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24 Jul, 4 tweets, 2 min read
"At the Nuremberg Trials the doctors and nurses stood trial. And they hung. If you're a doctor or a nurse, get off that bus."

Just a normal day for conspiracy nut Kate Shemirani, as a crowd of anti-vaxxers cheers her comparison of hardworking NHS staff to Nazi war criminals. 😳
Her Wikipedia entry is eye opening, displaying pretty much an A to Z of far right conspiracy theories and anti-semitic tropes.

Scary to think this woman used to be a nurse, until she was suspended for spouting nonsense about covid and 5G last year.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kate_Shem…
Perhaps unsurprisingly then, her comment about hanging doctors and nurses apparently wasn't even the craziest thing she said today:

Spare a thought too for her son, who has had to deal with this kind of crazy sh*t for far longer than the rest of us.

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More from @_johnbye

John Bye Profile picture
25 Jul
After covering the pandemic for more than a year, apparently Robert Peston has just discovered the UK definition of a case. 🙄

I mean, it's right there on the dashboard, just above the graph.

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases Image
Whether this means the daily case count "seriously understates" infections seems doubtful though.

An ONS study shows (up to June 5th) less than 1% of participants had been reinfected. Most cases detected at a high Ct, suggesting fairly mild infections.

ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati… Image
Of course, this data is from before the current surge in cases.

But even with 3.7 million people who first tested positive for covid over 6 months ago, it's unlikely that any reinfections would make a significant difference to the 1 million new cases counted in the last month. Image
Read 4 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
24 Jul
Clare Craig claims that 10% of all respiratory samples in England are positive for RSV, more than covid.

Needless to say she's wrong on every count, because she didn't understand or sanity check the data she was looking at before posting. As usual.
For starters it's 8.9%, not 10%. And that's of samples that were tested for RSV, not all the samples logged by Respiratory Datamart.

The vast majority of the 100,000 samples will have been tests done for covid. Only a handful would be from RSV tests.

That's because hospitals routinely screen all admissions for covid, whereas patients (mostly infants) are only tested for RSV if a doctor specifically asks for it.

Hardly surprising then that positivity is much higher for RSV tests than for covid tests.

Read 7 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
23 Jul
The latest anti-vax article from Daily Sceptic is absolute nonsense even by their low standards.

The writer compares daily cases to total patients in hospital (not admissions), and assumes ALL patients are over 60.

Which was never true, and even less so now. Thanks to vaccines.
In fact, the Herald article he links to clearly says that only 40% of recent hospital admissions were over 60. Did he even read it?

His entire "essay" is based on a lie. And @toadmeister published this blatant misinformation, because he either didn't notice or didn't care.
As if that's not bad enough, the writer then plots all hospital patients vs test positivity in over 60s (conjured up using unspecified "statistical tricks").

Which is even more meaningless.

Based on this utter gibberish he falsely claims that the vaccines aren't working.
Read 5 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
21 Jul
China:
Western Europe:

Siberia:

Read 6 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
18 Jul
The British Grand Prix is running at full capacity this weekend, supposedly as a "scientific, data-gathering exercise".

I'm there, and it doesn't really look that way to me.

More like a festival where everyone forgot we're still in a pandemic. 😬

theguardian.com/sport/2021/jul…
For starters, anyone who is under 11 or fully vaccinated over 2 weeks ago doesn't have to be tested for covid before, during OR after the event.

Everyone else needs a lateral flow test every 48 hours to maintain their NHS Covid Pass .. but don't have to do any after the event.
It's also not clear how many people who test positive after the race will be linked back to the event.

When PHS did this they identified almost 2,000 Scottish cases related to Euro 2020.

Has anyone seen any data from England games or Wimbledon yet? 🤔

Read 13 tweets
John Bye Profile picture
8 Jul
Honestly, this sounds a bit fishy.

The dashboard data says just over 50% of 18-24 year olds have had the vaccine so far.

But the latest ONS survey reports that about 90% said they were likely to take the vaccine if offered it, or have already had it.
Dashboard data:
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccin…

Take up is 53% for 18-24 year olds, rising to 90%+ in over 60s.

ONS survey:
ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati…

90%+ intention to get vaccinated in 18-25 age groups.

So what's going on? 🤔
Meanwhile the government is denying renewed reports of a shortage of the Pfizer vaccine.

Maybe they aren't being entirely honest? It would certainly explain the slow progress in vaccinating under 40s, as AstraZeneca isn't used in those age groups.

metro.co.uk/2021/07/07/gov…
Read 4 tweets

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