This thread will focus on some of the big issues relating to these protocols today:
Pricing, liquidity and capital efficiency – all of these are intertwined so I will do my best to break it down.
2/ Implied volatility (IV) represents the expected volatility of the underlying asset over the life of the option and is a main driver behind option pricing.
IV is influenced by supply and demand of the option thus can be difficult to determine without proper liquidity/volume.
3/ If a protocol were to use data from a centralized source like Deribit to determine pricing this can be expensive to update in real time on layer 1.
If you do not have proper pricing it is difficult to have liquidity as users won’t want to buy mispriced options.
4/ It’s difficult to separate liquidity and pricing as when one improves so does the other, another factor affecting liquidity is capital efficiency.
When MM's sell options, they look to delta hedge as they do not want to be exposed to the direction of the underlying asset.
5/ Delta hedging in this context is when MMs use other derivatives or spot to offset the exposure of the options they sold.
For example, a market maker sells a call option with a Delta of .25, this means that for every 1% the underlying asset moves the option will move .25%.
6/ A market maker can then go long the asset via a futures/spot position and buy 1/4th of the underlying asset that the option is exposed to.
This way if the underlying moves up 1% the futures position will offset the .25% change in price of the option.
7/ This allows the market maker to use the futures/spot as collateral (cross-margin) and hedge their option positions.
So, how does this relate to current DeFi options protocols?
8/ Currently, no DeFi protocols have integrated with futures thus making it difficult for MMs to use cross margin and hedge efficiently.
This is why we have seen the majority of options volume in DeFi come from @ribbonfinance that uses passive user's liquidity to write options.
9/ Passive users are less sensitive to maximum capital efficiency and other factors like simplicity and automated strategies are much more important to them.
10/ Ribbon allows users to deposit collateral into vaults and then automatically sells covered calls or protected puts against that collateral using @opyn on a weekly basis.
11/ This seems like a win win situation as users are happy to express views on the market via these vaults and earn a yield if they are correct, while also providing liquidity for buyers of options.
12/ Passive users are not as concerned about being maximally capital efficient as that would require 24/7 monitoring of positions, many transactions per week and deep knowledge of derivatives
13/ It will be interesting to see how L2 effects the options landscape and if there will be any other clever mechanisms that could help solve the previously mentioned issues.
14/ This thread is for informational purposes only, not financial advice. Please do your own research.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1/ Luna has the most interesting and potentially profitable value accrual out of all L1s.
When UST is created Luna is burned forcing prices up over time. UST is cryptos top algorithmic & decentralized stable coin. Algo stables have recently come under fire -🧵on Luna & UST.
2/ As a quick summary of the Luna/UST mechanics:
When demand for UST is increasing it causes a burning of Luna thus reducing the supply – bullish Luna.
When demand for UST is falling it causes the minting of Luna thus increasing supply – bearish Luna.
3/ If the mechanism between UST and Luna is working properly and demand is growing this can fuel burning of Luna and rapid price appreciation.
We saw this clearly when UST increased its market cap by $1.7bn from Feb-May and Luna ran from $1.94 and peaked at $22.
We believe Galaxy Digital is a diversified bet on the success of crypto.
Galaxy aims to encompass all facets of the digital asset market, providing various avenues of service & infrastructure for both retail and institutional clients.
2/@novogratz is the CEO, he has taken his experience from Goldman and Fortress to create an institutional bridge into crypto.
All stats in this thread are in USD and based on $GLXY Q1 2021 numbers.
Let's go through Galaxy's 5 main business lines!
3/ #1 Asset Management
Galaxy has ~$1.6bn AUM across BTC & ETH ETFs in Canada + private funds focusing on DeFi, Web 3, NFT’s, and Gaming.
Galaxy provides exposure beyond BTC and ETH, offering institutions a full range of products covering the entire crypto space.
@LidoFinance continues to impress me. The creation of liquid staking derivatives across top layer 1’s and dApps is a massive untapped market.
Recently a proposal for $SOL was passed and one for $AAVE is in the works!
2/ Since our last thread (40 days ago) ETH in Lido has increased from 250,000 to 460,000! Growing stETH by 75% in May alone.
If stETH were to grow at even 1/4th this pace (19% MoM) for the rest of the year, we would see ~1.3m stETH by December which is ~1.2% of all ETH.
3/ Currently there are proposals on AAVE and Maker to integrate stETH as collateral.
If integrated this would increase stETH flows significantly. Assuming the stETH/ETH peg can maintain itself then stETH is simply a better form of collateral.
2/ The Debt/GDP ratio in the US has skyrocketed to new all-time highs (~130%), the last time it at these levels was WW2. We peaked in 1946 and quickly de-levered.
This raises two questions 1) Why is Debt to GDP important? 2) How did de-lever so quickly last time?
3/ The Debt/GDP ratio is important as it shows the ability for the country issuing debt to pay it back. We have seen creditors get concerned about the US ability to pay its debts in real terms.
Looking back to 2014 when foreign central banks stopped buying US debt on net.
1/ Thread on the macro cycle and crypto interest rates.
Crypto interest rates are set by the market and self-correct, facilitating an anti-fragile digital economy.
Contrast this with centralized interest rates that have created an extremely sensitive system drowning in debt.
2/ Interest rates in crypto will eventually approach the staking rate of top L1 blockchains. I will be using the mechanics behind ETH staking as a reference (post EIP-1559 and Merge).
The ETH staking rate is generated in 2 components: 1) Block Rewards 2) Fees (Economic Activity)
3/ Firstly, block rewards will be the stable portion of the staking rate that provide a base rate/interest rate floor.
It is important to have this base issuance to secure the network over time and provide a minimum rate for lenders.
Anchor is a savings platform that leverages liquid staking derivatives to provide a more stable and attractive yield then other lending/borrowing services available in DeFi.
Let’s explore how Anchor's 20% APY is made possible.
2/ Anchor can achieve this through leveraging liquid staking derivatives. The only collateral available on Anchor right now is bLuna, bLuna is a liquid form of staked Luna.
bLuna and Luna are pegged 1:1, staking rewards are paid out it in UST to the bLuna holder.
3/ bLuna is liquid and still accrues staking rewards, increasing capital efficiency substantially as it can now be freely traded and used in Anchor.
Anchor plans to integrate more collateral options with the release of Col-5. Including stETH, bDot, BAtom, and bSol.