What is India’s strategy on Afghanistan? Am sure we realise the HUGE implications of what a Taliban driven by Rawalpindi calling the shots in Afghanistan means for us. As it is, with two hostile neighbours our situation is BAD.
Are we just silent spectators as the car crash happens? We are a a big country, neither small nor helpless, proud of our autonomy of foreign policy. We are not a small western country playing follow the leader. No, we are India, proud and independent. And yet..
We cannot withdraw into a helpless huddle. Our consulates have closed (will we ever reopen them? My hunch is perhaps, never).All that we did in Afghanistan for 20 years is in jeopardy. Wish we had publicly expressed our deep reservations and opposition to the US withdrawal.
Plus been more energetic about building a strategy of opposition to what we are seeing as a sickening supplication to the Taliban. But we climbed on the bus - a bus without wheels. How will history judge us? And Pakistan has the last laugh.
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Please tell me the ‘right lesson’ we learned from Sri Lanka after the IPKF phase? We sacrificed blood and treasure for a good cause- the unity and integrity of SL-although the LTTE fought us bitterly -and we quit before the mission was completed.
History has to judge whether that withdrawal was the right decision. The civil war in SL intensified after 1990 and the country’s suffering was profound.
The more important question is why like family planning policies during the Emergency, intervention in the cause of peace and an end to conflict in our neighbourhood where our neighbours want it has become a third rail we don’t want to go near again?
I read Chinese actions in #Ladakh as a significant trespass across the #LAC aimed at gaining tactical advantage and strategic depth in certain vantage points along the LAC as for 1/n
e.g Depsang Plain (a wide unimpeded plateau) that offers access to the #AksaiChin as also in reverse to areas on our side, #Galwan Valley (commanding heights over the Darbuk-#Shyok-#DBO Road), #Pangong Tso 2/n
But not a fresh territorial dispute over new areas of the UT of Ladakh (where they are already in possession of the Aksai Chin and areas south and east of Kongka La plus the Shaksgam Valley illegally ceded by Pakistan) 3/n
Analyzing PM’s statement of yesterday:
Government has taken realistic view of constraints emanating from asymmetry of power with China . It is also reading the Chinese reaction to J&K reorganization more seriously than before and trying to calm situation along LAC/staunch Galwan
Question:will same approach apply to Pangong Tso or Depsang?Possibly.We may be witnessing shift to a less rigid approach on LAC differences with China in the interest of peace &tranquility so that our internal balancing at a time of the many challenges we face is not disturbed.
If this means that there is also growing political will within Government to push for an early border settlement with China I think that is an interesting development &need not be opposed.The question is how we resolve issue of the Chinese attitude on McMahon Line and Tawang.
The official #PLA statement on the tragic #Galwan face-off is worth scrutiny: it refers to the Galwan Valley as being “on the China-Indian border” and that the Indian Army “crossed” the #LAC and “violated their commitments”. 1/n
It says that “The sovereignty of the #GalwanValley” has always been China’s. The statement uses the words “seriously violated” twice in its reference to Indian troops having “seriously violated the agreements between the two countries on border issues” and “seriously violated ..
the consensus reached in the Chinese-Indian commander-level talks, and seriously damaging the relations between the two armies and the feelings of the two peoples”. The statement says that “we demand” that India “strictly restrain the frontline troops..
What are the sources of Chinese conduct in #Ladakh today?China today is global power imbued with a strong sense of nationalism, an obstinate sense of righteousness (without morality) about its whole political, military and economic system..
It sees a world stage, particularly an Asian stage that is devoid of a strong American presence or sustained commitment to check #Chineseadventurism or #expansionism whether on sea or land as existed until recent years: this oxygenates #China..
China is now poised to deploy its military and economic strengths to advance its national interest on multiple fronts in a naked and unhindered way -and its state capacity under #XiJinping has been revved up and given the ‘go’ to act thus ..
The #IndiaChina border is 3488 km long, not the LAC. The India-China border as India defines it extends eastward from the India-Afghanistan-China trijunction far west of the Karakoram pass to the India-Myanmar-China trijunction in the Eastern Sector.1/n
Which is why the border from that western trijunction to the India-Myanmar-China trijunction in the Eastern Sector is 3488 km long. Chinese refuse to discuss stretch west of #KarakoramPass which
largely covers so-called border between #PakOccupiedKashmir &Chinese #Xinjiang. 2/n
In the Chinese definition, the India-China border (their calculation of the length is obviously east of the Karakoram Pass but it has never been properly explained) is around 2000 km long. 3/n