JACKIS Profile picture
Aug 12, 2021 19 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Price Fractals 📚

In good hands, fractals can provide the ultimate edge for future price movements. In this THREAD we gonna explain exactly why

▪️ What are they?
▪️ Why are they so useful?
▪️ How to see them?
▪️ Can I mix different TFs?
▪️ How not to use them?
▪️ Examples

1/19
▪️ What is a fractal?

In simple terms, we could say they are the same repeating patterns over again.

They are ruled by the same principle and therefore we see the same or very similar outcomes.

2/19
▪️ Why are they so useful?

First of all, it is important to understand that fractals are so powerful cause they appear not just in the markets but everywhere around us, even in nature.

The same repeating patterns across different objects

3/19
The same thing is happening in the markets

And although prices may appear to be random at times, it actually creates repeating patterns

If our eye is trained well enough, we can use it to our advantage



4/19
▪️ How to see them?

This is the hard part. You have many options.

1) Remember them
2) Draw them
3) Print them
4) All of the above

Fractals take time & effort to spot but in return, you are given a high probability setup that fills you with confidence in it.

5/19
If you think about it fractal is also a very known pattern called the double bottom, head & shoulders, and so on.

The problem with these basic patterns/fractals is that they are commonly known and in the modern era very rarely works

6/19
Therefore we must look for at least a little more complex patterns that suit the modern era.

This is one that works well. You can call it the double-double bottom.

7/19
Here you can see the above pattern in practical use on $KAVA

Such a pattern would offer you an 80% move if you had the patience to wait for it.

8/19
The above is basically a pattern but once you get good at this you will start seeing the whole charts repeating in the same way and trust me, there are so many fractals out there.

Here is how crazy accurate they can be



9/19
▪️ Can I mix different Timeframes?

Absolutely. Many people claim you cannot compare 30 min chart with a Daily chart of a different coin. Why not I ask?

Price is fractal & therefore it works on any TF & any chart

The only rule is higher the TF, higher the significance

10/19
▪️ How not to use them?

You need to be sure the fractals are really the same & have the same features and the more same they are the more probability they have.

Here you can see how easily one could think it's like the other. And it is NOT

11/19
▪️ Examples

The above is a very complex & advanced use of fractals but these nuances are important in the overall picture.



12/19
Another important takeaway is that the fractal you find is only good for another leg, sometimes two and rarely more

After that price usually starts to deviate

The reason for that is that the overall higher timeframe chart is different for example as well as the context

13/19
The important takeaway is that price, in general, is fractal but the context of each situation matters a lot too.

These fractals can be used to our advantage but are only another edge & even the most perfect fractal can fail.

14/19
Fractals such as these can inform you about the current situation and give you more clarity.

In this example, most people didn't dare to believe we could keep going up and missed the boat.



15/19
Here is how I used #Ethereum & #Nasdaq fractal both different timeframes & different markets even.

Yet it has helped me to gain way more confidence in my setup & led me to buy #ETH as cheap as 120$



16/19
I also wanna say thank you to @visualisealpha for providing the illustrations.

We had very little time to do it but we are ready for the next round with more info.

Definitely give him a follow 🤝

18/19
I hope you have found this thread once again valuable & it will serve you well.

If you did, please consider sharing it with your friends. It takes a lot of free time to put these together & sharing costs nothing.

Thank you & bless you 🙌

19/19

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More from @i_am_jackis

Jul 7
It made sense to stay 🐂 on #Bitcoin as long as the trend & range were holding & equities were going up but now it has lost its MS after 130 days of 🦀 PA & we need to adapt

I'll break down all the facts you need for all scenarios in understandable language below 👇

1/18 🧵 Image
When it comes to bullish/bearish posts it always comes down to TimeFrames. You can have a trader that is bullish on H1 screaming at a bearish trader on D1 while the Weekly trader is bullish again

It makes no sense & we need to analyze each one differently to understand the TF 👇
The macro view, which is like a Monthly to somewhat Weekly, remains bullish, while Weekly down to Daily is now bearish

The M1/W1 TF remains bullish as long as the 39K low is holding but locally we can be bear-bleeding for some time as the 130 days long #BTC range was lost Image
Read 19 tweets
Mar 25
Here is the psychological truth about the #Bitcoin / #Crypto market 👇

The vast majority of market participants bought the top in 2021, whether the 1st or the 2nd. The exact price is unimportant for this post

🧵 Silent Read Time: 1 Min, 52 Sec Image
1) A decent portion of them sold the bottom, especially after the #FTX crash

Either from panic selling, multiplied by the fear spread on social media with posts such as:

EXIT ALL MARKETS or THE GREATEST RECESSION since THE GREAT DEPRESSION coming

The others from the greed of.. Image
..selling & buying back cheaper at lower prices

This was a prime example of the market going up thousands of % & yet people losing money on it

Those people are still waiting for a bigger pullback to buy cheap & will continue to do so & miss everything. Again.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 20
You don't wanna miss this #Bitcoin alpha thread 🧵👀

#BTC around 50K is still within a strong value area

Lots of people sidelined, waiting for a bigger correction will miss out

Data from Financial Advisors across the US are suggesting big future upside

1/20

Read below👇 Image
First of all, I did expect we would get the upside we got from the 40-45K range, but after, I thought we would get a deeper pullback at some point to like 32K or so

I do not think that anymore

Below is the original thread worth your time to read through

One of the reasons I don't think so anymore is the Weekly Market Structure

In any chart, remember, that for the HTF directional bias, the most important tool is the W1 MS

With the latest move, we got ourselves a new HL & HH confirming that Image
Read 22 tweets
Jan 13
BIG #BITCOIN ALPHA UPDATE 13/1/2024 🧵

No emotional bias, just truth bombs full of data & mainly my own context ✅

Both bullish & bearish arguments - HTF to LTF

Hit like & Bookmark to keep this plan in the back of your mind

Let's get to it 👇

1/25Image
We start HTF, scale in & create the valuable context 👇

So my thesis has been & is still the same throughout the whole of 2023, that we move above the so important psychological level of March 22 high, sitting at 48K, distribute above & pullback


Image
So the 48K level caused a reaction as expected but imo we move higher still to distribute & there are multiple reasons for it

1) We spent 500+ days accumulating sub 30K, such energy simply doesn't get distributed in 30 days. At minimum 120+ days

Read 25 tweets
Aug 10, 2023
🧵 Big thread on INTEREST RATES around the Western economies & their future projections & implications on the markets

Everyone's focus is on the FED funds rate but by understanding all of them we get a much clearer picture of where the FED is heading 💡

Let's dive in 👇

1/22 Image
As you can see from the picture, central banks in Western economies tend to move the interest rates on average in a similar trend

We could even call it a consensus

However, some are frontrunners & some laggards and by comparing them all, we can get a general idea of the trend Image
Each economy has its own factors & issues that come to play in each country of course, which is the reason why we see some deviations here & there on a lower quarterly or yearly scale. But the general trend stays

So why is it that they all move together on average? 👇
Read 22 tweets
May 24, 2023
What I often see people doing wrong is waiting for that "One last" - 🧵 THREAD - 1/9

- "One last" draw on liquidity
- "One last" equal lows sweep
- "One last" capitulation
- "One last" shakeout
- "One last" - you name it ✍️ Image
For example, one (in)famous trader called ICT kept waiting for BTC to sweep the 2015 HTF equal lows

He has been waiting for the #Bitcoin crash and the sweep since then

It has never come to this day Image
In 2018 the situation was very similar. People kept waiting for lower. For that FVG/Inefficiency fill. For that prior ATH retest

Still waiting Image
Read 10 tweets

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