In short, you can’t “out organize” gerrymandering. In 2012 in PA, Democrats got 51% of the congressional vote but won just 5 of 18 seats. The map was so gerrymandered that even if Ds won 56% of the vote, they would have won only 6 of 18 seats. #fairmaps 2/
Contrast that to the pre-2011 map. Then Democrats won 11 of 19 seats with 56% of the statewide vote. (Or put another way, 58% of seats for 56% of the vote compared with 33% of seats for the same 56% of the vote under the gerrymandered 2011 map). #fairmaps 3/
And Pennsylvania wasn’t alone. A similarly aggressive gerrymander in Ohio held Democrats to just 4 of 16 seats (25%) all last decade even though Democrats in Ohio get way more than 25% of the congressional vote. #fairmaps 4/
And it bears stressing that it will be fast-growing communities of color in states like Texas and Georgia that will bear the brunt of the gerrymandering that is just weeks away. #fairmaps 5/
People of color provided almost all of the country’s growth last decade (90% in Texas) and with most people of color in metro areas now living in suburbs rather than cities, the frayed protections of the VRA don’t have as much reach as they used to. #fairmaps 6/
There is little in current law that will prevent lawmakers in the South from dismantling districts in the suburbs of cities like Atlanta, Dallas Houston where emerging multiracial coalitions have either won power in recent years or come inches away from doing so. #fairmaps 7/
Indeed, with the Supreme Court’s 2019 ruling in Rucho v. Common Cause, lawmakers can now justify discrimination against communities of color in the South on the basis of partisanship - we were just discriminating against Democrats & you, SCOTUS, said that’s okay. #fairmaps 8/
The For the People Act - or whatever compromise bill emerges in the Congress - is vital because it will ban partisan gerrymandering by statute & strengthen other protections for communities of color in redistricting. #fairmaps 9/
But time is **running critical short.** The Census Bureau will release the data states need to draw maps on August 16 (in two weeks!) and then it will be off to the races. Many states will redistrict in Sept & Oct. Most of the country will be done by Christmas. #fairmaps 10/
Every day that passes, the harder it becomes to pass the most robust reforms. #fairmaps 11/
And every day that passes increases the risk that Americans - and Black, Latino, Asian, and Native American communities in particular - will be stuck with discriminatory and aggressively gerrymandered maps for the decade. #fairmaps 12/
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This piece is just plain wrong. Yes, it is too late for Congress to mandate independent redistricting commissions for this round of mapdrawing. But there is still *lots* that Congress can & urgently needs to do. #fairmaps 1/ thefulcrum.us/amp/reforms-fo…
I talk here👇about how the redistricting reforms in the For the People Act aren’t just one reform but a power package of reforms that will work in tandem to fix a badly broken process. #fairmaps 2/ brennancenter.org/our-work/analy…
At the top of the list is a statutory ban on partisan gerrymandering. The gerrymandering ban in the For the People Act is strong, targeting both intent *and* effect - and it can and should be further fine-tuned and strengthened yet in various ways. #fairmaps 3/
There are lots of arguments for the benefits of diversity, but few more powerful the initial US response to the pandemic. Neither China cancelling the Lunar New Year nor having to completely shut down the world’s second largest economy in face losing fashion really broke through.
And I’m not just talking about the federal government but in the general discourse - in local governments and within organizations and among everyday people. The import of his bad this was just didn’t resonate.
Cancelling the Lunar New Year is the equivalent of cancelling Christmas, Thanksgiving, and western New Year. It’s huge. The Lunar New Year is the one time a year that many factory workers from inland provinces get to go home. That it happened was epically big.
It’s hard to describe how clueless *and* depressing this situation is. To quote the great Eminem, “If you one shot, or one opportunity . . . Would you capture it or just let it slip?” For some in power, it seems to be the latter.
We stand at an inflection point about whether we can be a multiracial democracy or not. Few people in history have been given as stark a choice. And that people can’t see it is 🤦🏻♂️😑
I mean just consider gerrymandering which could determine control of the House for a decade. Hard to “organize” out of that. Yes, Democrats won back the House in 2018 after losing it in 2012 - but they benefitted from a couple of factors that won’t likely be present this decade.
The logo for the 1976 Bicentennial is still one of the best pieces of public design.
Though it raises the question - planning for the Bicentennial began in 1966. With the nation’s 250th anniversary just five years away, is there going to be something similar? Is that even possible in a country seemingly as divided as we are today?
The year before (2025) will be the 60th anniversary of both the Voting Rights Act and the Immigration Nationality Act - two bills that transformed the country and set the stage for who we are today. In a different world, you could see a big celebration leading into 2026.
Section 2 as it applies to redistricting survives Brnowich, but Section 2 in the redistricting context was already getting harder to use.
That’s both because SCOTUS interpreted it restrictively and because Section 2 claims, with those restrictions, are hard to successfully bring in the places where people of color increasingly live (namely, the suburbs). 2/
To win a Section 2 redistricting case, the Supreme Court requires that you prove that you can draw a reasonably compact minority district that is 50%+1 citizen voting age population. That’s possible in the traditional big city cores where people of color used to mostly live. 3/
SCOTUS has spoken and said that “mere inconvenience” and “some [racial] disparity” is not enough for **courts** to invalidate laws.
But you know what, **Congress** is a co-equal branch & has broad power under the Elections Clause to set a floor for what is acceptable.
Congress has used this power many times: to require use of single-member districts (1842), to set a uniform national election day (1844), the Absentee Voter Act (1986), the National Voter Registration Act (1993), the Help America Vote Act (2002) - to name just a few. 2/
And lest there be any doubt that this power is broad, none other than Justice Scalia wrote in 2013 that Congress’ power under the Elections Clause was “comprehensive” and included the power to adopt “a complete code for congressional elections” if it wanted. 3/