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Rob Pyers Profile picture
Rob Pyers
@rpyers
Tech geek, political junkie, media omnivore, @CATargetBot repairman. Research Director for the non-partisan California Target Book. Bad tweets my own.
3 subscribers
Dec 13, 2024 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
JUST IN: California has certified the November 5th, 2024 election results. Image Circling back to this, California's final turnout among eligible voters clocked in at 59.97% (and 71.43% among registered voters).
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Feb 1, 2024 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
🚨The Republican National Committee's year-end filing reveals it had its worst fundraising year since 2013 in absolute dollars and its worst since 1993 in inflation-adjusted figures.

It raised $87.2M, spent $93.5M, and had just $8M on hand and $1.8m in debt.
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Dec 20, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Republican National Committee cash on hand at end of November:

2016 $21,354,030
2017 $39,838,889
2018 $27,008,324
2019 $63,233,392
2020 $58,777,814
2021 $65,468,902
2022 $17,275,601

2023 $9,956,381
Image The RNC's November haul was boosted by $850,000 from the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which itself isn't looking at all well lately.

November ending cash:

2018 $13,720,520
2019 $18,010,729
2020 $36,831,080
2021 $30,087,674
2022 $10,589,719

2023 $7,722,053
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Oct 2, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
FEC filings from EMILY's List record Laphonza Butler's residence as Silver Springs, Maryland as recently as 31 days ago.
Image FPPC and FEC filings indicate that soon-to-be California Senator Laphonza Butler hasn't been a resident of the state for over two years. Image
Aug 31, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
A caveat to this story about Trump's Save America, the leadership PAC shouldering the brunt of his legal bills, being largely broke.

(Short answer--it's complicated).
usatoday.com/story/news/pol… Save America had $100M in cash (mostly raised in the 'Stop the Steal' aftermath) for most of 2022.

In October, it sent $60 million to MAGA, Inc., the SuperPAC that was supposed to help US Senate candidates and (later) support Trump in the GOP primary. Image
Jul 31, 2023 • 12 tweets • 8 min read
Today's first Trump PAC filing is in...the dormant Trump MAGA Cmte, which served as the small-dollar joint fundraising committee in 2016 and 2020, spent $202.8K on operating expenditures, sent $1.02M to the Save America leadership PAC paying his legal bills, and has $3.29M left.
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Image Another Trump committee reporting in...the dormant Trump Victory, which was the large-dollar joint fundraising committee in 2016 and 2020, sent $509K to the Make America Great Again PAC (what was formerly his 2016/2020 campaign committee) and ended with $1.3 million on hand.
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Jul 29, 2023 • 9 tweets • 4 min read
Trump world attempting to get out ahead of the story that Trump's Save America leadership PAC burned $40.2 million on his legal fees in the first six months of the year.
https://t.co/olamNHuuLQ https://t.co/mkDHKWkZCZwashingtonpost.com/national-secur…

Image For those keeping track, that's $40.2 million spent on legal fees out of the $53.8 million Trump's committees raised in the first half of the year, or roughly three out of every four dollars raised under a variety of false pretenses.
May 3, 2023 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Democrat @DaveMinCA, Katie Porter's endorsed successor for her open #CA47 seat (which is being targeted by both the @dccc and @NRCC), discloses that he was cited for DUI last night. Image "Min’s campaign declined to answer additional questions on the record. "
latimes.com/california/sto…
Nov 13, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Thought I'd go back and do a 'where are they now' followup on the targeted House races that saw the most general election independent expenditures.

(Sorted by Rep/Dem spending advantage, and overall) ImageImage The next challenge will be to add in the individual candidate spending to see how much that alters the calculus.
Nov 13, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Now that the 2024 election season is upon us, prepare for a deluge of fake FEC filings.

Today, we have a presidential committee filing for former Trump National Security Adviser HR McMaster.

Among the telltale signs that this isn't a legitimate filing:

docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/… Image -dodgy email address
-PAC registered as a corporate committee, not candidate committee
docquery.fec.gov/pdf/271/202211… Image
Nov 4, 2022 • 5 tweets • 10 min read
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes its final major filing binge before next week's election, dropping $29.4 million in 41 races.

Tonight's dump brings their general election IE total to just under $210 million, over $70 million ahead of their 2020 pace. ImageImageImage Tonight's CLF buys (1/3)

#NY17 $2,593,204
#IL06 $1,913,350
#NV03 $1,509,471
#CA47 $1,484,309
#NV01 $1,447,925
#PA07 $1,419,827
#CA49 $1,343,586
#NY04 $1,324,750
#CA13 $1,162,594
#TX34 $1,050,079
#VA07 $1,031,830
#IL17 $996,760
#IN01 $899,304
#NY18 $786,512
#MN02 $653,079
Nov 3, 2022 • 6 tweets • 15 min read
And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...

$45.9 million in 57 House races...

adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73 Tonight's HMP buys (1/4)

#NY03 $2,091,249
#NY18 $1,987,496
#NJ11 $1,961,501
#NJ05 $1,961,476
#PA07 $1,687,355
#IL17 $1,674,366
#TX28 $1,579,645
#VA07 $1,480,888
#MI07 $1,480,436
#PA17 $1,366,568
#MN02 $1,349,450
#NY19 $1,317,868
#NH01 $1,262,355
#CA13 $1,170,657
#NH02 $1,083,220
Nov 2, 2022 • 4 tweets • 8 min read
The @NRCC is out with what's likely it's final major buy ahead of the election, dropping $19.5 million in 29 House races and finally pulling ahead of their 2020 pace, logging $84.4 million in general election IEs.
Today's NRCC buys (1/2)

#MI07 $1,374,911
#ME02 $1,352,673
#MN02 $1,258,023
#OH13 $1,154,607
#NY22 $997,406
#VA07 $982,903
#CA22 $950,397
#PA08 $877,281
#TX28 $854,057
#PA17 $836,060
#NH01 $787,150
#WA08 $741,749
#IL17 $627,333
#NY19 $563,935
#NM02 $527,100
#PA07 $508,737
Nov 1, 2022 • 4 tweets • 7 min read
The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67. ImageImageImage (This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).
Oct 31, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Ummm... (although saying he raised $2.5 million on ActBlue is an exaggeration...including the smaller unitemized contributions that only show up on ActBlue's report, McMullin's 2022 cycle haul via the Democratic contribution conduit is only around $750,000).
Oct 28, 2022 • 5 tweets • 10 min read
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes tonight's filing dump, dropping $24.9 million in 39 races, bringing its general election IE spending to $175,411,754, more than the $173,430,579 spent by the Democratic House Majority PAC and the DCCC combined. Today's CLF buys (1/3)

#CA47 $1,682,483
#PA07 $1,539,925
#NY17 $1,518,158
#NV03 $1,503,351
#NV01 $1,455,758
#IN01 $1,014,589
#VA07 $991,831
#CA13 $945,284
#NJ07 $833,186
#NY19 $770,181
#CA49 $769,283
#TX34 $738,255
#WA08 $715,288
#CA22 $711,987
#OR05 $680,714
#PA17 $665,653
Oct 27, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Lincoln Project raised another $1.3M in the 1st 19 days of October, burned $848.1K on operating expenditures, $464K on political independent expenditures (mostly against #resist lib bait GOP electeds in non-competitive races), and ended with $1.9M on hand. ImageImage Big winners:

Lever Communications (Joe Trippi) $263.6K
Summit Strategic (Reed Galen) $72K
Intrepid Media (Rick Wilson) $50K
Message Mountain (Stu Stevens) $42.5K Image
Oct 27, 2022 • 5 tweets • 5 min read
The NRSC raised $15.5M between 10/1-10/19 (adding $7M more in loans, totaling $20M now), spent $7.22M on operating expenditures, $548.5K on IEs, $2.28M in coordinated buys, $4.46M in transfers and had $13.7M on hand on 10/19. And now the DSCC's filing--$37M raised in the 1st 19 days of October, chiefly from a $20M loan on the 17th.
It burned $16.67M on IEs, $10.7M on operating expenditures, $1.7M on coordinated buys, and transferred $6.9M, ending with $34.1M on hand.
Oct 27, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Wow...Center Street PAC finally got around to filing its third quarter FEC report, disclosing receipts of $630.8K and expenditures of six dollars and ninety cents, indicating that they seriously overpaid for their polls. Also news...apparently they conned Reid Hoffman into giving them a million dollars this cycle.
Oct 27, 2022 • 6 tweets • 12 min read
Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races. *strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65. ImageImage
Oct 27, 2022 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
After briefly losing the crown to DCCC chair Sean Patrick Maloney, #CA26's Julia Brownley re-takes the top spot among Dem candidates that colleagues seem to believe are most in need of rescuing.

21 candidate committees and leadership PACs have contributed in the last few days. ImageImage Oh. #CA26