the ERA5 reanalysis (weather model and not data) as non credible. Real, unbiased historical stations in non-urban areas show a very cold January. Image
3/Next - the most reliable station region only: US

-1.5°C 🥶

Even cities (high BU) could escape despite UHI. We saw snow in TX/Florida/AL and deep frozen alligators.

Data and visuals aligns. ✅

(ERA5 SW is hallucinating heat where unconstrained.)

Image
Read 6 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Nov 11, 2024
1/ Deutschland, die Energienarren der Welt: Thread.

Hier ist die Preiskurve (31 Tage, stündlich). Kaufe teuer, verkaufe billig. Bottom Nailers (oder auch Narren). Angeblich importieren sie, weil es billiger ist? Nein. Die Sonne scheint eben nicht nachts. Image
2/ Quelle: Agora Energiewende – de facto der Familienbetrieb der Grünen. Man sieht sofort, was los ist: Deutschland, auf einem Irrweg, in bestem Stil echter Narren. Verkaufen billig, kaufen teuer, alles im Namen der „Rettung“. Klar, wer nachts Sonne braucht, zahlt eben drauf. Image
3/ Jetzt wierholen wir zusammen, wie echte Hofnarren:

„Importieren ist billiger“
„Schweden hat versagt“
„Lauterbach rettet Leben“
@roberthabeck for Chancellor. Ab hier anders. Image
Read 5 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Oct 7, 2024
1/ The use of the BI (bigness index) to classify rural/urban areas is flawed. Landsat-derived GHSL BU (Global Human Settlement Layer Built-Up) data shows the rural curve (in green 🟩) consistently trailing the urbanized GHSL BU data (10% BU = typically for small towns 🟧). Image
2/ The Bigness Index (BI) is not only a poor parameter but outdated. Even Kabul Airport shows up with BI=0.

Shown below: GHCN stations labeled BI=0, highlighting those with 2% 🟠 and 10% 🔴 built-up areas in 2020 (from the EU-GHSL).

Image
3/ Analyzing further: nearly half of the stations are classified as rural (BI=0). This is complete nonsense, as the GHSL built-up percentages 2020 for these stations clearly indicate. Nearly all are, in fact, urban—which explains why they see no difference to officially urban. Image
Read 32 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Oct 1, 2024
1/ Climate stripes - the origins.

Can we do better than Ed Hawkins? Yes, we can.

The perfect smoothed climate stripe, maximizing color pivot for ultimate fear manipulation.

Perfection—better than the original. Or in other words: how to manipulate your mind. Image
2/ Here’s how it’s done:

1 Pick a highly urban(izing) place: Stockholm.
2 Calculate anomaly.
3 Maximize range.
4 Apply LOESS for max color pivot (=mindfuck)

Note: UHI in Stockholm is ~2°C. Never mind that—the goal is to manipulate your minds.


Image
3/ Now let's try GOTHENBURG. Hold on a second... what's happening? It looks like we've accidently landed in the US Midwest—in the middle of nowhere, where hockey sticks don't flourish. Nice flatliner we have here, just like CHAMA.

Image
Read 4 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Sep 10, 2024
They're trolling / insulting. The request was clear: compare ERA5 2km / @meteoblue with @AEMET_CValencia sensor at an hourly level. If they match at night, cloudy days, winter, but the sensor shows higher T in summer clear skies / no wind / day 👉 sensor is heat-biased. So? Go.
Thanks, @meteoblue. Normal conversation can be so easy. If the Spanish gentlemen would now provide access to their hourly station dataset, we can overlay it with the fine-grid ERA5 2km hourly product and see what's going on. Does that sound like a way forward @AEMET_CValencia ?

Image
Image
@meteoblue @AEMET_CValencia He clearly doesn’t understand their response nor my request. At this stage, I just want him to provide THE HOURLY DATA. What the answer actually means is that the 30 km cell is more representative of the region’s climate—yes, it’s better than the station. Well done @ChGefaell 👍.

Image
Image
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(