19th Century Congressmen who were accused of scandal but felt they had done nothing wrong would not uncommonly resign, go back to their districts, run in the special election to replace themselves, win, and come back to Congress with a new popular mandate.
For example, in 1856, Rep. Preston Brooks infamously beat Sen. Charles Sumner on the Senate with a cane while Rep. Laurence Keitt held back onlookers. In the ensuing uproar, both men resigned, went back home, and were promptly reelected.
"A motion for Brooks' expulsion from the House failed, but he resigned on July 15 in order to permit his constituents to ratify or condemn his conduct via a special election... They approved; Brooks was quickly returned to office after the August 1 vote…"
"Keitt was censured by the House. He resigned in protest, but his constituents ratified his conduct by overwhelmingly reelecting him to his seat within a month."

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More from @dhmontgomery

20 Jul
Bad news continues for Minnesota’s #COVID19 outbreak, which is getting close to the point where we can refer to a “fourth wave.” Cases back over an average of 300/day, positivity up over 2%. We’re basically back where we were in late May. ImageImage
Cases are now rising in every region of the state: Image
Cases are up in every racial/ethnic group, but ESPECIALLY among Black Minnesotans. Image
Read 6 tweets
20 Jul
I enjoyed all three MCU TV series so far, but “Loki” was by far my favorite — and the only one of the three to stick the landing in the final episode.
This was despite, or perhaps because of, the fact that it was basically just a good Master story from Doctor Who.
Of the three shows, it had the tightest integration between plot and theme. Showdowns weren’t resolved my mere punching matches (or magical punching matches) but by key charater choices that felt organic and earned, but not automatic.
Read 4 tweets
19 Jul
This month I ran a contest for the @MPRpolitics newsletter to identify the best orator in #mnleg. On Friday, I announced the winners, one lawmaker from each party: Sen. @epmurphymn and Sen. @ZachDuckworth: view.connect.mpr.org/?qs=db60725500…

Congrats!

BUT there’s a dash of *scandal*… 1/ Image
2/ You might notice that the right graph has a bit of a different shape than the left graph. DFL runner-up @_RyanWinkler got only slightly fewer votes than @epmurphymn, and was just slightly ahead of @CedrickFrazier in turn, and so on.

But @ZachDuckworth lapped @BarbHaleyMN 2:1.
3/ So as is my wont, I dove into the data. And it turns out that there’s something very interesting going on: Unlike just about everyone else, @ZachDuckworth (or someone close to him) actually *made an effort to win this contest* by mobilizing supporters to vote strategically.
Read 8 tweets
3 May
Today’s #COVID19 news in Minnesota is not great. The number of newly administered first doses is plummeting. I actually think the current levels are artificially low — we’ve been getting an average of 20K 1st doses per day — and due for a bounceback, but this isn’t good.
At the current pace, it’d take until late June to give 80% of Minnesotans their first vaccine.

A few weeks ago, we were chugging along at a mid-May pace.
J&J doses are starting to be given again, but only in relatively small numbers. Now Pfizer and Moderna doses are starting to decline, too.
Read 10 tweets
3 May
1/ I’ll reiterate what I said about this dataset a few weeks ago. You should take this data with a huge grain of salt (though not necessarily dismiss it ENTIRELY), because of one warning sign you can see below: radical discontinuities along state lines.
2/ Here’s how this data was constructed: they surveyed a whole lot of people about vaccine hesitancy, and then they used demographic characteristics of those people to extrapolate to the entire population. Relatively standard technique, but with some obvious pitfalls.
3/ Here are the variables HHS used in their model: "age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, marital status, health insurance status,
household income, state of residence, and interaction terms between race/ethnicity and having a college degree."
Read 10 tweets
2 May
What precisely is the specific allegation in the sign, “Why won’t the gov[ernment] let black ppl make up more than 13% of the U.S. pop?”?

Activists regularly accuse the government of killing Black people. But this is a very specific demographic figure.
In the 1990 Census, 12.1% of Americans were Black. In 2000, it was 12.3%. In 2010, it was 12.6%.

We don’t have figures for the 2020 Census yet. The 2019 ACS one-year estimate was 12.8% Black.
To be clear, I’m genuinely curious as to the intent here. Is this a more poetic way of repeating the more common charge about Black deaths at the hand of the government? Is there a conspiracy theory about 13% as a threshold? It’s very specific and very demographic.
Read 4 tweets

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