There’s two big issues here
Our work focuses on one of them
1. Climate models (unconstrained by obs) are running too hot
2. Scenarios used to “drive” these models are out of date (too much CO2)
Our work focuses on 2
Together these have led to serious issues needing fixed
Our work focuses on one of them
1. Climate models (unconstrained by obs) are running too hot
2. Scenarios used to “drive” these models are out of date (too much CO2)
Our work focuses on 2
Together these have led to serious issues needing fixed
https://twitter.com/kylelsaunders/status/1421103749263618049
You can read about the issues with scenarios here, based on foundational work by @jritch & continuing collaborations with @matthewgburgess
Many others have done important work on these issues as well …
issues.org/climate-change…
Many others have done important work on these issues as well …
issues.org/climate-change…
For the long, technical details plus references to the broader literature see our paper in ERSS (plz email or DM for a copy for those without access)
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
The timing of all this is incredible
IPCC WG1 is meeting as I type this to approve its 6th assessment report
And just about everyone knows there are deep issues with application of scenarios across the literature
How will IPCC handle what we all know is dated/flawed science?
IPCC WG1 is meeting as I type this to approve its 6th assessment report
And just about everyone knows there are deep issues with application of scenarios across the literature
How will IPCC handle what we all know is dated/flawed science?
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