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4 Aug, 6 tweets, 3 min read
New recall poll conducted by Surve...

Oh.
SurveyUSA polled six of the leading Republicans and one of the 9 rando Democrats on the ballot, and you'll never believe what happened next.
surveyusa.com/client/PollRep…
I must now again post this thread as a refresher.
(Besides putting the meth in methodology, SurveyUSA has a lengthy history of tailoring their polling options towards generating clickbait garbage headlines).
Now they've gone and done it...
Garbage pollster defends garbage poll.

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More from @rpyers

Rob Pyers Profile picture
2 Aug
Missed this last night...Newsom recall candidate @CaitlynJenner, currently taking a break from the campaign trail to film a reality show in Australia, raised $737,385 for her gubernatorial campaign, burned through $910.2K, and ended July with $21,568 remaining & $156.4K in debt.
Looks like Caitlyn Jenner's biggest expenditures were to WinRed (a large portion of which went towards campaign merch from Ace Specialties), Jamestown Associates (mainly Facebook ads), Fabrizio Lee & Associates for polling, and to Brad Parscale. ImageImageImageImage
Jenner's team has put more effort into selling campaign merch than towards putting her name in contention to be considered for the CA GOP's endorsement.
Read 4 tweets
Rob Pyers Profile picture
31 Jul
Mid-year FEC report shows at least some donors have forgiven the Lincoln Project for the pederasty-enabling and the wholesale grifting in the pursuit of generational wealth transgressions, contributing $4.8M to the scandal-plagued group.
While Lincoln Project brought in $4.8M, the operating expenses of $8.5M suggest there might be an incipient panicked rush for the exits, with everyone involved grabbing everything that isn't nailed down on the way out.
Lincoln Project spent $1.37M on non-political media buys, spent $1.12M on its streaming services, and paid over $964K on legal fees and $610K on communication consulting as it struggled to repair its battered reputation.
Read 9 tweets
Rob Pyers Profile picture
29 Jul
The mid-year ScamPAC filings are still coming in, but there's a new and growing problem for money in politics reporters trying to keep tabs on political independent expenditures in House and US Senate races. A quick thread...
Over the last few years, there has been an explosion in the number of charity telemarketing scamPACs soliciting money for causes that pull at the heartstrings.
reuters.com/investigates/s…
These groups typically rake in millions from small donors, then plow nearly all of the money they raised back into fundraising, siphoning off most of what remains for themselves and spending little to nothing on political expenditures.
publicintegrity.org/politics/chari…
Read 8 tweets
Rob Pyers Profile picture
29 Jul
Lol...'Scoop'.
Forbes money in politics reporter discovers the American Veterans Initiative and Police Coalition of America ScamPACs.
Derp.
Read 5 tweets
Rob Pyers Profile picture
27 Jul
Weeks after CA's prison guards union successfully negotiated a new agreement awarding its workers $5,000 pandemic bonuses, it cuts a $1.75 million check to Gavin Newsom's anti-recall committee.
sacbee.com/news/politics-… Image
Factoring in the CCPOA's $1.75M, the $500,000 from SEIU-UHW, and $5K from Rep. Judy Chu, Gavin Newsom's anti-recall committee should be at around $36.2 million in total receipts.
More six-figure checks to Gavin Newsom's anti-recall committee--$250,000 from the American Federation of Teachers union and $200,000 from the CA Democratic Party.
Read 4 tweets
Rob Pyers Profile picture
8 Dec 20
Now that Kern and Ventura Counties have posted their full results, some quick takeaways from California's House races.
#CA25
POTUS '16
Clinton 50.32%
Trump 43.65%

POTUS '20
Biden 53.95%
Trump 43.85%

CNG '18
Hill 54.37%
Knight 45.63%

CNG '20
Garcia 50.05%
Smith 49.95%
Interestingly, the conservative Ventura County portion of #CA25, which houses the Reagan Library, voted 49.4% /44.44% for Trump over Clinton in 2016, but narrowly went 48.93%/48.86% to Biden by 51 votes this year, while Mike Garcia carried it 54.23%/45.77%.
Read 13 tweets

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