Share this page!

Maybe Scrolly?
David H. Montgomery Profile picture
Twitter logo
27 Jul, 10 tweets, 6 min read
Today is a Tuesday, which means @mnhealth is reporting 3 days of data today. So don’t freak out over the 1,032 new cases reported today.

Cases ARE rising, which is bad, but more modestly. Over the past week we’re averaging 350 cases per day, up from 220 cases per day last Tues.
@mnhealth MN’s positivity rate is up to 2.87% — until quite recently, record-low territory — from 2.0% a week ago.
@mnhealth #COVID19 hospital admissions are up, but only modestly so far.
@mnhealth Here’s how this current #COVID19 wave compares to past waves. The next few days could be key in showing whether we’re about to shift into another gear or not.
@mnhealth Here’s the big picture: while cases are up over the past month in MN, we’re not even in the same ballpark as the states being ravaged by delta right now.

YET?
@mnhealth You can see the current #COVID19 case growth is focused in the South & California.

You might be tempted to say it’s seasonal, but it’s not exactly been chilly in the Midwest lately…

Whenever any area seems to be escaping COVID, always wait a few weeks before claiming victory.
@mnhealth Cases are rising most strongly in the Twin Cities metro and east-central Minnesota, especially when you adjust for vaccination rates.
@mnhealth Welp, gotta go recalibrate the truncation on this graph…
@mnhealth Confirmed cases are up in all age groups, but especially among working-age adults.

Cases are NOT surging among children too young to be vaccinated (at least, not *confirmed* cases).
@mnhealth Vaccination rates are starting to inch back up, likely as fears of the new wave spur the hesitant to go get jabbed.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with David H. Montgomery

David H. Montgomery Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @dhmontgomery

David H. Montgomery Profile picture
28 Jul
Today’s #COVID19 data is not good — not only are cases continuing to grow, as expected, but there are signs that that growth is accelerating. Too early to say for sure, but the last two days of reports suggest the fourth wave may have found another gear… ImageImage
Today reported 625 newly confirmed cases. That’s more than double last Wednesday’s 278.

The weekly average is up to 400/day, from 233/day a week ago.

Over the last two weeks, positivity rates have nearly tripled; cases have nearly quadrupled; hospitalizations nearly doubled. Image
It’s just a few days of data so far, but you can see the trajectory change in our current positivity line — eerily mirroring, at a lower base, the shape of the fall wave. (Again: too early to make conclusive judgments!) Image
Read 8 tweets
David H. Montgomery Profile picture
27 Jul
I've always been a little bit confused by the Google Reader nostalgia, but maybe that's because I just immediately exported my RSS feeds to Feedly, and continue to subscribe to dozens of feeds today.

But GR's demise probably did make it harder for new people to get into RSS...
I think this piece by @katiebakes gets into some of that — the demise of Google Reader was perhaps more symptom than cause of the death of the old blogosphere and surrounding “good internet.”
@katiebakes Here’s what I wonder: how much of the demise of Internet 2.0 was supply-side (companies like Google changing their offerings toward walled gardens) and how much was demand side (lots of new people spending more time online)
Read 4 tweets
David H. Montgomery Profile picture
26 Jul
As expected, Minnesota’s fourth #COVID19 wave is continuing to grow — but so far, at least, it remains at very low levels compared to what we’ve seen over the past year and a half. ImageImage
This is true even if you just look at rates as a share of the unvaccinated population. The increase looks steeper here, but we’re not at levels comparable to the last two waves. (Though note: testing volume is much lower now, so unconfirmed cases may be higher.) Image
Here’s how Minnesota's current wave compares to past waves, by positivity rate. We’re much lower than even the comparatively mild Spring 2021 wave, and the pace of increase remains modest (so far). Image
Read 6 tweets
David H. Montgomery Profile picture
20 Jul
I enjoyed all three MCU TV series so far, but “Loki” was by far my favorite — and the only one of the three to stick the landing in the final episode.
This was despite, or perhaps because of, the fact that it was basically just a good Master story from Doctor Who.
Of the three shows, it had the tightest integration between plot and theme. Showdowns weren’t resolved my mere punching matches (or magical punching matches) but by key charater choices that felt organic and earned, but not automatic.
Read 4 tweets
David H. Montgomery Profile picture
19 Jul
This month I ran a contest for the @MPRpolitics newsletter to identify the best orator in #mnleg. On Friday, I announced the winners, one lawmaker from each party: Sen. @epmurphymn and Sen. @ZachDuckworth: view.connect.mpr.org/?qs=db60725500…

Congrats!

BUT there’s a dash of *scandal*… 1/
2/ You might notice that the right graph has a bit of a different shape than the left graph. DFL runner-up @_RyanWinkler got only slightly fewer votes than @epmurphymn, and was just slightly ahead of @CedrickFrazier in turn, and so on.

But @ZachDuckworth lapped @BarbHaleyMN 2:1.
3/ So as is my wont, I dove into the data. And it turns out that there’s something very interesting going on: Unlike just about everyone else, @ZachDuckworth (or someone close to him) actually *made an effort to win this contest* by mobilizing supporters to vote strategically.
Read 8 tweets
David H. Montgomery Profile picture
18 Jul
19th Century Congressmen who were accused of scandal but felt they had done nothing wrong would not uncommonly resign, go back to their districts, run in the special election to replace themselves, win, and come back to Congress with a new popular mandate.
For example, in 1856, Rep. Preston Brooks infamously beat Sen. Charles Sumner on the Senate with a cane while Rep. Laurence Keitt held back onlookers. In the ensuing uproar, both men resigned, went back home, and were promptly reelected.
"A motion for Brooks' expulsion from the House failed, but he resigned on July 15 in order to permit his constituents to ratify or condemn his conduct via a special election... They approved; Brooks was quickly returned to office after the August 1 vote…"
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @dhmontgomery has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @dhmontgomery!

Read all threads by @dhmontgomery

:(