Rob Pyers Profile picture
Tech geek, political junkie, media omnivore, @CATargetBot repairman. Research Director for the non-partisan California Target Book. Bad tweets my own.
Apr 10 5 tweets 3 min read
FEC expense categorization: Food and Beverage Image
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FEC expense categorization: Childcare for Campaign Events Image
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Dec 13, 2024 4 tweets 2 min read
JUST IN: California has certified the November 5th, 2024 election results. Image Circling back to this, California's final turnout among eligible voters clocked in at 59.97% (and 71.43% among registered voters).
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Feb 1, 2024 4 tweets 2 min read
🚨The Republican National Committee's year-end filing reveals it had its worst fundraising year since 2013 in absolute dollars and its worst since 1993 in inflation-adjusted figures.

It raised $87.2M, spent $93.5M, and had just $8M on hand and $1.8m in debt.
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tl;dr


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Dec 20, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
Republican National Committee cash on hand at end of November:

2016 $21,354,030
2017 $39,838,889
2018 $27,008,324
2019 $63,233,392
2020 $58,777,814
2021 $65,468,902
2022 $17,275,601

2023 $9,956,381
Image The RNC's November haul was boosted by $850,000 from the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which itself isn't looking at all well lately.

November ending cash:

2018 $13,720,520
2019 $18,010,729
2020 $36,831,080
2021 $30,087,674
2022 $10,589,719

2023 $7,722,053
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Oct 2, 2023 6 tweets 2 min read
FEC filings from EMILY's List record Laphonza Butler's residence as Silver Springs, Maryland as recently as 31 days ago.
Image FPPC and FEC filings indicate that soon-to-be California Senator Laphonza Butler hasn't been a resident of the state for over two years. Image
Aug 31, 2023 6 tweets 3 min read
A caveat to this story about Trump's Save America, the leadership PAC shouldering the brunt of his legal bills, being largely broke.

(Short answer--it's complicated).
usatoday.com/story/news/pol… Save America had $100M in cash (mostly raised in the 'Stop the Steal' aftermath) for most of 2022.

In October, it sent $60 million to MAGA, Inc., the SuperPAC that was supposed to help US Senate candidates and (later) support Trump in the GOP primary. Image
Jul 31, 2023 12 tweets 8 min read
Today's first Trump PAC filing is in...the dormant Trump MAGA Cmte, which served as the small-dollar joint fundraising committee in 2016 and 2020, spent $202.8K on operating expenditures, sent $1.02M to the Save America leadership PAC paying his legal bills, and has $3.29M left.
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Another Trump committee reporting in...the dormant Trump Victory, which was the large-dollar joint fundraising committee in 2016 and 2020, sent $509K to the Make America Great Again PAC (what was formerly his 2016/2020 campaign committee) and ended with $1.3 million on hand.
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Jul 29, 2023 9 tweets 4 min read
Trump world attempting to get out ahead of the story that Trump's Save America leadership PAC burned $40.2 million on his legal fees in the first six months of the year.
https://t.co/olamNHuuLQ https://t.co/mkDHKWkZCZwashingtonpost.com/national-secur…

Image For those keeping track, that's $40.2 million spent on legal fees out of the $53.8 million Trump's committees raised in the first half of the year, or roughly three out of every four dollars raised under a variety of false pretenses.
May 3, 2023 6 tweets 4 min read
Democrat @DaveMinCA, Katie Porter's endorsed successor for her open #CA47 seat (which is being targeted by both the @dccc and @NRCC), discloses that he was cited for DUI last night. Image "Min’s campaign declined to answer additional questions on the record. "
latimes.com/california/sto…
Nov 13, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Thought I'd go back and do a 'where are they now' followup on the targeted House races that saw the most general election independent expenditures.

(Sorted by Rep/Dem spending advantage, and overall) ImageImage The next challenge will be to add in the individual candidate spending to see how much that alters the calculus.
Nov 13, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Now that the 2024 election season is upon us, prepare for a deluge of fake FEC filings.

Today, we have a presidential committee filing for former Trump National Security Adviser HR McMaster.

Among the telltale signs that this isn't a legitimate filing:

docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/forms/… Image -dodgy email address
-PAC registered as a corporate committee, not candidate committee
docquery.fec.gov/pdf/271/202211… Image
Nov 4, 2022 5 tweets 10 min read
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes its final major filing binge before next week's election, dropping $29.4 million in 41 races.

Tonight's dump brings their general election IE total to just under $210 million, over $70 million ahead of their 2020 pace. ImageImageImage Tonight's CLF buys (1/3)

#NY17 $2,593,204
#IL06 $1,913,350
#NV03 $1,509,471
#CA47 $1,484,309
#NV01 $1,447,925
#PA07 $1,419,827
#CA49 $1,343,586
#NY04 $1,324,750
#CA13 $1,162,594
#TX34 $1,050,079
#VA07 $1,031,830
#IL17 $996,760
#IN01 $899,304
#NY18 $786,512
#MN02 $653,079
Nov 3, 2022 6 tweets 15 min read
And here's the climactic burst of spending from the Democratic House Majority PAC, putting up...

$45.9 million in 57 House races...

adding #NJ11, #NH02, #IL06, #NY25, #IL14, and #NM03 to the board as targeted seats 68-73 Tonight's HMP buys (1/4)

#NY03 $2,091,249
#NY18 $1,987,496
#NJ11 $1,961,501
#NJ05 $1,961,476
#PA07 $1,687,355
#IL17 $1,674,366
#TX28 $1,579,645
#VA07 $1,480,888
#MI07 $1,480,436
#PA17 $1,366,568
#MN02 $1,349,450
#NY19 $1,317,868
#NH01 $1,262,355
#CA13 $1,170,657
#NH02 $1,083,220
Nov 2, 2022 4 tweets 8 min read
The @NRCC is out with what's likely it's final major buy ahead of the election, dropping $19.5 million in 29 House races and finally pulling ahead of their 2020 pace, logging $84.4 million in general election IEs.
Today's NRCC buys (1/2)

#MI07 $1,374,911
#ME02 $1,352,673
#MN02 $1,258,023
#OH13 $1,154,607
#NY22 $997,406
#VA07 $982,903
#CA22 $950,397
#PA08 $877,281
#TX28 $854,057
#PA17 $836,060
#NH01 $787,150
#WA08 $741,749
#IL17 $627,333
#NY19 $563,935
#NM02 $527,100
#PA07 $508,737
Nov 1, 2022 4 tweets 7 min read
The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67. ImageImageImage (This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).
Oct 31, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Ummm... (although saying he raised $2.5 million on ActBlue is an exaggeration...including the smaller unitemized contributions that only show up on ActBlue's report, McMullin's 2022 cycle haul via the Democratic contribution conduit is only around $750,000).
Oct 28, 2022 5 tweets 10 min read
The GOP's Congressional Leadership Fund concludes tonight's filing dump, dropping $24.9 million in 39 races, bringing its general election IE spending to $175,411,754, more than the $173,430,579 spent by the Democratic House Majority PAC and the DCCC combined. Today's CLF buys (1/3)

#CA47 $1,682,483
#PA07 $1,539,925
#NY17 $1,518,158
#NV03 $1,503,351
#NV01 $1,455,758
#IN01 $1,014,589
#VA07 $991,831
#CA13 $945,284
#NJ07 $833,186
#NY19 $770,181
#CA49 $769,283
#TX34 $738,255
#WA08 $715,288
#CA22 $711,987
#OR05 $680,714
#PA17 $665,653
Oct 27, 2022 4 tweets 2 min read
Lincoln Project raised another $1.3M in the 1st 19 days of October, burned $848.1K on operating expenditures, $464K on political independent expenditures (mostly against #resist lib bait GOP electeds in non-competitive races), and ended with $1.9M on hand. ImageImage Big winners:

Lever Communications (Joe Trippi) $263.6K
Summit Strategic (Reed Galen) $72K
Intrepid Media (Rick Wilson) $50K
Message Mountain (Stu Stevens) $42.5K Image
Oct 27, 2022 5 tweets 5 min read
The NRSC raised $15.5M between 10/1-10/19 (adding $7M more in loans, totaling $20M now), spent $7.22M on operating expenditures, $548.5K on IEs, $2.28M in coordinated buys, $4.46M in transfers and had $13.7M on hand on 10/19. And now the DSCC's filing--$37M raised in the 1st 19 days of October, chiefly from a $20M loan on the 17th.
It burned $16.67M on IEs, $10.7M on operating expenditures, $1.7M on coordinated buys, and transferred $6.9M, ending with $34.1M on hand.
Oct 27, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Wow...Center Street PAC finally got around to filing its third quarter FEC report, disclosing receipts of $630.8K and expenditures of six dollars and ninety cents, indicating that they seriously overpaid for their polls. Also news...apparently they conned Reid Hoffman into giving them a million dollars this cycle.
Oct 27, 2022 6 tweets 12 min read
Whoa...House Majority PAC off the top rope with $30 million distributed across 45 races. *strike that, 47 races. The largest buy goes to the Biden +12% #NJ05, making its debut on the chart as targeted seat #65. ImageImage