Thought I'd go back and do a 'where are they now' followup on the targeted House races that saw the most general election independent expenditures.

(Sorted by Rep/Dem spending advantage, and overall) The next challenge will be to add in the individual candidate spending to see how much that alters the calculus.

Now that the 2024 election season is upon us, prepare for a deluge of fake FEC filings.

Today, we have a presidential committee filing for former Trump National Security Adviser HR McMaster.

Among the telltale signs that this isn't a legitimate filing:

docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/… -dodgy email address
-PAC registered as a corporate committee, not candidate committee
docquery.fec.gov/pdf/271/202211…

The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes its final major filing binge before next week's election, dropping $29.4 million in 41 races.

Tonight's dump brings their general election IE total to just under $210 million, over $70 million ahead of their 2020 pace. Tonight's CLF buys (1/3)

#NY17 $2,593,204
#IL06 $1,913,350
#NV03 $1,509,471
#CA47 $1,484,309
#NV01 $1,447,925
#PA07 $1,419,827
#CA49 $1,343,586
#NY04 $1,324,750
#CA13 $1,162,594
#TX34 $1,050,079
#VA07 $1,031,830
#IL17 $996,760
#IN01 $899,304
#NY18 $786,512
#MN02 $653,079

And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...

$45.9 million in 57 House races...

adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587989886933471233

Tonight's HMP buys (1/4)

#NY03 $2,091,249
#NY18 $1,987,496
#NJ11 $1,961,501
#NJ05 $1,961,476
#PA07 $1,687,355
#IL17 $1,674,366
#TX28 $1,579,645
#VA07 $1,480,888
#MI07 $1,480,436
#PA17 $1,366,568
#MN02 $1,349,450
#NY19 $1,317,868
#NH01 $1,262,355
#CA13 $1,170,657
#NH02 $1,083,220

The @NRCC is out with what's likely it's final major buy ahead of the election, dropping $19.5 million in 29 House races and finally pulling ahead of their 2020 pace, logging $84.4 million in general election IEs.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587834501354299392

Today's NRCC buys (1/2)

#MI07 $1,374,911
#ME02 $1,352,673
#MN02 $1,258,023
#OH13 $1,154,607
#NY22 $997,406
#VA07 $982,903
#CA22 $950,397
#PA08 $877,281
#TX28 $854,057
#PA17 $836,060
#NH01 $787,150
#WA08 $741,749
#IL17 $627,333
#NY19 $563,935
#NM02 $527,100
#PA07 $508,737

The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587559292940406784

(This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1587559292940406784

Ummm...

https://twitter.com/CurtisHouck/status/1587216664625545216

(although saying he raised $2.5 million on ActBlue is an exaggeration...including the smaller unitemized contributions that only show up on ActBlue's report, McMullin's 2022 cycle haul via the Democratic contribution conduit is only around $750,000).

The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes tonight's filing dump, dropping $24.9 million in 39 races, bringing its general election IE spending to $175,411,754, more than the $173,430,579 spent by the Democratic House Majority PAC and the DCCC combined. Today's CLF buys (1/3)

#CA47 $1,682,483
#PA07 $1,539,925
#NY17 $1,518,158
#NV03 $1,503,351
#NV01 $1,455,758
#IN01 $1,014,589
#VA07 $991,831
#CA13 $945,284
#NJ07 $833,186
#NY19 $770,181
#CA49 $769,283
#TX34 $738,255
#WA08 $715,288
#CA22 $711,987
#OR05 $680,714
#PA17 $665,653

Lincoln Project raised another $1.3M in the 1st 19 days of October, burned $848.1K on operating expenditures, $464K on political independent expenditures (mostly against #resist lib bait GOP electeds in non-competitive races), and ended with $1.9M on hand. Big winners:

Lever Communications (Joe Trippi) $263.6K
Summit Strategic (Reed Galen) $72K
Intrepid Media (Rick Wilson) $50K
Message Mountain (Stu Stevens) $42.5K

The NRSC raised $15.5M between 10/1-10/19 (adding $7M more in loans, totaling $20M now), spent $7.22M on operating expenditures, $548.5K on IEs, $2.28M in coordinated buys, $4.46M in transfers and had $13.7M on hand on 10/19. And now the DSCC's filing--$37M raised in the 1st 19 days of October, chiefly from a $20M loan on the 17th.
It burned $16.67M on IEs, $10.7M on operating expenditures, $1.7M on coordinated buys, and transferred $6.9M, ending with $34.1M on hand.

Wow...Center Street PAC finally got around to filing its third quarter FEC report, disclosing receipts of $630.8K and expenditures of six dollars and ninety cents, indicating that they seriously overpaid for their polls.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585697865573093376

Also news...apparently they conned Reid Hoffman into giving them a million dollars this cycle.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585697898536108032

Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585465157441814528

*strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65.

After briefly losing the crown to DCCC chair Sean Patrick Maloney, #CA26's Julia Brownley re-takes the top spot among Dem candidates that colleagues seem to believe are most in need of rescuing.

21 candidate committees and leadership PACs have contributed in the last few days.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585462590771056640

Oh. #CA26

https://twitter.com/sarahnferris/status/1585596856180015104

There's the spending boom I was waiting for...the NRCC drops $19.27 million on 31 House races, pulling ahead of its 2020 pace and adding the Biden +20% #PA12 to the board as targeted seat #64, backing Mike Doyle for retiring 14-term Dem Mike Doyle's seat.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1585404729420488705

Today's NRCC buys (1/2)

#MI07$1,499,784
#ME02$1,350,223
#MN02$1,250,208
#OH13$1,009,066
#CA22$941,557
#PA08$894,614
#PA17$846,908
#TX28$825,989
#NH01$815,750
#CA27$780,526
#WA08$724,356
#NY22$721,327
#CA45$645,465
#VA07$590,931
#NY19$563,935

Now that House Majority PAC has filed its September monthly report, here are the cash on hand figures for the Democratic and GOP House, Senate, and national party committees as of October 1st, 2022. DNC
YTD RCPT: $115,582,301
YTD EXPN: $123,587,638
LAST COH: $57,140,034

RNC
YTD RCPT: $138,204,763
YTD EXPN: $166,929,856
LAST COH: $27,581,600

The Democratic House Majority PAC goes up with $17.47 million in ads across 40 districts, including the first spending by any of the big four committees in Josh Harder's #CA09, bringing the number of targeted House seats to an even 60.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1583287245347250176

Today's HMP buys (1/3)

#NV01 $1,409,339
#NV04 $1,085,708
#NV03 $1,063,115
#CA22 $1,058,595
#NH01 $1,037,920
#NY19 $961,780
#TX28 $929,827
#OH13 $870,198
#MN02 $739,191
#WA08 $738,334
#IN01 $686,882
#KS03 $646,562
#CO08 $590,088
#OR06 $587,541
#NY22 $491,388
#TX34 $460,863

The final two remaining charity ScamPACs operated by Las Vegas PD Officer William Pollock and his wife, Kecia have filed their termination statements with the FEC. The Pollocks' ScamPACs, which claimed to raise money for police, firefighters, heart disease, and childrens leukemia, solicited nearly $13 million in contributions from unsuspecting donors over the last four years.

The @NRCC finally starts to unload its war chest in earnest, dropping $14 million in 23 races.

It has now spent ~$43.9 million in 28 races (vs the DCCC's $76.7 million in 42 races)

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1582768648187281412

Today's NRCC buys (1/2)

#ME02 $1,348,132
#OH13 $1,228,652
#MN02 $1,090,377
#CA22 $973,825
#WA08 $876,994
#PA17 $848,163
#NH01 $787,150
#CA27 $782,726
#CA45 $778,488
#PA07 $690,861
#NY19 $615,810
#PA08 $572,138
#IA03 $528,673
#NM02 $521,473
#AZ06 $459,696
#NE02 $440,622

The @dccc's Tuesday night dump at 3 weeks out adds another $12.57M in spending across 25 races, bringing their general election expenditures to $64 million as the NRCC continues to hold back, logging less than $30 million in IEs.

https://twitter.com/CATargetAlt/status/1582520246199406593

Tonight's DCCC buys (1/2)

#PA07 $1,428,543
#ME02 $1,069,016
#CA13 $996,949
#PA17 $873,065
#VA07 $792,735
#CA49 $691,181
#NC13 $690,254
#MN02 $669,933
#TX34 $654,685
#IL17 $629,957
#AZ02 $598,373
#MI07 $587,659
#OR06 $564,579
#NM02 $451,682
#CT05 $418,141
#PA08 $408,710

OK, I think all the stragglers are in, so here are the Q3 fundraising totals for candidates in House races targeted by $400,000 or more in independent expenditures. The Q3 figures for US Senate candidates:

Friday night's filing dump from the GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes after a $23.15 million torrent of spending spread across 43 targeted House races.

CLF has now passed $120 million in general election IEs.
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/… Congressional Leadership Fund continues to run well ahead of their pace from past cycles and is running laps around the Democratic House Majority PAC, outspending their counterpart $120.9M to $40.7M.