📣 PREPARE TO WONK OUT: @CMSGov (mostly) breaks out the over 2.55 MILLION #ACA Special Enrollment Period enrollees to date; you can still #GetCovered thru 8/15!
acasignups.net/21/08/10/cms-m…
--ACTUAL QHP selection total via HCgov, 2/15 - 7/31: 2.15 million; 14.8% have been (rightly) removed from the official 1.83 million total as of 7/31

("how many have PAID?" cc: @hiltzikm)
My 7/31 estimate as of 8/05: 2.57 million.

Actual 7/31 total reported today: 2.56 million.

Difference: 0.6%.
--2021 SEP enrollment is 3.5x higher than the same time period in 2019, thanks to a) re-opened enrollment and b) MASSIVELY improved #ACA affordability via the #AmRescuePlan
--Medicaid expansion states are 2.4x higher than 2019.

--NON-expansion states are 4.1x higher.

Why? The 100-138% FPL income "overlap"...in expansion states, that crowd is enrolled in Medicaid instead.
P.S. As for the final 2 weeks of the 2021 SEP, I'm gonna spitball perhaps another 220K via HCgov + 85K via the state-based exchanges, or ~305K nationally, for a grand total of around ~2.86 million SEP enrollees nationally.

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More from @charles_gaba

10 Aug
On top of everything else which John Hammond does wrong in Jurassic Park, it occurs to me that his indignation about how "everyone in the world has the right to enjoy these animals" made no ethical or moral sense. Why does "everyone" inherently have the "right" to "enjoy" them?
AFAICT, Jurassic Park was a privately-funded venture, presumably including the genetic research which developed the dinos, etc etc. Unless there's a government grant involved, there's no legal or even moral reason why it *had* to be open to the public.
It's nice that he *chose* to price it for the mass market, but he acts like it would be blasphemy to do anything else. And if you're *gonna* price it for the general public, you'd think he would "spare no expense" on the SECURITY SYSTEM which is ENTIRELY RELIANT on *one dude*.
Read 6 tweets
10 Aug
📣 CONFIRMED: Over 2.5 MILLION additional Americans have enrolled in #ACA coverage during the Special Enrollment Period so far; #GetCovered by 8/15! (developing)
acasignups.net/21/08/10/confi…
Blog post coming soon, meanwhile, here’s the official announcement:

cms.gov/newsroom/press…
Here’s @VP Harris making the announcement:
Read 9 tweets
9 Aug
📣 DAILY STATE-BASED VAXX UPDATE:
(R^2: 0.7419)
--PA & VA closing in on 60% of their total pop. vaxxed
--AK just ~150 does away from breaking 50%
--KY, OH & NC all closing in on 50%
--ND breaks 45% 🎉
--ID closing in on 40%
Assuming herd immunity will be reached when we hit 85% (which is hardly a given), nationally, we need at least 206 million more doses administered nationally (not counting any potential booster shots).

At ~700K/day, that would take 294 more days, or Memorial Day, 2022.
Read 5 tweets
9 Aug
Narrator: Yeah, it kind of was, at least in part.
(I know this sounds harsh; it'd be one thing if she had pleaded with them to get vaccinated & they chose not to, but the tweet says she "doesn't regret" their decision, which sure as hell sounds like she didn't even *try* to convince them. SHE'S A NURSE FOR GOD'S SAKE.
Oh yeah...and SHE STILL REFUSES TO GET VACCINATED HERSELF EVEN NOW.

Meanwhile, her brother TRIED to get their parents vaccinated with no success. HIM I have sympathy for.
Read 4 tweets
8 Aug
DeSantis’ game plan appears to be the “burn through the population” route, figuring that the entire state will be infected and a bunch of people will die THIS fall in the hopes that by NEXT year Florida will have “natural herd immunity” in time for his re-election.
Assuming this is his strategy, it has two major flaws: First, he assumes that voters memory is short enough that they’ll forget who helped kill their family & friends a year earlier. Second, it assumes there won’t be OTHER uglier variants which pop up between now and then.
NOTE: I didn't say that his "strategy" makes *sense* mind you, just that I can't figure out what the hell else would explain this insanity.
Read 4 tweets
7 Aug
⚠️ New COVID cases per capita vs. vaccination rates by county. 49 states + DC (NE not available): Image
Can anyone explain to me WTF is going on in Dimmit County, Texas?? I know that Chattahoochee County, GA's numbers are skewed by Fort Bening being there (military cases are reported from around the country), and I've heard from someone re. Sitka, AK, but what's up w/Dimmit, TX??
Dimmit County, TX only has around 10,000 residents. They're 49% vaccinated, which isn't great but isn't terrible relatively speaking. They're near the Mexican border but seem to barely touch it. I don't see any major prisons or military bases.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dimmit_Co…
Read 4 tweets

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