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Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
@Maverick_Equity
Jul 26, 2021 • 6 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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Kudos to Ark Invests's Disruptive Innovation theme, analysts, process, transparency & performance: they bought early what many did after ... BUT I'm quite puzzled how close $ARKK trades with Goldman Sachs non-profitable tech basket: 1y back mirror-like ...
#ArkInvest #CathieWood
3y back mirror-like ...
intra-day mirror like ...
finally decoupling from the SPAC ETF basket of black boxes ...
👉it would be interesting to see the overlaps in holdings between ARKK & GS non-profitable tech basket, but permission required to view ...
👉many must be early in the cycle (pre-profit/revenue), but still ... puzzle is on ...
Thoughts ? Rationale ? Comments ? Feedback ?
4 common names spottes so far ... very interesting

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More from @Maverick_Equity

Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Jan 17
✍️ The State of the US Economy in 45 Charts, Edition #2 is now live ... link in bio! Enjoy!

GDP, Job market, Consumers, Interest rates & yields, Housing, Inflation and Recession probability. Research via sleek charts that say 10,000 words ... Enjoy!Image
Structure and Toc ...

And now a thread🧵with the main highlights! Image
1) Q3 2023 real GDP increased at an annual rate of 4.9% (q/q) … not bad at all …

👉 Q3 increase driven by increases in consumer spending and inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. Overall, 14 of 22 industry groups contributed to the Q3 increase in real GDP

👉 the 4.9% growth rate is more than double the 2.35% median in the last 20 years

👉 note also the 2007-2009 recession, and also the 2020 Covid down & up swing

👉 reminder: every 6-8 years we get a recession, it’s just the business cycle … things recover, having a plan for when (not if) it happens makes it easy to weather the stormImage
Read 43 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Jul 30, 2023
$TSLA Tesla Total Deliveries since 2012 ... ramping up actually just beginning? Food for thought ... Image
$TSLA Tesla Model 3/Y Production
Quarterly data since 2020
CAGR: 61.00% Image
$TSLA Tesla Model S/X Production
Quarterly data since 2020
CAGR: 2.41% Image
Read 4 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Dec 7, 2022
👉🧐Contrarian indicator = hedge fund equity market exposure which is now exceptionally low ... as during 2008 Lehman, 2012 EuroZone Sovereign Debt Crisis, 2020 Covid crash & now with higher rates, recession likelihood ... Thoughts? Food for thought ?
$SPY #SPX #Stocks #Equities Image
Complementary another contrarian metric & view:
👉CEO Business Confidence Expectations for the Economy & S&P 500
Thoughts ?
$SPY #SPX #Stocks #Equities Image
Another contrarian sentiment metric, Europe edition
👉economic expectations/sentiment is about 2007-2009 Lehman implosion levels and worse than 2012 EuroZone Sovereign Debt Crisis ... Image
Read 4 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 31, 2022
Big Tech Q3 key remark: %YoY change in operating margin, let that sink in!
$META -14.0%
$GOOGL -7.5%
$AAPL -0.9%
$AMZN -2.4%
$MSFT -1.7%
Big tech drag on the S&P500 / $SPY
$META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA
Big tech drag on the S&P500 / $SPY: % price YTD and holdings weight
$META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA
Read 7 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 29, 2022
$KR 🧵on a name not popular and not covered cause boring ... but makes money: +96% since January 2020, +5% in 2022 a year when not much worked ...
$SPY #SPX $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$KR Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY #SPX $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$KR The Kroger capital allocation: Image
Read 4 tweets
Maverick Equity Research 🇺🇦✌️🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 28, 2022
$PLTR Q3 earnings preview🧵7th Nov:
Valuation since DPO: Price, Actual & Estimated Sales with Free Cash Flow switching positive:
👉when PLTR was making 1bn Sales & Sales estimates were 1.3bn, price = 44
👉when PLTR is making 1.74bn in Sales & Sales est are 2.09bn, price = 8.61🧐 Image
$PLTR Earnings History & Surprises:
👉actual EPS vs EPS surprise
👉1 day price % reaction ... if you feel like trading the stock and/or options during the Q3 earnings have this in mind ... Image
$PLTR Financials Actuals & Consensus:
Wall Street consensus expects:
👉$475m Q3 Revenues while for Q4 $507m with revenue growth just 21% and 17%
👉 1.9bn for 2022, 2.3bn for 2023 and 3bn for 2024 with revenue growth just 23%, 24% and 25% =🧐materially below management guidance? ImageImage
Read 10 tweets

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